第八章、 結論與建議
第二節、 後續研究建議
以往文獻大多探討風災、水災、震災、鄰避設施與突發事件等對住宅價格之 影響,未曾討論在風險意識下對石化氣爆災害住宅價格之調整及災後重建對鄰近 住宅價格之影響。本研究採用差異中之差異模型與分量迴歸,因未採空間計量加入
23 傾向分數配對後 2826 筆住宅價格平均值 545.248 萬*13.8%。
24 中低價位住宅價格平均值 260 萬*7.1%。
25 中價位住宅價格平均值 430 萬*6.7%。
26 高價位住宅價格平均值 1100 萬*8.9%。
27 Freybote and Fruits (2015) 調查購屋者對住宅風險認知與在不同發展階段下環境危害(地下天然 氣輸送管道)對房價的關係時指出;在還沒有發生事故時、且在相對較低的致命爆炸實際風險下對 房價沒有影響。
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空間自迴歸模型,無法估計氣爆區鄰近公共設施(衛武營都會公園、輕軌等)產生之 外溢效果,無法納入評估。建議加入空間自迴歸模型(spatial autoregressive mode, SAR)解決因空間自我相關產生估計之偏誤( Li and Saphores, 2012)。另可採混合研 究(mixed-methods research),在結果詮釋上充分將質化取向和量化取向結果之間的 關係加以連結和討論。
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