美國柯林頓總統歐洲行分析

全文

(1)

(2) I. 15:• •$~ .~~ • ...,¥i 1I!:I"~Jt""m::. 1 II. • • •iii8l~.~ r ~*.* J iii. ,. :\t.~~~~P ," ~~~.mr~&Ii1~ft.MII~Ht:j~+HI*• • ~ 1 1~~~~~~. ~.~+~~~.{'*~~. ... 0. ~~~~~~. ~~.~iii~~~~~~.~~~iii$~~8I~~~~~.~iii$~~8I~~~~~~~~.~o~~.~• •~.~. 0. ~~.~~• • •~. ••. r. 0. J8. ,. ~<""H<~:t(ii~~llE ~ iii$$~~8I~~~II!ml~ ~ &l$$~~81. "iii$~~8I~~~~~.~• •~~.tr~.riii$~~~~~• • •~~~~~~.*J~r~~~~~.~. ~~l!£.~~14I ~ ~"~ll]l!:!IlI!mlii "8. ~.~~~~.~.*~.~~.~~~~~~.~~~~.~iii~~~~• • • •~~~.~~~l~ 0. .1 ~~"~~~~~&l$~:Il$ J. .~~~.*,~ ~.~~~~.-R~ ~ ~~~~~~~~:ttt. 0. ~~jgIm:<4~tii.~iii$~~lllK~~~*~~~1llili ~ ~.nt:\t. ~1II.~.~~~:t(~~tI.iii ~ ~.~~*«~li1II~.*. 0. :t1~.jJmj~iii$.~$!~-lIIK~**~ r. gr.$IIIi:!+H ,. gr.. :t(~~4tI~~IIi:!+HIII:~ "1e.l&!~~llB!\-.4tI. ••lllK~~:!$~-R~~:\t,o ~8I~~.:\t+.~. .11',. ~1II~jgIiii~8I,*,.~.-~~.~llE:t("t=.+H~~~~~~~¥it~jgI~~.*:Il$ (trans-Atlantic part. nership). 0. llB!\-maililil&l$O .111 "iii$~4tI~&l$~~~~.-~I:H¥!!!~,&l$~4tI~&l$~fl:(~~~ ~ ~~~It. ~or. 0. 0. o@. ~~:t.~~rI (Niels Helveg Petersen. .1II~$III:»N5~~~~.~~iii£.~tI!~.mr~~ • •~.$!-R~llE~~. 0. ~1II~i!~~~llE.nn:!.~IIII~iII:-,*,. ~ ~-KjgIm:<4. J1m1e.l&!JJI!; , --<~l!,*,4tI~~~i!J.oi~~ J ("a democracy everywheFe, a market economy everywhere, people mutual security" ) ,@l,. cooperating everywhere. ~~.~:Iii:~)~:t(~iH-~III:~iii,*,.~.~ ~ .~iii$»N5~~~~. 0. ~tii.~it~jgI~.$~.!i ~ !§~IIII:\t.~.lllK~$D(.~~~~~~:Iit~~. ) .~~I:H~It~:I#=~~~~.[Jl ~. 'itE> Albert Gore, "U.S, Must Be Part of Struggle To Erase Communism's Scars," AIT Daily Wireless File Log. EPF 413, Jan. 6, 1994; and Alexander ,M, Sullivan, "'Clinton Hopes forlUlvitalized Trans-Atlantic Partnership," AIT Daily Wireless File Log. EPF 103, Jan. 10,1994. :W§> Ibid. .. ~ Tom Buerkle, "A Sign of Relief From European Leaders,"', International Herald Tribune, Jan. 11, 1994, p. 1.. m§ Sullivan, op. cit., p. 11.. 0. 0. ......"-" __. ~~ ..., .... .~i:~.~~.iJnitr.*&l$*. ~ '1¥1~iii$8I~$~.$~R~• • .mr~.~~~ ~ :flIK8IlllKiii$.J:K*t--4Kmr~. -<lllK~U ~ 11.N:!:~.$IeIj!UI.lllK.~tP.l~ ~~~-R~ ~ ~III:H:I~'!!MlfU!iIililiitllB!\-~ ~1 ~<~lit-itr~8IiIililiiillB!\-~~I1j. +1 H&r~~ I1Ill ~~1(lit-itr~ ~i¢l1Il+.~ ·~~~~~IeI~4m!~~Jil..l1:?cr 1 mW4r?.Inf.l£!l.o:>1.J.ull)"""M'T_~h""".

(3) ~. Ibid.. -~~ -----~--f',. .......... '--"'''''''J H Ut::Klm ~~ue. lJUS, nrl'. Tom Buerkle, ,.A Sign of Relief Fr'om European Leaders:. International Herald Tribune, Jan. 11, 1994, p. t.. :W:§J Sullivan, op. cit., p. 11.. itGJ·. 0. 0. }eI~:t{lI1.lIl!: ~ ilil$.~,~.!aHE• •~!I!!!!'". .. 0. ~Ud,. dan. l~,. U:J94.. .. "~Ji:#I$:&i~.iimit.J;:\-"HJs*. ~ ·el~.£1I!I~1S~.~-og4ll" -mr1t.~.~. ~ *lI!IiKti£iK #1t-4~Im:::&i. -<mKlIL!. ~11~-NI!::&ill5$}eI• • •iK$IIll~~:IZ:i itltt:<4Il~}eI ~ *1I!I~~·l:IMI,!it\h~:.~ ~ 1 ~<~l!l-~*lI!Iiliti.it~lll + 11.~ ~ ~ 1 ~~1(l!l-it ~ ~.~+.~ ·~itl~~~}eI ".~*l!l-1l:~~ 1 m ~'M"~:&i~I<.-mr-mIi(~~ .. li-ilit$.~.~ . tr~~1tE-K~~.fffl..1Il: ·~itl~~~}eI .. ~.~Ji:*.~1:!Etf:~i&t$.~ ~ 1IL!~~~-R~Iit~.,g: .~~... ~*<~~~~ 1 ~\§~.:t{it.~~.$:&i-mr+H:$ti'" *+HH$.~ .~ lI(~~:&i.:Ig~.. ••. el~\~\§"~~W-mr~~~~.~~.~~.o~~~.~.~itl~,!.~~~~~.~... ~~• • ~~~.~.itl~. 0. I§). 0. ~_~."iK.~ $IIll~~~~~~:&i,g:~~€~I<..~~-N~.~~~~~~~~~,g:~~.~.~ .. itl~~I<.._mK Ii-~.-N}L- . . i&t$.~itl~Il!~~*~~lI:~-mr.~~.•:&i=-R~~-~ tEl::t{ ~ lS~~~~lIIfBHitlilit$ ~ • •~lI(.~iii$~ ~Iii'~~:&i-R.. ~~Ji:#1IIiHas~.:&ii&t$~41IMI~ .. ~+H ~~.~~~$lK.~.ilitlll~li-~ftI~:&i~~~ ~iii~.\It'~41Iw.J* ~ ~~ 1$ ~g.:\:ii.$~~ 0 1JI~~Ji:*.~1:!E~1I11I ~ ~$~~$IIll~:&i~*<~.~. O@)~ 1 ~ {.ilIii'.t!~#1$lK.~.MI~iii~~ftI~. r ~J;:\-~~ J :ffii.~~~ftI~~.*i~1:!E:&i~~ ~ 1It*41IMI~:&i~.~. ~:&i~"~~. "~11 ~ ~Iii':lIJi:#.~1:!E~~~:{fi •. 0. 0. 0. ~~h~~11+1(~~~:&i111!lHlm. . . ~tr+H~$IIllili~}L- --s. ~111 ,.{.ilIm::it~I1E~$lK.**~ilit~.:&i+H~~€ Ji:*!jJitl~il!.tr$UlI ~ ~~.d~~~Ii(~,. .~• •4cr~1i ~.IIf{+H~l@l-~'M ~ ui\.i&t.~ ~,*iii$."*"$fi!tfl~tt:< ... ffii:i&t$~"*"$~.~I$$~tt:< ~ ~~~-l:!;iCI(~~~"~~. 1m 1 J.K"*"=W~+1(III~~m.".tr ... ~ :i:~:J~'i*""~~. 1II~~• • ~l@l-~~"'~Iii'''~I<..~~• • ~tt:<4Ilo. itl+~+. •••. 0. J.. 1 \l!!• •=W~~.mK.~-Nrs:.~:&it::1fiitlii'~.t:ii. J ... ~~~~.~*"~. 111". l!ti;&i~~.~. I •• -=W~!iif.".lS~~~{.ili&t$III~~~ ~ r ~~¥i~~.~.-K=W~~.'" ~~$:ll1!!!!lIlf{+H.~" ~tEl:.4Il. $~$~tt:<4Il:&i*ifi~~. l.HiP.l-.~.-:t{lI( r ~. :W:§l "The World Sends NATO Back To the Drawing Board," The Economist, Dec. 7, 1994, p. 59-60.. White House Report, "Clinton To Articulate Post·Cold War Strategy," AIT Daily Wireless File Log, EPF 402, Jan. 6,1994.. "Text of North Atlantic Council Declaration: AIT Daily Wireless File Log, EPF 206, Jan. 11, 1994,. ~. tIi8. $(1II.w:#:iUf~ililEN~.

(4) Jjjl. ~1J-. ~¥. 1I.811~. ~ ~ ~ '« qr. .If )f.l! ~ ~ [if y , f;,J iP rlt. 'fiiEMEfi **1I:lt1r .:t=¥fHft~ ?kl&~~M. ~~f;jf$~.. i<l~,iiM. 'IltP~~. _*}i!iti '. .. ~~} '?kiflllHl. 1I~f*. 1I~¥fHft:U. -l4°M~~. .fAI¥4tf~ :m~.it[l} 3J::U~~Ws. W ~ qj: , if. 'li}1HI3;tii~ ~it,~Efi. .ll!M~~. ~.Il~W. qj: '. -,. ~. M. ~jlwJ~~ '.f*Il~ ?Jf.?k~l6f itlitl!~f}lf ~ ~ ~. £:( £. 3f £8. I!iIil. e:J. f4f £. ijt ~ ££ ~. 'If,. :II! lJti J'J fnl. iP qj:. ffM. ~M ~.f •. ~W}. iP~. IIW. !J'& ~,. tJ,rpj ~~. .a ~~ ~~. iE:$f. ~. ~.?k. El ~ t!~. ~'*. qr :f. ,If!{ ~d-. :It. iP_. M~. &aiP. :it. ~~ ijlf~. ffiI~. ~ :Ii}. ~.. it*". !'J!!~ ~~. i<liff iJJf , *"t1 ~:U lffu. ..,.. ii·~. ~,. ~~. ,}fit. .. fi~. iIl-- g}. 11. ~. m& W,!IiI. W. rI.l. 1+~ ........ :!:f'd ~ ...... *~ m-o. Miffo~~ ¥iPfj~:.o. ~if. l!r* -13. .!!J!. :la,. 3!m. ~1I. _££:. ,,~. I{$f~. i~. 11ij:. •. ~. ~~. ~',«. ~ r~. ':lis. ~~II. qr ::i. '& ~a~. .~--ii~~ .~ .~ 'S. 0. 1l3J:1HI 1IIf1~ • fu. Ir~~. .,~. IW-?it. qr. .~~y~IHIM iff~~ifW:U~. iPiP. ~. '3J:~M. 11,00 Y?I s ~(fi . . . . fur;::) ~~*-4tf'rtJ-~ • '!lit f!I it m Ws ~ ·lJfW!f1f~1J-1l ~ y f}{'i! ~. •*. o~jti~)f.l!~]j( ~ f:t;t !tit ..,. II qr .~. rtJ-ii W~$,W~1IJ 1HI~"*52]j(lIIijJfu~ ~ ~ 1+ ~ f!I ~ ,&'W f;jf Ji fj.y~It:=F~&a~' , ll$'Jf.f~&a~fffi\ffIt:~Efi 3J: ~ 'li iT.u II tim ~ ~3!*li~" !~~: II . as l!r -, W qj: IW. It. ~~. Y?I. '§;':!!J!'~]if#~. •. .fi~jjl.lfE-;of*1J. ~~~fl$. ~ ~j: iT. ~. ". ~. Y?I. .y. ......... 1I?k 7#. ~ ; Ijl1. m 'Jf.f 1J-. ~.~ ~. -Ui!. iP"JIDY,JI.!t:t=I3Y~ il~~~~*if.I1ij:"$.. "j .. -S/. f. ,\!i. ~. • ~. 1 ~. t ~ ~. ~. :s:. .. CIl. ! ri!. ~s. ,,0'=8.. if fjI;1. .... ~. CIl. ;:. ~I= ~ Ii ... l!!,s. i¥Cl.. ~:.a. *' tl ~~. =~. !:c. , t. :W-i.. tI~MHft, .s ~ II ~ qj: S " II ~ , ~ 'J!- m .u ::i " -!4 j( '" ii)f.l!.~jI m~@'8fj?l1~f}lf52~~~:W~l!r ~] ~~~ • • , • • ¥ . . . . .y?Jf.0f!1.52M~ • • fjI;1O 11$ • • • ~;F):~.-':.~ii=FlIf!I'W.@ ~I=~ = ~."Efilio~'.&a~ .W~~~=F~.?Jfo y fa '« ~ jjl • ~ rpj if :$f ~ ~.$ fgI ii .fi ~ ~ ~ ~ ill .. ~ lr. uq:s: • ~.HftEfi~~¥ • • ~:lt~~~m~3J:~*M~ *DfI 111: ' .If}lfW.~.~~ • • • ~g'«~'llfl.(fi. III • -qj: :$f Hft • .I. ~ Wf} •. *f ~ ~ m ~ ~ ~ ~ fj it • ' Il. li If ~ ¥ W • iii ~ ~ iii f} II 5 ' ~ SIt ¥f . $ qj: .. • '$~~. '. ~ Y?I ~ t1 ~ N:I M ~ N:I ~. ~ I ~ , Efi &a ~ ?k'~ ± :N !!II IIIJ ..... iEf;jffu~?I1iPt1m.yt1."8.'~f}lf'8iE~~13~ tftf~ fi ~ .' I ii i<l I !ID'!:if I ~ 1# Ii.y • qj: 1(: ~ II W ' Sf 11*.' ~ II . . . ~ ~ fu II • mR ~ ~ I '« qr ~ II • ~ • .J4~. if if ~ 1I>#~II3!~.frill-ll • • ~~,#.1I8 .~a. ~ f* 1:1 11 Efi fgI m- ~ C{. ~. qr if. • ~ "'lI - -, ~ -, .• a a·~ m- 00 ill • :if 1ft $ .. ~ qJ: ~Jo ¥@ ~ ~ 52 E( ilY If ># ., ~ .1.-.1.lIilli~ !:if~~~.Hft~lIo~o~.Y?liTWvm.f*m~ '- '- ::g II f ~ iP =- M W ~ 'J! -, • ~ W:P- , ~ -+ :4r ~ .h ?k ~ qj: tit .1t~ fu :U ~ M' .:j~ ~ ~ff '& mI • if ¥! -' 111 =III l1! qj: t1 '~1I8~».~ OOB'M.~ffi1(:ijlf~~y. *" 1(: -Z ..,. uij: * ~.~ 00., -.' ~* CIl. .. *. *•. -,. U.l. -,. 0. "*. .~. IlU. 0. 0. /i!t. ¥,. ,~~. 0. ~M. fffirpj'. bJ. ~ ¥J 1iIIt:. fiit. ,. *. >. ." ~. @. ~, -~. tiP. o~. *'. qr ti?l1 if?Jf. .~. -II ~* W]j( 1i ,':If. YI. :m;, l(.\ff ,. 71 -.-. ~&a. -Z. 1M. ~~. filt. ~. i8JJfj tiN : if:$f. .11 -fffl. &a. Hfty. :t1~. IMII. It:W 1+*. ~fj. :4r1l +~. •• .. ~. ~. qj:. S$ $:W ±o ,II.. ...* Mli. iii. .If!{. ~. if. fgI .mt ± ~ 3! f:t;t f}lf o. ?it qj:. >.

(5) .. ....-.~.....,... ~"--~.,,.. Herald Tribune, Jan. 10, 1994, p. 6.. ~. ~. ... ~-. ~. ...... " -.. '" ... -"--.,., ... - -... , .... " ~ ~.f ,'i.!il-Ultl:J :iiit.It.g~~"1i!{ Warren Christopher, itA Partnership for Peace Open to Former Warsaw Pact Members," International. (. 0-'. 0. ~ () H:l~Ji:#iS~iJi • ., if~.slli~.+lit-~-R~~iIi~~ 1 .~.~~;m:N~ ~ r>($!Illili.~1lR 1 .~• • "~ll* 1 1 ,..~ =¥fi;,g:.jfa:ifll5:~~~lIIf.." jt~=¥f:$il".III• •iIi!lI;.!~r< ..~.~~.~~ms:~f.;:j*~ .;~.ilil!!l~~1!!=¥fi;~~ • • "@ l;!!~~t=.~iitili~ .. ll* 1 ,. ~~.~iI~1I1t1+l ~ *~$.~.~I!!I~~~ " ~.~$lKIII~~«i~~.$~~~ r ~1!!Ill* 1 J .~ ~lgUm*~r *-RifBJ ~,~. "@ll*11 . . ,g:~~~~~~{Q1PE ,,~~r ~*.*.J ~-W*~ifB~~II~.~~ M~. ~~~$ ,. ~t;~M{.iJY9!$f <'--~~ r ~*~* J ~lIII~:t:*<..1..j:&t.Uj(-N:ffiit ~ .~~-W**~~~~~. r ~*.~ J :&t~~~!I!n(I.!!!i~..1..j1l1t=¥f:i?.III~~It~ ~ :l.'G-Wfii:W''''il:- ~ .*~lIIf..:iiH!lf~~~ "1lR:t: 1 ~$lKlm~~:&t~ ~!i.1~~i\:!r~.~.~" .~~~lm~~~~~Il5:~$ ., $~1I1t• •~lt~ " Ji:#iS~~.[]lI..1..j4n~ ~ .BtHl-~\'it~ ,. ~~i\:!r~ . • ~~.~~$!Il~.,~~~~.~~1I1t~:t:~_:&t~~lIII~o@-W~~=¥fi;fii:• • •..1..j~Ji:#iS~~~~~~.~~H~., ~if{\~~lm~~~~...~,g:~H-~" \§mjla'~~~:¥!(:;~~±Hn~ ,.J$,.§~~\!!l.~Er 1l$~!W~J III~( rogue countries ) :&t~* ,,~\§., ~~lm~fii:\'it~-33" atn~~B~ • • ( COCOM ) ~~* 1 ~~gr ) l!tl11~111+ 1 mH:lt,:{~~., @)~~ ~:&t.~~~.~., ~~$lKlm~~~1I1t 1" ~I.!!!iliii( ~ ~*.~~III~.1!!1mII~OO" ~ :l.'G*-W.....1..j~1~~. " =¥f:i?.IH~~.B.~~~·~• •:iH;l;tllIII~iIi " H:l~.~~lI/$~" -!n!:W'• •it:>(:\t r 54nt!;:i~~fi!l}.\i£t J :&t.~ liHl~~. ~ ., =¥f:i?~lt~Uj( -R~.~jm.{I1(.~ ., 1a'~~~l!!IIl~• •~~1I1tEEl• .,' \§mj~~lm~Ia'~-W=¥f:i?~.:$I~~~.[]lI1+l~:&t~.raJ ., Mil:-:I~~lm~Ia'-W$lKlmif.~}L-~~=¥f:$il• •~z~t!;:i~ -~n~i;• • lmla'~~~• •lm4!I~ ~ :fKne:~•••~~~ '~ffila'. ~.~5~lm~~~5~~lm~~.~.*:&t~*.~t!;:i~~M~~~o~~~~.~.~~~ms:f.;:j~".~$lKlm-W=¥f:i?~. .-R.~~"~Ji:#iS~~it:>(~~t=.~~1I1t~1a'~.$lKlm~.~~~~:&t~t!;:i~iIi~lm~.-W~~~~~~.~~~~~ :$I1l!~!Il:&t~~ ,,@. ~liIi~~~~~.~Ji:#iS.~~!"J~.,~1I1t~#t:*~• •:j\rtt.:&t1+l.~~~j;\;1111111t:\1llI:&t~~flI~~~tWl~:&t~*• • ~. m. R. W. Apple Jr., "Clinton, in Brussle, Reassues Europeans of U.S. Commitment," International Herald Tribune, Jan. 10, 1994, p. 1. Bruce W. Nelan, "Mission To Europe," Time, Jan. 17, 1994, pp. 14-15. 0. 1.. I~. ~ White House Fact Sheet, "Non. i©. proliferation and Export Control Policy," AIT Daily Wireless File Log, EPF 105, September 27, 1993.. 0. Ji::ltIJti1~l!~~$.$i~.iI:t;.~~. ~ ~#HICI· r .\i::ltIi~£~c:::rIll*,'Ii!!I!:t;*<ti1. J • irlllftli!' 1iR1II<+1I1l1!-l m::ll+ l'm·.1 I'lili! 1"' ~ r:I(~~{PIJ?(.$i~III"· jQl(lI!I-K>._llIl::-N!f!llll~~lBl:Jj\II.ll!!ii.~ ~. "u. S. Sees Self·Selection By East on Joining NATO," International Herald Tribune, Jan. 10, 1994, p.. ~ "COCOM Plots Its Own Demise," Export Control News, Nov. 30, 1993, pp. 2-3.. ~ Lea Aspin,. 1<1lIW:#~.~iitlJ,;N~~.

(6) ~• •$~. ~~~. ~M~. ~.~~M~. ~.~~~~~~~.R~~.~.~~~. ~.~~~~~~@o~G~~~~.~~~. ~. ~~. . ••. IK. 41I.$.UJt!{~~$-k-/ii'~. *~<~~~~.~~*.~~$~~~R~~~~~~. •••~.~~~.~~~~.~.~~~•••~~.~~a~o~~~~. ~~.~~~~~*~~~~~R~.~.~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~Rn~~.~~~~.~~~~~~. ~~~~~~~~~.~~~~~~~.~~~.o.~~~~.~~.~.~.~.~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~. .... .. .. .. •••~~~~~ •• ~o@. .. ~~~m.m.ij'~~ .. ~~~~ .. ~... ~.~gr. ~~.~~{(}/-a-~.~.t:fi .. e.1G~~1;:~~~~-IH.41I.iti~~~ ~:Wt~~~~ {tm~.* ~ ~~m~~~~¢~~~~~~~~. ~~-ti-~~~gr\mr~:f. ·Ji:*!/J~~:i?~•••:Wl1l*$~~+lm~{J-~~.~~.Wt~~~. .l!¥!.". (. 0. ~~~*~./ii'~~~1!-~<4:i?. .. ~~~~ .. ~~~.~~~~o. ~-a-.I{L1~.ij'~~.~~*:m ( President Arpad Goencz) ,. ~~~~.~~~~ ( President Michal Kovac) .. President Lech Walesa ) .. ~.~.~~:Wt. President Vaclav Havel ) ~~ ~ Ji:'I:K~~~~~ r ~. ~.~I!-~~ (. .. ~. ~~*J~... ~~.grR~~o~~~~~.~-a-:.~.~*~ ~i:'I:K.~-a- ~ ~mt\fj; 111 J!!!$I1!i1i. ::r:.i.,*".:!I:!W~J.lflS~.-~~.lIlII(.~~~I$I~. ~ ~I$I~~~~~~1t;'('M~~. ...ii.~~~~~~~fBt .. .I{L1~!f~~!l1J(~~~~$:~ .... 0. ~~~~ • •41I~~~ ~ ~1n**~~P.:l'M~~.lIlII(~~*$i!.; ~1i!ii41I.~• •~ .. ~ ••~~i!it~~~~.~ .. ~~•• .... !ii.~~~~... ~~i{~~~.ft-~$(.~~~~iai.:tt!fl(=~¢ts.~~~~~*.~o. .. D-frl(~-Ie•••.i.DKitI~.-~.·I!riU~~~~i!it~1m-a-. ~$(~~~lIntt~~~~~<4Jii' (Overseas Private Investment Corporation, OPIC ) ~.ii.~~~" ~J!!!~J.;::i'rl-.~. -.+ l:1i- .~-II+II.·. lR~-!ti~11~~lR .. ~_~~~~41I~Dl.~~. ( OECD ) .lIlII(~$ .. ~~~~If ( Democracy Network) ~~.ii~ ...ii1J(~Dl~• • • o . .II· r :lIIK1II~*.~t!E1:iiil!H-I~IDI~.J. .1!:.fII($~ ••t1lI+II~. ~R~~~~~~~~*~~~I!-~!/J.a-a-. _. ~ ~. r liI!#l. J ml!lli:*_.Ii)-Yl:.li"IaS1iH;'l:ii 1 /fUlid·:!S~ r &!-IJ\-H~1f J .11(. ~*$I~l!!-<m.+t::11(·. !il;\!iII'(iIIt*~nlllll~· .iIi.~;{;!t.liI!#l~~• •. ~ .4IIIIIIIII!!:Ii~*~iii{Oi-a-il:\<.lJ;ii:ii.l!!ImI!I· I *.-~ilI:t1§~.4IIIII&!-IJ\-tf;1lt~l{II(:t1§~· I B!~"*iIi• •K· 1JIF:1§~1i{.~$.':! •. IntenJlltio1l41 Herald Tribune, Jan. 10, 1994, p. 1; Jan. ·n, 1994, p. 1; J",n. 12, 1994, p. 1; and Jan. 13, 1994, p. 2.. White House Statement, "Clinton Maps PlaB To A:dvance Europe's Security, Integration," AIT Daily Wireless File Log, EPF 310, Jan. 12, 1994.. ~. ~. o. 0. ffi.ifinl.4a~-$(.~.$_.i!it ~ ~ifii~l!!!fJ~.l!!!fJ~*<~ .. Wii.~.~H~" ~~.~~{(}/inJjr;~.~~~ i:'I:K~\IBII!·ii!~~~*~.~~iIit~~41I~.~~.. I J!!!~~~1m~~ .. e.~1J; ,. ••41I~~ii!~I$I"~*~~ft:@ii~. II.

(7) l. o. -. =. ... ~~~~.~~t.~~. ••. -. $~r~~H~~J.~~~*.~.~m.~~-~~.~~~.~~.fi.~~.~~~~fi.. International Herald Tribune, Jan. 10, 1994, p. 1; Jan. "11, 1994, p. 1; JIpl. 12, 1994, p. 1; and Jan. 13, 1994, p. 2. ~ White House Statemen("'Clinton MapS PlaB To kdvance Europe's Security, Integration," AIT Daily Wireless File Log, EPF 310, Jan. 12, 1994.. ~ r~~.J.~#. 8$Ui!l!l.4[[~-~lR~.~e~i§ ~. 0. ~i§~l!!II~.l!!II.*<~ ,. .fE.~tJ!.H~ ~ .qtI~tJ!.pj~{Qitn~~.~~~ 1~m«~9i\ll"MlliH+1 '" 1E~~ff!}; ,. • •41l~~iiii~~D$f~~4!l~.~iif~. li:~~\lBI!!iH-iif~~.~4!ltJ!.pj-Wiiii*~41I~$$~.LJ·~. Ili~~ ~ ~iiiiliH~~~J:t~~~l*_~ ~ ~-W:!l!t~tI$l.~gS~ ~ Cl(~~"M~1lt~ ~ ~flm~l~.!S:§~*~r<~~~.\IltD$f$t{. 1~.~:R:!1K~.~l¢M o~. IDl. o@~iiii--<tl~~~iiii~~r<~~ ~ ~*l!JI~~4!ll!I[IIi~~ ~ fB:@:.LJ ~ ~iif~*H!!m1:;lliit~4!l~. ~ ~*.*~mvHli • • ~~~a~~~~~~lR~~~.~~~r<~~~~~~~~lR~~4!l~~~~~~~~~$$~~~~~~~~lR~~~ lIl![~~ ~ ;!£~.1lR. ~iiii--<tl~~~~#!lJ~t!E~~!!I~~~~~.I1t*'l1!i~II!i~~*~~~lRit<_~.~.~~imIl~I$l.~H<lm«~-K.. ~.°li:#!lJl*.~~~iiii~~.~~!!I~~~N~~~l*.~~~!!I~~~.~~~.~~~~it<_~N~~~!!I~~w. 0. ~~lR~"iIJI~~~~it<_. ~~~~~-K~~~*.~~*~~~~it<~o~*-WIDl~~lR.~~~N~~~lR~~~~~~~~~~~~lR~~~~ »I1~lR~~\lBI!!.l¢M ~ ~~iiiil*~l¢~.H:.j-mr~~ • • 0 ~. ~~4+ll!I[IIi:t: ~ ~iiiilR~IDl~D$f~-~~I$l~~l!I[. ~~ff!};~.f.!!~~4!l~.*~imIl~-;W~. ~$*~~~~~~~~~~o~~~~~~~~~~~*~~~~~lR~~~r<~*~l1E.ll¢_~~.~~~.*~ ~i¢-W ~ ~iiiii€nli.:§.\:;:r<~~1E~ o~~:§ ~ li:#!lJ~~~"M~~~~~~N.if~~~lR~~.~ ~ ~~~~--<tl~l*. o@+t1m ~. l-\-l. .w&iI*:~:R:!*~~~*«~?it. ~~lR:i!¥-K~$IIl ° ~lR»I1~l'~~~~ilit$$lI$l~~ ~ ~l*~~~lR~*~~~ ~ ~~li:#!lJ~.~~ilit~IDl~ • • • tii'~lI[I ~. ~~I$l~~~--<~~~~*'~~ilit~~~~l*.~~~Ili~*o. ~~~~~~~$~ li:#!lJ+m-W~• • • ~.bitl~.-H-liit~m!~ ~ mta~.IlJ~mr~$Hi~~~~t·HI!r= ~. ~ "Waiesa Sees Step in Right Direction," International Herald Tribune, Jan. 11,1994, p. 5.. ~ Michael Kramer, '"The Case for A Bigger NATO, "'Time, Jan. 10, 1994, p. 37.. ~ Nelan, op. cit., pp. 14-15.. Colin Woodard, "'East Europeans Fear"Protectionism," Christian &ience Monitor, Nov. 8, 1993, p. 7.. ~. itI:@ "1Jkraine To Agree To Eliminate Nuclear Weapons, Clinton Says," AIT Daily Wi~le88 File Log, EPF 109, Jan. 10, 1994.. ~HI~#!jJ.~iii;\£-N~t:.

(8)

(9) =. "Clinton Unveils Nuclear Accord," International Herald Tribune, Jan. 11, 1994, p. lrt:l-lIIll'.~ fiKII<+111Jil-l m::+!.;::I1l1 ~.1 !!l\+ Ill!!· :m§ R Jeffrey Smith, "Ukraine Near To Accepting Final'Deal on Nuclear Arms," International Herald Tribune, Jan, 10, 1994, p: 1; and Alexander M. Sullivan, "Clinton Announces Agreement on Ukrainian Nuclear Weapons," AIT Daily Wireless File Log, 'EPF 209, Jan. 11, 1994.. 0. 0. 0. Jjt!;!$~ ~ ~~~IIlmj-m~41Il4+1j:g[~~Jjt!;~~• • ~-H- ~ ~~_~IB~~~ilIt*dII:lf;lI1fUI(.m::: <>@ ~*..y ~ .w1D,!!}~*.\i;it:lf;:5Hi!i~~ikr~~-H-" ~1Il1ll.~.-E:lf;~~-K~IlJ;qtJ~.wK " ~f'W~.ii.n!lI!l.:lf;IIlW~ "lE~. ~~~~~~~~~~~~~• •~~~~.~~~~~~~~-K~~~~~o~~~NlE*:lf;~.~"~~~~fi~~ • .~~ ~ j:g[~~t51~~.im* ~ ~~*:lf;~.*. ~ ~~~~-<:tHr!¥ <> ~1Il:lf;!$~~~mI!(O.lE.~l4+1 ~ ~1Il1lJ~1lt~~*In'~~, ~.~~~~::t- IIl~N:~'I!~.:lf;~!$@(~~IIl~.~~<$l~t9Bt.~t= ~ !:Kl.~.Jm.{~" ~~~~~*l4+1lE~*~~im OR ::t- ~ S¥1Il-@:~IIl~.~+H~.:lf;~. ~ ~lR~~~~_~." 8(~~X~~*lii:l:lf;._.~*~" ~lR~~~~.~+l ~~.. ~:¥~~#1~i*"~~. 0. 0. 0 ••. ••. 0. 0. ~~f.m~IIl~~~t=ifi~~.~." ~~~~~~ll!!!i.~iffi. 0. ~#S.w+lI1ml4+1+~ml4+1~~~~.11]H<.~~ ~ ~~~~~~ ~~I11.~• •~~~~~ium:!fi{rrnIllll(~~t=.~• • ~ ~ .w+grmf:.(..y~~llff~~1l!P~.J;!S.~:lf;iI!~ 1D'!!}~~#S~lll~~• •~.\!lil ~ ~iml1~~.w*l!t-grrrr:t~~.ium:~• • ~~ -tJrrr:t~1oE-tJIIlium:~• • ~ 1D'!!}~~~IH~ 1 ~:ti~~111 ~1Il1ll~it~~~~~~l1~ ~ Jj:#S.~~tt=~~:lf;llII:lf;~gr ., I\lIIIIl~1fEI!I~~!!:~ ~ Wi!~~*,1I>(:It D~~~I11~~ ~ • • • ~• • •~X~IIl~~~~~~:lf;~~om~alR~~~~~~~~:lf;~~~~~~~~~~• •:lf;~~o~.~::t ~~~Jjt!;lt~~l:lS~ • • ~~~~~o@J~~,,~~~~~~?t~~• • ~~:lf;• • ijiR~.~.~iit~*-4fl~~BI~~~ ~~~ikr.~ ~ III:~~!$ ~ ~~~41I~ai~:W;qtJ~.wg ~ ~~:liml1~• •~~~!$1l!It~. :Ii~• •:lf;K{4:t" .w~~*-4fl~.~l:lS" Jj:#S~~~. r ~~ 1 .:If;~4a.~~**~~*-4fl:lf;.\;\i• • J ~ ®lE~1:lt jjl*mI!(iit~*-4fl~4ti:lf;\lIIIIl~ 1. " ~1H~~~~~r«~st-jjl*• • ~~_~I:lt-~*~n¢:t<~~~" 1:::1~WiJ$~ ~~~ iit~:lI~:lf;*-4fl~.~ °.w~IIl~~~l:lS" ~1Il~t~~~$IIl~IIl~~~~:i!. ~O(~~III:• •t!ih~~ ~'~IR~~~*,-K-R. 11>(~ ~ ~.~:!i G-71R~~III:~<$lil1~.N-R • •~~~ ~. I~. John Dunn, "The Uukrainian Nnclear Weapons Debate," Jane's Intelligence RelJiew, August 1993, pp. 339-342. Moscow News Conference, "Christopher, Bentsen Underscore Russian Commitment to Reform,"'AIT Daily Wireless File Log, EPF 407, Jan, 13, 1994.. ~. =. ,. ~ "'Clinton, Yeltsin Discuss An Integrated Future for Euro~," AIT Daily Wireless File Log, EPF 406, Jan. 13, 1994. ~lI!I.i:~~.~ilii~-N~.

(10) ~~~$~. ~~~. ~M§. ~R~~M~. 0. ii\$t~~~.~~~~. 110. 1 ... ~ ~~ilEdl1!1ii.$IIl. ~• • ~~~~.~~.~.~~~.~~o~.~~~~=.~~.~~~~ti~~~.~~~~=~~.~~~.~~ mW~~.1tJ$~M!~4+!$IIl~'Iii!. ~ 1fE~jgj~1i!t411~~~~~~~iie~~ii:ll!~. 0 ••. ~i'i(~l~~IIIf.E-.~-<~~~.l!$ifa ~ t§.~~jgI~III~m!i~~~411~.~. 0. ~~~~~ftI, ~M!!ii • • ~~~411~.~ ~ !¥ljgI~III~~~~S~~'~ ~ *,la::;~li1H. 0. ~~. ~ftlli!t1t~. 0. ~$lIl~~~~$f1e-~ ~. l4tl~~~l!$ifa:a:. ~i::lt!IJ:!lrr~.ft.1l!t- g[ ~~:1ii\it.fJ([• • •~~~fil!$~+K ~~lg~~~ ~ f1J~~ 1m~-N-tJ+~t!;:~W~ 4:ti**11l!t- ~ ~~S*~~~~J$'l!t-+~~lgl!$§ ~ !¥l~~~~l!$l£$~~{J;: ~ ~1IIJ$$lIl~~~:'E8Iii't~~~~:ifii. ~ ~. ~~~ii\~~~~~~~~~.~~.o. o. *,.~rm.~f1J. *~ii\~.~• • ~~~~~~III~~~~~~J$~~~~~III~~• •~~~l!$o. '". .~~.:t:*<~~!I.~:a:12 ~ ~~~*~~~~"$IIl*«.I11~~1::::l1+1.~~-H~R. ~ $i~*'l:~.~~~l1mI-~ ~.~IIIO'(~~,!~H~·.~. .[[!. r ~~.~.*~~~~ J. '". 0. @. 0. ~1€:~~~~~~. ~~_~~-m:tiiii\.Il(_~~~~.. ~{\~~~I!!S~. ~~~jL~.~~.~~fi. (a new stage of mature strategic partnership). '". :fl(~* llml1+~~lg. 1 -R-Rg[l!t-].I::l~l11+mWJ ~ 1t~~~~~~1mftii\~~rm.. J+l!t-'". ... ~-<.!¥l~ii\~$IIl.!I- ~ ~ftlf.E-~~1tJ>(~.~~III~~~,g:~.ft-<~:lA<~$:~ o~:t: ~ ~~~~ii\11111.~~.~~~~. N~~Ii!t •. ' ~~4+!~f!~~~~~. '. '" .~h r ~ft;¢:fl(Ii!t~IIIHl1lI J ( Moscow Joint Declaration) '". ~1~~. ~ ti~~~.~f1J~r< ~~~~4:ti• • :Wltl*~. 0. 2~~1D~111I~~~lIl:ll!~~ii\~~.~ ~ *«.:g....ijll~~~f!~~~~.~.:il~~-R ~~$'. ~~Ii!t• • gm(~~~g~~~la::;~:'E~t!• • I!!S~~ ~~~.$!:ifii~.1. • •~1€:~fi• •~~~_"'!¥l.M!~~~~~la::;~~. ~ftI:'ED.~f!~~o~~ftI~.~~~~.*:ifii.o~ • •~~~~ftI~~• •1e-~~~~_~-R"'!¥l4:ti~_~~tr~_. ~• • *o~• •~~~*l!t-~~~~~ftlo@. "'i::lt!IJ~~~~~~~~~~~~~.~~J~~~"'. ~~li1H '" **.~~4:ti~*.f.E-.~EH" 0 i::lt!IJ~~~zJ;:~ffit~. ~ ~i$~~f.E-mWtin.~~~mW~~ • •_1+1 ~ @~,*,.:il tr1l1~.~~~~~~~P.:1 • •$lIl@~tr 0 4:ti~ft;¢ '" i::lt!IJ~~~~~!lII1(:'E~ 1I \l!f.E-~.{jin a 1 mW~l:;!:l~ftI~§t~~~ (. Strobe Talbott) 1+1~~III~~{mj~~~.~~'Ii{ ~ lI!f.~~.~~~~" ~ftI.~~*.$~" ~{\ • • '" $11i!t1tti_jgI~. ~. Lee Hockstader, "Clinton Fine-Tunes Message, but Will Russians Listen?" International Herald Tribune, Jan. 12, 1994, p. L. ~ ":Text of Moscow Joint Declaration," AIT Daily Wireless File Log, EPF 505, Jan. 14, 1994; and Joint News Conferenc~ "Clinton, Yeltsin Laud Success of Their First Moscow Summit," AIT Daily Wireless File Log, EPF 510, Jan. 14, 1994. h~ "Text of Moscow Joint Declaration," op. cit., pp. 27-9.. = =. :I!lI!r~. .Jr.1J;;r4li!i!:A.bI)+."ld.,... ••. t. t_,_~"., ~. _ _ . . . . .. o. $':H-fi.IJ~~.~ .. ~.I:~.III,g:~ii\-M.~-R•. 1 mWiIii~~*m~:(~m!i~• •~• • •~-Rt!!ii~~~." ~~~~ ~.*~~~ ~~~{\~~~.~*"~~jgI~~$~~*f.E-.~r<o$1$i~*~~~1t~.~~ifaf.E-~~~~~~ftI '" 1 m<,~.. 1.

(11) "iiI. 1~i1i~~.$.<411i!$.~.tJg••+<f\~iiW~~~" .~~~. ~ "'Text of Moscow Joint Declaration,'" op. cit., pp. 27--9. ~ Lee Hockstader, "'Clinton Fine-Tunes Message, but Will Russians Listen?'" lnternatio_l Herald Tribune, Jan. 12, 1994, p. 1.. ~~~~W~:&";~¢ ,,:§lIt~~II!K~~~~:&";f\.lLo. I ~1!5~~~~1!:<-E" I ~1!51a'~~~~~.~~H~a:g~" ~~.Hii" ' *.~~tt" :d.4nW~~~~. ~~*~~~~.~~~~~~+<.~~"~~~~W~~~.~.~~o~~~~.~~*~.~~~~~~~~f\~1I! ~<-=l." .~. .*~.~.:&";OO.o@$.~.~~II!~~~~~~~~~~~"~~~~*~~~~~~~~~~.~o. ~.II!~I!5,,~~~~*~~.~~~~~•••~~.~~~~,,~~~~.~~~.~o~II!••~~.~II!~~ lIt~.ft~~"~.~~•• "~I~~~~~II!W~~**.~,n.~.~~"~~~~~.~~~o@~~" ••~ I ~1!5~l1E•••~iHE_W~~~" I ~1!5~.~Ia'~~~.+<~t@~.~ I 1!5~~~II!~Jl!Ig~-<~~.~~" ~ 1 1!5!'>(\.!t: .1I!~$l(~~~tt~a!•• }m~l\'. '" J\!Il~~~.t:~~,*:I:If.o ~~"~~.~~~~~.~~.~~~~~"~.Ia'~~~~.~~~~~I!5_.$~o~~~*~~~~•• m~ " ~ fiit*-E~~~~.~IUW ( Yegor Gaidar) ,. .~~* (Boris Fyodorov) $~"*." ~1I!~,g: Iiiil;£W+<lI:It-mf¥;w r ~1±l~~~. J ' r ~_~f!'!+t1.1I!r~1JJW~ ~-<~~+tH!t" .~\.l:I.*J-. (Victor S. Chernomyrdin) -nml~~~~~. ~J,,~+t1~~~~~:&";II!~~.~~~~o@~~II!~I!5,,~~.~~.~~~.-<~+t1~~II!~.~.~~~~~~". . .\,,~. -4\£. ~<Ii~*,*I~~~*,~~1!:<~"1€\~~{:;'-<.II!,g:~lflt..~~*~~"tK5t-.~II!*1l!f\~II!~~~o@~*Jm.(~-<~ ••\l!!!Il ~~.:&";~~~~~~••~~~~~Z~".~:§~~~~~~~~~~.~~~.~"~~~II!~.~r~~J~.~ ••lI!r~~J*~~~'A.\"r~~J1€\~~~~~-m,~+t1ll1K~*o@ "~. ~~. --\\tI. 0. 76-90.il-.tlJ·. ~1I!~*~.~~~~~~~~'A.\".~~~~«~*··I.~~~.~~"*I~*~~*~~~r\l!!!ll~.~J~*~ "'\l!!!Il~~~~~g~~~II!~~oD~II!~.-E~~~~r~*~~J~."'.~~*~II!1!:<~"~1I!r~lIt.~II!~~~~ ~. IiHIII<+lilllt l~+f.l::lm. _+ 1~. ~ ThomasL. Friedman, "'Yeltsin Turns Down U.S. Prescription,'" lnternatio_l Herald Tribune, Jan. 14, 1994, p. 1. Alexei K. Pushkov, "Letter From Eurasia: Russia and America: The Honeymoon's Over,'" Foreign Policy, Fall 1993, No. 92, pp. ~. _ Steven Erlangep, "Refonners Shut Out of Yeltsin's Cabinet," lntematio_l Herald Tribune, Jan. 21, 1994, p. 1; and "'Russian Cabinet Told to , Shore Up State Industry," Jan. 22-23, 1994, p. 1. :ll;i§ Henry Kissinger, "Yeltsin! Yeltsin! Is He Our Man?'" Washington Post, March 23,1994, p. .A 21. .~ Philip Zelikow, "Beyond Boris Yeltsin," Foreign Affairs, Jan./Feb. 1994, pp. 44-55.. ~.i:#IUt~~.~-N~.

(12)

(13)