兩岸經貿回顧與展望

全文

(1)~r~~jirtt [iOU. f!&Illlil 'EA-'. 'Wl~14~~§M. - 68 . , -l~~1l i- ru'u?M~. )±mIl ~ ~ M~*O~ i, f!Jtf~~f,atl:t~-zh ,:v:r~~J» / Y *4i~ij ,m~ oM ~~~'EA-. . u a_g~am~M. ~ _ r~ ['ta!}JID. •. ~~~~ ,. ~~. ~M~M'-~ .;. +r~~ f,Sf~tl'fW-3i~~nmil. .. ,9- • ffirZ -t-~~wr. 0. ~ ¥ ~* , . 2- - ~f8. [tJff~:f7 f,a - '.~4lr«uf/O-!m1 ~ jF¥~ ¥ .~~. ~-gfo..:l~~JO:lJ~ W'. 0. r !if~:M} ~ti~if~~ '¥! W. *.}f'tfJi#f!MiMI!iU ± 4r~JtTi~~~ mqf+. ••*~'M~~~ o. 1i1R ~-mM*~. llif~MI!:f7[)J!ii. ' 1 !ij!~~", :~Ht! · ~fl -g. R1 nfi ~' I~ Y,~WiJ. ~ \~. "..J:-i1'f ' ~ GO L¥ ffM OOH - · ~ .ct: - n¥" ~~~ . ~~ - ~ :~!1j1J!:f ' m*:t~ld€fti!!~ w ~~~0!- ' aJ~:ij- L ' 9 ~H~lfii}~J - ~ 1.- ~!mU o. • *~ fc/a ~Hf~~f t~- ~i!l'} '~i~ ~ - l!mHtt~ q: ~!ffJri{:lfJlrm' !(Jl£l:!MJ. • -!:!lli. ! 'T:r~. 0. ~ rf8 ¥m r)ft 1f,Hlfl*iJ~~~f!M ~a tj ' }11._, y ~~:t-~ +~\Wf. ¥?$f~¥j.~:q}* ~~~]~!*J ~~GO ~i[,*fM~nij ,. ~WH¥ ~'i-1 ' ~} g*.m1-. f.'". 4~in~ ~ -~. 0. So~~2 it§1~ 41!'/fi m ~Jdru ~ WJ§td. ~*¥llli f;FJ ~~II ~~~ . tr?\g~crll(j}H¥t £-Mfl4' ¥. , !fltJ.~~lf'/e ~ J~:. 0. <~(f~. ~¥l'~U~. w.~ I ~~n r:/Q ~ .--fl. f\n~H:J~w.£ l£L ~lHi f! r lL!?:t- £661 '1:f~~f.[iOi!~jtl. ~ ~~ m~ ~~~~.~~~u , ~ ~m M ~.gB.d f.\J f!M¥~~ 'J_~~!rJ~~ '. , :ir L861. •.. ntI. ~. •• $.~~ ·. 0. -Y'. ~ £ 6I om ~~. ~-;;:--m~HlRl!.!?1TJ-( ' (j~W~¥~~ Y ~ ~ ~.~, '-~ P,. ~~{L;+¥fIjJ )Jjf:MH~ilfu):fJ.G~[rJ~W!~~U-M'::. 'fi '. ~~3.=nIJfdrrz,I~3P. , ~. .@GS!1!. ~*~ ~~~ M I~~¥o~ZW§~ •• ~ •• ~ ¥ ~M.W~ • • ~f!Mm ~ . V % OO~ GFJ Mill-~ ~~ ~ q~¥ffi ~Mim!* +}:i~ OL ~ a ,~ili*~! fIbj , :lih7.J lWlfU~!['~ ;- ,Mf#l}.1f;i:; O£ @f %~ 3;l-Y!i'J' f (~rJ~~~! 0. o. •. @ ~. ~ ~ *~~ ~W ~ ~ , ~~~.~~m~ ~ ~~~.~,~~o - ~q:~ . ~~~ ~. ~~iii'!?f(j'itr~r' ' iifJ ~ t.r;ri4f~ ~111-~~. ~~D~~>d!'IE1J' *~mN/ ~. 1tb-!Mf$fmV~:r D rt · ~ ~. 1£ ~ffr- f,a?f~4f~~.~~n:r}~m. ~Gij ~ ~:f1)~. ' . _:t1~. ( i6 ~ +} ::trOL. 11'EA- • ~ilfi~W-I~'?:§l~ ~~M:r~£I:!~~~ • ~~F jtl ' * r:1 ~ft:P+, i-096T. 0. .!Ibk:8 w.ill*~S }??-~m' V ~ ~~ . :;!{. 08 .~ , ¥ 4rM+} 106Y ~ *~i't1£?l§ ' !mE= - g 1H::L j ~~~ ·· ..!=}-WfJfm 0. 1!fI~GeqrWl(:i~iH~~jf~[linJ£,2f ~~i§'* f:~. !)jIuf:!jJ. ~±~~!iT~O ~gi6 +,!' ,¥ 1}~W¥4f{[#j@ ' H;'p@w\j)J - vrl ~. q.

(2) *~I;j1t!J~. ~I. 0. *1li 1~iHT~l;[1t£OO1J.l(Jl~_~JL~~t~~. IJ -'-' ~ ~~ f,tf p)t 0 W~~ 1iR '. ~~. ?'~5E ff ~. @J:ttl fiJi. I!m~.gi ;t;ll!~~~ , t;!t*~.lA±*.g. *. lJl~ 1~' 15'$ t~~Jl.ltf. '*. [~~:p;j:;t@J. -s.z f& '. f*q:s';J ~U!. •• ~~ ••• @ A m*m ~ , ~~.~~.=@~.~W~ ~~. tt ~ ~ m~~~~'. ltJfFif]t ,. ,. ~1¥.t.rJJtr.J~~~f*Jf\fS[ Y DJlt 0 ~fI"Im-~~W [3 ;ruBJ1IilDf IJ D';J~w~ 1*i'J§t~,~. JlUx W 'J ttl. Mtm-1W ~(J':J i& h'1 rtl~ Jf1i tQ. HElllftflJ~1;j mff~ Il~ , 1111 ~ f1tt1Hj;:B';J{ti' r-r~/JtiJ fJg ~ -f"f IJ 0. 1979if-*ff~BflttS. ,iit~ t¥lI:filJ -1Hfi ~,£fj ~ ~-¥$.\i*~lf-~i&rsF",' lID a. :tp:rm1i5li&~ ' * ~1&nit:$'t-~ji'!m f*. 11&. O-=};;, [tSl. '. ~1E~&\ Ir.1'pwi$ {}) ~~tr: I~i(J~~ ifx. ¥il 1m illT ' f£ 7f-f t lJUJ ~ a'J1'mSrF, i1!H.I'0 -'-' Ji'£fL~ *1Jffl ~ ,..:Q;;n =riB ...!!;W ill! sl;] n:a: ' I~ ~ T mi$ S'~ :-2 ~ ~ttHft~Yi~;f4~ffi ' 1979 if- *~$.*&~m*~HJ ~ii 0 ~(J1;j i±l 1 ~ 5600 ; ~5f: ' iTriii .~P i UA o. 0. ~tikn19 2100 ~~Jt ' f:i'T-..;~~. t ) Jtt- lQ*¥U §. lW~.il:1}) ?~7f~. a'0 ~rdlWJ~n~tQ.if!.njH. 6'n R':J ftlE!: W-'-' -. 0. 3500 ~ ~X. 0. ' /- Jtt*~tikl±l OIUii JX~tl:l t±l DIU PtikB"J~6'uj;)~ ~tEil:Jb &mr ;jEj.m±., fTJ 1JQ..t. b ~~ 0. 1f:~*B'0 ttl 0 *~~. 8) l101f.~~X ' .g°. ~ 1l~* I~ 1lJ CI iU tli tr.J~~l)J:j=I ~'if&* ftl!' MHf 6'iJ~. 0. i±rtt~J1,1iE~o &. /J¥:~4B':J ~~(~1JD~~t:. , f~I~ -'-". ~ :M*~ tfj I J Ji.)f)Jx.~. 0. o. _. 1992 if * ~~iJ tJ. it* I~Wpm62 0 9fS~5f:) PW~'fV:J ~~Kti~ 74.1f,q: ~Jt. ~t'oktl 1. orJlfit1993-ff.ffi w. .~ • • ~m moo ~~ ~ , .J:j=I~,u.~ ~e ~ XoUmo ~£M ' ~$ u ~ZM '.g~. ~*Ptik~m~p~~~:.m.~%'~D~&$~m~%o 1Yi~?I,\* eJ }j~~jj l:t ~fIJ~o':JrrJ~ t.~~~~ 60 .&. ito. ~~ , .~m*B. 70-fF.. 0. ,. ~-. ~ ~ ~ fi ~~~ ~ ~~~ ' - h. 'iI:~a"JIII~U1 1J ~~~:\N*@H-nrdJjjHjf~. (1'0tR:i~ JvtftZ f&. ' 80 tf. {-\: a';Jt~"~oYRtJE~ T **~1t '. 0. ~ IJJX;2i(7ff!}. •• m,.~*~~m~~.~~a.~~~o$ ffi ~.~ttS~*~ft,~ ~. :J - (~~fil~rf-H. ' fl,\ffijoillJ}~~l%*~);JH~j1/f1&* ' mT:ri jfJ~:t9:~:if'fH~~ 1987 if-I'- , tJ7!!OO1n(A ~ * ~f,Ufl' mtttt:J ~ liijftjf:\--*fl'0 m~ , *~f€liHf1B'0~IW-± l1Bll& i5li:nt6 ' \ o~ [ ~ rtJ~ , fDiPJ ~~&garuJ~IS'7!!Ii'¥i. @j ~lf~ 1m @..t.O':J , 11, TfiJ~~lJt~~~$ r~ 1993 $- 6 F.I ~.I.t ' 1t:J~~1~HflH:{l:m:ff~~c.~*[l§:O'1:t~:&¥Iiii'lliem ili - m* ' t.!.t ~ , ,:~WJ35 f& ' {fi. - foJil: ,f ij 0. 0. @.·~~~~.~~m~~. i:rJt6i11. _[30. ~t~t "'-[I!Jf.-\1!{hEJ ~t~W~'. fHEi hri = fiL~j~i¥J~ t1t%1JQ , t:JfJi. . ffl.mlmH#19'i*t:J ~JtJ* ~A: B'0ili D 1X31Irf-bm- r~ ,*~ ~*' I/i1&r:p, mfieFRo1}Jj{N 53 06 % El i:1i l ' ~6tge:ff 75.4 %. *. 0. * El-'-'1olIl~,~ ~ *~m.B'0-'-'~~~ ' 7~~.I~~~~~ ~,~ .~*~ ~tfjDtQ.~. r&g,. 0. f~ '. *'. H = A(i5H1991:fF~I¥~~J:j=I, fl 51.6%*i3ii i1liIfi1E~l§Dl:Jf"~""fA '. ~~~~~~ 3 5 .9%*m~~T. ~ ~~~*o~ m~.ll *~~B 0 trM ~. *. ~*' (J'J ~o ill! ~7U5G ~ ~ jlj ,. ~J {EoJj;J -fflJ,tA'0}I?f* 9'. ,~. Ifli. $ 8~ ~~~. iffi.EL Nlf ~ i!HI~ Wt:*: f{-)]! O';J ~ ~o :tEJttf11! 1~ aT, mff'raJ P), r.H MWi i-¥ B%1 ' f)JH~f;ff.i 01IJ)t:&JJii-:k ' [jU1I<§' , t:J~8/~IIIf!7$: {iJ. ~ ,f Wrfl':Jl~i JJO '. 0. - 40 .

(3) 1Ell:*J~t~~B/~-M~~Mirp. ,. !i!fE~J;j Ji-t /J \1f: *~±. '. ffl.JITif**J£:~m~MrrJ::WI tt*113H3t -. 8'01.$.\ i~~ , ifij.Rt~5~F1i El &lfuQ!! mffll1tn:q* 'Met' n !i!re~ 11iJ1!jfJlffHi'H~ t!Hjj l¥j inJiEXj;f~ , m.EI3~ ~H¥Eii tiB [mit.lt~$!~ ~* ~ffi. /G IPJ ' ~ tt*ffi ~t9:ft' R"JiSip':ti * iliiS Ii=' J:: !:W-1i::* ' W,tt7jl~ J!i:W 8/J Ii=' I J\~1f: m/GfEiJ lEI 11t • );!P(* jJllffffit~:tiUf]rf-jr1'DiI&~ , f§'lt/kk' mi jfJ: :f\ llH9: ji l,¥'i3f<:f3.'i/j~ :frjl:*e/;J ~!'it Lb1l~ ~ ~ljiHJ:rW:fIWf01tfHt ' ~ l* ZF~~1W ~ fNn J}tmt'iUn:i£8/~Wl* ' {j j[.jJ.t *r~8/0f! ,~dt~# JiEl3 1979$BI~ 0.25 %t~ }J D~~ 1992 t!= U15.5 % , ~I:j:l if!Dft~1¥ /Jt~ 1.41 % ' til D i{>(1¥ilil 9.10 % [/1Jft flf;] , * 11~~J -g~B'-J'i:Y~ 1N1¥ Jl m {Eill~J:7t ' LB I979 ij:U'1 0.11 % ' J:JHu1992 $ a';] 5.02 % 0. 0. 0. -, ~~~ti~. ~ ~~~&~.* ~~ ,~~~~ ~~* m~Tm*~~WoEl3 ~~ fi*e~. ~-g.~~~ m.~~~ , ~~ ~~~. ~til ~ ·~~ ~~. ~. •• ~ m*~ t '. -~@~.~.~M G~. tt f9tl*,~ 1/diB~ 50 % ; :H- }J ifiix f5EfJ;t~I±lD i!E f@ ill.J23ttl~J j( * W~ ' ~tHjillfi*' & ~ ft I ~ r1: ,it~Wl. 0. iYf ~ A mllLf1l!r~ {,I fi Iffi i&:*: I~ j)!];f ~ ~~fil! fr~ tE ~ r.r1 B!~:!~ R ' ~ A?i i:l3 1/~' ~jg~ ~ fili w\: Y €'r ~r~ ft ~ilmBI] r,gi~ ft $ NJ: ' *~~~~ if-B/l~iHG~ , ~lIlHt ~H'-i5( 1§[~1'. l1 jt ' ~iti ~i!£ f@F-l 1988 .fF-.l-) 1&00 ~ii ""f ~1f. ' £il ~ ~ff} fil cp ~1IE 'ht 13. £I~\El'"~ £J1I.~ , JJl"HMF!ififili {~ GNP tt19~ m ~ 70 % ' B *mi!] jf& 65 % ' f;:t ~ f~fEJgOl~~ , i:l r!?_Hjf;])J[HJJ *~fHN*fl,;]IiX:R~FJ1 ~j~J~£ 1rni:l~ GNP tt 0. 0. 0. j§~ftJ""fIl$jf!/fJE~. ~ B1 JH&:1J /oJjID~. '. m~ Q/;J ~;n*6 tt1J~ OfUJ ~ 1 t. 0. f"fjft1~ ~ $R1 ~~*l[. ,. tJt.!~~'tiP~)jifftfrJAA. 0. :'1S-jJOO ' :M J::~jH~~~1§~~3&~j7\H~W~Y~ ? jtti/~}}jHdit~ fijlma/;J 9i jJ ~ ~iJi~lffi ~ DJ 0E~0J1t ' fE!!lfi~*if.'~~ ~ fiJj &~ MiJimifiji§ , flIJ IEt-EllX ffif~ .fI~Tt!!e 4Wi* *±n:~rEl~ , f& -t fiP nJ.l-~ 7C )j- fl Jffl WH'¥ Z FdWJtt ~~ f lJ ~ 81 tJ 'IMr ' ~ pxJIt; iJJ: 51 I . U~ ~-)J %; ~ ~~ t1 ftf *'5 j\ ~~ , iffi-5' itlj lI i1J1J []~!1Hltl 1/~ ~ * *~af0j~B,g ~ A ~£~~ p~H~ 1t;:t:f~Ji ' 'E*I~:tJ!:~ f&' li! i*J jt:~HVi:fr7f' 5£. o :M;f! Jtd FYII llt ' ~ j;O i&I :t ~,1f 0- if ' 1=J ~ - @: 1mH= f ~t 0- A1 m fui fMFm ' J..:J, 1987 if.f;ii; f9tl ' [)t if =tVls: 0. 0. %BX: ~~~f~ G~tIf;]. 20.1 % '. ~~ fMJ~=BfilQIH~ GNP ~1 38.5. %'. 'M·{f.~~ (Mf~ ~. GNP AI] 18.4 %. ,~ .~.~~s ~~ m ~2 .o8~ ~tt*~*~m,mm~ ~~~. y, ~ ~~ ~~ ~~. GNP 814.1 %. '. ~Mi !~UJT-g~ 2176 {'~5C. 0. R~mmif~-frFHft 1f1f. ' i=lifij~r*J t.l!l~JtfJta*~it~ f{ Z. ~~W~tt ' ~:f~~~ - @~ • • ~~~o. ~ W~~jqf6Jfl~ *IIm ~~Tm::*:~Frf$. *p"". J[Q , lliH~. m: iii *I~ ~~ i7Zf 1ft ft. ~. ' ffi~ • • • ffi ~m~m~. 0. 0. -tJMi:(f* ~iOf;]t.Q:1i f;iU~~'f ~)jT,.t*~~. ~ ittl j\i1HI~~ qJ :(£W0 11*. , A1j. lfU:t~ fT}*I~*. ' IZl ~ti=rrJj t'J"* ~ iii 0 ~ U rtfI -tj11~ mi~. •• ~ ~~~'*~~ ~ ~D ~'~~~ lO %~J:~~.*§. ~~~~ D,~.a~ - @m*~ ~. ~ o. 7\ ~i. i1!ftf fi: 1m T ft-J:Jt ~ 3(t ~J!l! * ' - JJOO@mfIJm ~ iW I~(j';J ~ilt;if~ ~'1fl~Hl11~ ~ , 1J!.JAI·:*: - 41 .

(4) ~*. a~~ iQtHttjW ~fJH~~;. (3/;]5(x*. 0. :1 -. J7rni ' lliCiJL-)t'JE!:lYlltJ '":IW ~ s/;] ~~ fjfd!f~iW " ~ ,. [P]~ *~it/j QWitHJrmr5tmCiJ l:)JIFJfW-'-'. j£ ~[Jfj';J tt~tD ftft~~. A1 § O/;] , N: Wff !-:ttjN:t~:*: ~.i~ljH~i~Lj ~ll~J'b tfDJI §. ~~ _ • • ~¥4. 1L ~ ~ *WJ~. lPJff'f lli iliIJUH&a/;]m~. fRilft~tlOt±l (Jiljtl~ U mfj';J g. • /.Jn ~7;Jii£:~O)~ im:!t. fArm '. j~tlB1- * M iI Ji'JJ'o ~~. 0. iliJ 5 ~'.¥§iWm ± ~n ru . m§~§ ~~~o.tJ~~§, ti* .. ~ Q~~&.~CiJ~Mfi • • a~~~.~ ,~ - ~oo. it '. ,;. t&'~Wffi'~". 0. tE7\Ji*~. •• ~m&~ •• ~* ~i.~~ ~ .~. , -'-'iliiB';Jt~jl niID~Uj§~~JiH~fr ' ttw :tJQ pfTf~ , --15. s';J ; ~~~fj';J """ :t£fHI1 ""F~~ffltJ. fliitfjfj';J1:.~tt~jW~:f\l1.~~ B';J~". 0. [-rri~ ~n*«i ry~f JiX::li. '. m1!ift-m~TIr~i$T tl:llJi,. 1J~'*/l?f~~f,!f m.~~m~ tJ · ·". Ftti ~i'fii' ";J-IQ. ~.~~~~~~o@~~ffim·~~:*:e~~~·ill~'illEBmii'~*~fj';J~~~* lliIT~~ ~ U)J~U£~ ~Ja. ' !!l ut ' 9. ~t:i'". rig'i::k:JffimIifg,. *~i:*J! ~ il!L{iE-Ei'. jf::f~~. 0. pfftJ ' -£{-I::l ii' ~8'~. ~"rf I'1iT@iat::fiE:t£lj~"!zn fo !V5Lt ;J(~£l';JMt!ift-, ~~ilr<'ilt! · mftDinJ:tJO~ *~~.a';J imW!JiUH& i±J1J~tJ"'-3Jfu1fHJif~~'3H\. R1 0. t) f{t@ ~ fj. f*Ift&'f.~r#J~. :. ~-. ; ~=. , IiffJ'C .fJltt ~Q::f~~f$ , ,. i&J(1 ~tl~g,.t:t5h"rir%. 1JD~'ffi{JEj1ttJ: J~~lHif,!tji[!t·W-~~". , ·Ft:&WJ 1E~iJ 1 ili;~ 7H'c~ t. .¥ij lilli:;k[lirntf ·1 0~tJzf¥fA.J". '. [ljtJ ;. l.),Ii~WJa!.! rtf¥j*~. ; ~-=. '. -!J!(t-J%3fg. 0. m.. ~~ f~ ~(~Jfx. ~.g-~l*J{£~H'0wr£gMtiJ.H. OJ J..:J :i!~i l."JJ 1 ~:;k ~~Jb1!f-'+:tJU:HilLJ. mlZ]. 0. ' tI. 0. :;kR ~ ~ ' - ~~ OJ~~m-'-'i ~n~.u~ , mH®~ ~ ~~ffimW~~a~~* ' lli~~ :ft5} ~~t:riJ~i'JjO';J1E ~*Wtljl. , ~13~l]!,. u~o ~m.~E,.~.g~ ~ p - tJJ ~ IWB/J ~1::i I. J~~tHlIJ. '. 0. U~m#WA~~»~ '. 1!11i ~* ~~9U1iiJJE ~ r 1± ~±.~r o';Jm #J.i~~. f9~ftl]7'C~81 W1H~*. '. ~~M~ A~ili *LAm~ ~~ . g,B"Jt~~i~Hf"0* j{. nt~~~l§l ' A ~ tgIDII W "1J~§EB~~r~*""f B)0 1l~. ~~D';J~ffit;j]IJf!t. {1f\~B i?i; ~ 1t(rJr&R::t:t. If(f~1f. '. f-t!!11"HlIH:;, ~J[Jt:@;1L-1f~!l B1. f~ fil ~a/Jrn~mfljlJz "F ' *!th~~jff. ,~~ .~n.ft°~ ~~~'lli ~~ ffim,*~ .~ ~ ~. , ~rJ~ :kJ} ~}!l!;!:f~ llB/0~tJ~. tl.d& ,~j¥a/;jf.~JfitdJ]. 0. J. @U~~~W~.~~* ~*. '. \£' ~a)0-f-Jj~;liL>~!2Y:1- !B: H. 0. ~)[."", lJdn~ t~~f~ffi ~ W0Xii1H~ EEm ""'· (:11~ j'l~Mf*rmi.i5lflJ.m. n1lm ~ fiJf;?ta1 #~ ~' :&fi ~A8';J ~ fi) ::tf.f6Tf'igm.tlf~fj. 0. 0. tt~~. ~fP~-tjHh~~. ~. n~M .% ~~D .~'W~~ ~.·~~ ~~ o ~ ~lli,.m~M.~ ' ~~~Mi&~'. 9U -* Jf;Ob jJj m~ L-)~~ if.f =rj?.i*~v.~ , 1£11 ~~'~JH11:/j 1N '~~1(;1'0 f"\ f"~i }J>t~. ,. ~ ~ ''": ~~~x im1H£~ c J}~';J ~~ f*. ;-k:{.'-\' ~rl'{,\8~,Ij\tJ)J '. lli/f' f.i~!~H1' '. litffll f,\,:f. !hj: A'~ fE]f.iif. 0. ff. f!i1f~ j1t -, #wp ft. ~{'i'fqjitm 0. IaJfI fl'1 '. OJ L-~P.&;:; 1}E?9 8·~J-'Mi r:!ljtHji~ ,. -42 . 0. f9~ fto. r.:=Jill J. '. tJ ~ gffi~~jI;: :!'~j1( 9=J {,\8'0. B\]~j#JXttJL ;I£. *[~itlPt:r · ~ ~ D'0 itt~*~~ ' -{=f§;iJ1a. 0. I. ,. £\H~~JHJl5?. :tji~f~l¥ jaJEJ.

(5)