• 沒有找到結果。

第五章 研究結論

第三節 研究建議與討論

立 政 治 大 學

N a tio na

l C h engchi U ni ve rs it y

第三節 研究建議與討論

本研究主要係探討創業精神對於全球資金流動之影響,研究結果獲得實證支持,惟 研究過程仍有許多可精進或值得討論面向,在資料蒐集方面,考量各資料庫型態、調查 期間、國家數量,難以周全,其中直接投資雙邊流量,受限於 IMF CDIS 資料庫於本研 究蒐集資料期間,僅有 6 年 (2009 至 2015 年) 數據,惟變數影響性,可能需要長時間 觀察,未來俟可尋找替代方式解決。

在變數選擇方面,Stein and Daude (2007) 指出一般實證文獻討論雙邊貿易或資金流 動,多以國家間地理特徵 (距離) 及國家間文化與歷史相關變數,表示交易成本,惟並 未考量夥伴國家即時溝通需求所產生之交易成本,雖然電話、Email 及即時通訊技術,

可以取代面對面溝通,但人們仍然偏好夜間睡眠,未來似乎可以考慮以時區變數取代距 離。另外,本研究變數雖涵蓋創業、經濟及文化等面向,惟政治因素如兩國情勢、有無 戰爭等,對資金流動也可能產生影響,未來似可考慮選擇適合之政治變數列入模型,以 更周妥反映國家環境背景因素。

在跨國差異方面,處於早期發展階段之國家或經濟體,每年可能有較多數量企業個 體開始發展,但是較少能持續維持,相反地,已開發國家或經濟體,可能有較多數量建 立經年之商業擁有者,或屬於經營情況較為穩定之大型企業體,相對而言,處於初期創 業階段者較少,本研究雖以社會價值或創業者態度,彌補創業精神變數可能產生之偏差,

惟未來似乎對於創業精神變數中,關於創業階段之初期、早期、經營及撤銷等,進一步 加以處理。最後,本研究目的經由追蹤資料實證模型獲得驗證支持,惟研究結論尚屬概 括性結果,可能無法在單一國家得到相同驗證,未來亦可擇選具代表性國家、城市或地 區,以區域 (協定) 或特殊議題,考慮區域經濟整合或貿易協定等,再就國家效果或其 他面向進行深入探討比較,似可得到更為細緻或不同面向觀察結果。

‧ 國

立 政 治 大 學

N a tio na

l C h engchi U ni ve rs it y

參考文獻

王良欽,2003,⟪國際金融⟫。臺北:五南。

王薇婷、張國益、林晉禾,2012,〈台商對中國大陸直接投資的決定性因素分析:

1998-2007〉。《中國大陸研究》55(2): 105-130。

李陳國,2011,⟨跨國企業對外直接投資與技術移轉之經濟分析⟩。⟪管理科學研究⟫ 8(1):

19-39。

林祖嘉、陳思婷,2012,〈中國大陸製造業中,台港澳資本與外資直接投資技術外溢效 果之比較研究〉。《中國大陸研究》55(1): 71-99。

吳坤祥,2005,⟨從全球觀點看美國的投資部位⟩。⟪國際經濟情勢雙周報⟫ 1590: 5-17。

高子荃、詹淑慧,2010,⟨臺灣資訊電子業之廠商規模與成長: 外人直接投資、技術差距、

財務 結構效果之分量分析⟩。⟪經濟研究⟫ 46(1): 69-101.

黃登興、黃幼宜,2006,⟨兩岸三地貿易流量的變遷-引力模型的驗證⟩。⟪臺灣經濟預 測與政策⟫ 36(2): 47-75。

黃智聰、歐陽宏,2006,⟨世界各國對中國大陸直接投資決定因素之研究⟩。⟪遠景基金 會季刊⟫ 7(2): 139-178。

黃鎮平、黃秀珊,2008,〈企業創業精神之實證研究〉。《創業管理研究》3(3): 1-27。

曾志弘、林志潔、鍾招正,2014,〈創業精神對企業營運績效之影響-從行動積極性的 角度〉。《創業管理研究》9(2): 77-103。

曹海濤、葉日崧,2008,〈中國大陸企業海外直接投資之分析〉。《中國大陸研究》55(1):

31-65。

張孟元、劉江彬,2005,《無形資產評估鑑價之理論與實務》。臺北:華泰文化公司。

葉國俊、何泰寬、張李易呈,2010,〈資金流動、國際金融整合與經濟成長:東歐、東 亞與拉丁美洲新興經濟體的實證分析〉。《經濟研究》46(2): 245-284。

蔡攀龍、蔡青龍,2012,〈經濟發展、外人直接投資與國際勞工移動:「投資-移民-發 展路徑」的分析架構〉。《台灣東南亞學刊》9(1): 3-24。

‧ 國

立 政 治 大 學

N a tio na

l C h engchi U ni ve rs it y

劉常勇、謝如梅,2006,〈創業管理研究之回顧與展望:理論與模式探討〉。《創業管理 研究》1(1):1-43。

Hewitt, Paul G.著、蔡坤憲譯,2011,《觀念物理Ⅱ》。臺北:大和。

Walter, Malcolm 著、徐偉傑譯,2000,《全球化》。臺北:弘智。

Aaby, Nils-Eeik and Stanley F. Slater, 1989, “Management Influences on Export Performance:

A Review of the Empirical Literature 1978-1988.” Int Mark Rev 6(4):7-26.

Alicia Blanco-Gonzalez, Francisco Diez-Martin and Alberto Prado-Roman, Antonio Navarro-Garcia and Marta Peris-Ortiz, 2015, Entrepreneurship, Global Competitiveness and Legitimacy. In New Challenges in Entrepreneurship and finance, Edited by Marta Peris-Ortiz and Jean-Michel Sahut. Cham: Springer International Publishing. Pp.57-70.

Alfaro, Laura and Andrew Charlton, 2006, “International Financial Integration and Entrepreneurial Firm Activity.” Harvard Business School Working Paper 07-012.

Ana Cruz-Suarez, Camilo Prado-Roman and Sandra Escamilla-Solano, 2015, Nations of Entrepreneurs: A Legitimacy Perspective. In New Challenges in Entrepreneurship and finance, Edited by Marta Peris-Ortiz and Jean-Michel Sahut. Cham: Springer International

Publishing. Pp.157-168.

Anderson, James E., “The Gravity Model.” Annual Review of Economic 3:133-160.

Angulo, Emma and Alice Hierro, 2017, “Asymmetries in the Coordinated Direct Investment Survey: What Lies Behind?” IMF Working Paper 17/261.

Antonio Navarro-Garcia and Marta Peris-Ortiz, 2015, Export Entrepreneurship and Export Performance. A Resource and Competitive Perspective. In New Challenges in Entrepreneurship and finance, Edited by Marta Peris-Ortiz and Jean-Michel Sahut. Cham:

Springer International Publishing. Pp.1-15.

Aviat, Antonin and Nicolas Coeurdacier, 2007, “ The Geography of Trade in Goods and Asset Holdings.” Journal of International Economics 71: 22–51.

‧ 國

立 政 治 大 學

N a tio na

l C h engchi U ni ve rs it y

High-Growth Entrepreneurship.” NBER Working Paper 24489.

Baldwin, Richard and Daria Taglioni, 2011, “Gravity Chains Estimating Bilateral Trade Flows When Parts and Components Trade is Important.” European Central Bank Working Paper Series 1401.

Baumol, William J., 1968, ”Entrepreneurship in Economic Theory.” American Economic Review 58(2):64-71.

Baxter, Marianne and Urban J. Jermann, 1997, “The international diversification puzzle is worse than you think.” American Economic Review 87(1): 170-191.

Bergstrand, Jeffrey H., 1990, “The Heckscher-Ohlin-Samuelson model, the Linder hypothesis, and the determinants of bilateral intra-industry trade.” Economic Journal 100: 1216-1229.

Brenton, Paul, Francesca Di Mauro, and Matthias Lucke, 1999, “Economic Integration and FDI: An Empirical Analysis of Foreign Investment in the EU and in Central and Eastern Europe.” Empirica 26(2): 95-121.

Buch, Claudia M., 2001, Information or Regulation: What is Driving the International Activities of Commercial Banks?, Manuscript, Kiel: Kiel Institute of World Economics.

Cheng, I Hui, and Howard J. Wall, 2005, “Controlling for Heterogeneity in Gravity Models of Trade and Integration.” Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review 87(1):49-63.

Chipman, John S., 1965, “A Survey of the Theory of International Trade: Part 2, The Neo-Classical Theory.” Econometrica 33(4): 685-760.

Choi, Seung Mo, Laura Kodres, and Jing Lu, 2018, Friend or Foe? Cross-Border Linkages, Contagious Banking Crises, and “Coordinated” Macroprudential Policies. IMF Working Paper 18/9.

de Me´nil, George, 1999. “Real capital market integration in the EU.” Economic Policy 28:

167–204.

Deardorff, Alan V., 1998, Determinants of Bilateral Trade: Does Gravity Work in a Neoclassical World? In The Regionalization of the World Economy, Edited by Jeffrey A.

‧ 國

立 政 治 大 學

N a tio na

l C h engchi U ni ve rs it y

Frankel. Chicago: University of Chicago Press. Pp.7-32.

Drucker, Peter F., 1985, Innovation and Entrepreneurship: Practice and Principles, New York:

Harper and Row.

Evans, David S. and Boyan Jovanovic, 1989, “An Estimated Model of Entrepreneurial Choice Under Liquidity Constraint.” Journal of Political Economy 97: 808-827.

Evans, David S. and Linda S. Leighton, 1989, “Some Empirical Aspect of Entrepreneurship.”

American Economic Review 79: 519-535.

Frankel, Jeffery, 1982, “A Search of the Exchange Risk Premium: A Six-Currency Test Assuming Mean-Variance Optimization.” Journal of International Money and Finance 1:

255-274.

Faruqee, Hamid, Shujing Li, and Isabel K. Yan, 2004, “The Determinants of International Portfolio Holding and Home Bias.” IMF Working Paper 04/34.

Ghosh, Swatis and Holger Wolf, 1999. The geography of capital flows. In: Capital Inflows to Emerging Markets. Edited by Edwards, S., Chicago: University of Chicago Press.

Giofre, Maela, 2017, “Financial Education, unvestor protection and International Portfolio Diversification” Journal of International Money and Finance 71:111-139.

Glancey, Keith S. and Ronald W. McQuaid, 2000, Entrepreneurship in the Neoclassical Economics. In Entrepreneurial Economics, Edited by Jo Campling. Houndsmill and New York: Palgrave Macmillan. Pp.41-56.

Hausman, Jerry A., 1978, “Specification Tests in Economics.” Econometrica 46(6):

1251-1271.

Held, David, Anthony McGrew, David Goldblatt, and Jonathan Perraton, 1999, Global Transformations. CA: Stanford University Press.

Helliwell, John F., 1997, “National Borders, Trade and Migration.” Pacific Economic Review 2(3): 165-185.

‧ 國

立 政 治 大 學

N a tio na

l C h engchi U ni ve rs it y

Fourteen Industrial Countries.” Journal of The Japanese and International Economies I:

62-81.

Hessels, Jolanda and André van Stel, 2011, “Entrepreneurship, Export Orientation, and Economic Growth.” Small Bus Econ 37(2):255-268.

Humanicki, Marcin, Robert Kelm, Krzysztof Olszewski, 2013, “Foreign Direct Investment and Foreign Portfolio Investment in the contemporary globalized world: should they be still treated separately?” NBP Working Paper 167.

Hvide, Hans K., Paul Oyer, 2018, “Dinner Table Human Capital and Entrepreneurship.”

NBER Working Paper 24198.

Igan, Deniz and Zhibo Tan, 2015, “Capital Inflows, Credit Growth, and Financial Systems.”

IMF Working Paper 15/193.

Imbs, Jean, 1999, “Co-fluctuations.” CEPR Discussion Paper No. 2267.

International Monetary Fund, 2015, The Coordinated Direct Investment Survey Guide – 2015 (CDIS Guide).

Jones, Kent, 2006, Globalization and Entrepreneurship. In Entrepreneurship and Entrepreneurial Behavior, Edited by Maria Minniti et al. New York: Praeger. VolⅠ

(Prager Perspectives Series).

Jones, Kent and Megan McDonald Way, 2011, Entrepreneurship and the Decision to Export.

In The Dynamics of Entrepreneurship, Edited by Maria Minniti. Oxford: Oxford University Press. Pp.277-298.

Keupp, Marcus Matthias, Gassmann Oliver, 2009, “The Past and the Future of International Entrepreneurship: A Review and Suggestions for Developing the Field.” J Manag 35(3):600-633.

Kerr, Sari Pekkala, William R. Kerr, 2018, “Immigrant Entrepreneurship in America:

Evidence from the Survey of Business Owners 2007&2012.” NBER Working Paper 24494.

Koellinger, Phillip, Maria Minniti and Christian Schade, 2011, Excess Entry and

‧ 國

立 政 治 大 學

N a tio na

l C h engchi U ni ve rs it y

Entrepreneurial Decision: The Role of Overconfidence. In The Dynamics of Entrepreneurship, Edited by Maria Minniti. Oxford: Oxford University Press. Pp.11-30.

Linnemann, Han, 1966, An Econometric Analysis of International Trade Flows, Amsterdam, Holland.

Mayer, Thierry and Soledad Zignago, 2011, Notes on CEPII’s distances measures: The GeoDist database, Working paper 25, CEPII.

Metulini, Rodolfo , Massimo Riccaboni, Paolo Sgrignoli and Zhen Zhu, 2017, The Indirect Effects of Foreign Direct Investment on Trade: A Network Perspective, The World Economy 40(10):2193-2225.

Minniti, Maria and Moren Levesque, 2008, “Recent developments in the economics of entrepreneurship.” Journal of Business Venturing 23(6): 603-612.

Narver, John C. and Stanley F. Slater, 1990,”The Effect of a Market Orientation on Business

Profitability.” Journal of Marketing 54(4): 20-35.

Obstfeld, Maurice 1994, “Risk-Taking, Global Diversification and Growth.” American Economic Review 84:1310-1329.

Obstfeld, Maurice and Kenneth Rogoff, 2001, The Six Major Puzzles in International Macroeconomics: Is There a Common Cause? In NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2000,

Volume 15, edited by Ben S. Bernanke and Kenneth Rogoff. CA: University of California Press. Pp. 339 – 412.

Ouedraogo, Rasmane, 2017, “Portfolio Inflows and Real Effective Exchange Rates: Does the Sectorization Matter?” IMF Working Paper 17/121.

Portes, Richard and Helene Rey, 1998, “The Euro and International Equity Flows.” Journal of the Japanese and International Economies 12(4): 406-23.

Portes, Richard, Helen Rey and Yonghyup Oh, 2001, “Information and Capital Flow: The Determinants of Transactions in Financial Assets.” European Economic Review 45:

‧ 國

立 政 治 大 學

N a tio na

l C h engchi U ni ve rs it y

Portes, Richard and Helen Rey, 2005, “The Determinants of Cross-Border Equity Flows.”

Journal of International Trade 65: 269-296.

Poyhonen, Pentti, 1963, “A Tentative Model for the Volume of Trade between Countries.”

Weltwirt schaftliches Archiv 90(1): 93-100.

Reynolds, Paul D., Michael Hay, Michael S. Camp, 1999, Executive Report, GLOBAL ENTREPRENEURSHIP MONITOR.

Sauermann, Henry, Chiara Franzoni, Kourosh Shafi, 2018, “Crowdfunding Scientific Research.” NBER Working Paper 24402.

Sousa, Carlos M.P., Francisco J. Martínez‐ López, Filipe Coelho, 2008, ”The Determinants of Export Performance: A Review of the Research in the Literature between 1998 and 2005.”

Int J Manag Rev 10(4):343-374.

Stein, Ernesto, Christian Daude, 2007, ”Longitude Matters: Time Zones and The Location of Foreign Direct Investment.“ Journal of International Economics 71: 96–112.

Stimson, James A., 1985, “Regression in Space and Time: A Statistical Essay.” American Journal of Political Sciences 29(4): 914-947.

Timmons, Jeffry A. and Stephen Spinelli, 2007, New venture creation: Entrepreneurship for the 21st century 7th Edition, NY: McGraw-Hill.

Tinbergen, Jan, 1962, Shaping the World Economy: Suggestions for an International Economic Policy. New York: The Twentieth Century Fund.

Tumwebaze, Henry K., Wilfred K. Nahamya, 2015, “Determinants of Uganda’s Export Performance: A Gravity Model Analysis.” International Journal of Economics and Business Studies 5(1-2): 3-19.

United Nations Conference on Trade and Development, 1999, “Comprehensive Study of the Interrelationship between Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) and Foreign Portfolio Investment (FPI).” UNCTAD/GDS/DFSB/5.

United Nations Conference on Trade and Development, 2008, “Creative Economy Report-

‧ 國

立 政 治 大 學

N a tio na

l C h engchi U ni ve rs it y

The Challenge of Assessing the Creative Economy: Towards Informed Policy-Making.”

UNCTAD/DITC/2008/2.

United Nations Conference on Trade and Development, 2012, Entrepreneurship Policy Framework and Implementation Guidance, UNCTAD/DIAE/ED/2012/1.

Walker, John, Brigitte Unger, “Measuring Global Money Laundering: “The Walker Gravity Model”.” Review of Law and Economics 5(2) 821-854.

Wynne, Jose, 2005, “Wealth as a Determinant if Comparative Advantage.” American Economic Review 95(1):226-254.

Zou, Shaoming and Simina Stan, 1998,” The Determinants of Export Performance: A Review of the Empirical Literature between 1987 and 1997. ” Int Mark Rev 15(5):333-356.

Constant

8.0897***

BusServices𝑗

-0.0000

R-squared 0.0052

Adjusted R-squared 0.0047 F-test

P-value

8.48

Constant

8.0720***

BusServices𝑗

0.0000***

R-squared 0.0330

Adjusted R-squared 0.0318 F-test

P-value

69.59

Constant

-9.5140***

BusServices𝑗

0.0139***

R-squared 0.3963

Adjusted R-squared 0.3960 F-test

P-value

2337.44 0.0000

25176.01 0.0000 說明:*、**、*** 分別表示該係數在 10%、5%、1% 的顯著水準下,以雙尾檢定

拒絕虛無假設。

資料來源:本研究整理。

Constant

11.0874***

(0.1565)

11.5187***

(0.4798)

11.2486***

(0.2365)

R-squared 0.0107

Adjusted R-squared 0.0086 F-test

Constant

10.9630***

(0.0003)

10.9634***

(0.0008)

10.9632***

(0.0003)

R-squared 0.0686

Adjusted R-squared 0.0662 F-test

Constant

8.4554***

R-squared 0.2095

Adjusted R-squared 0.2086 F-test

P-value - 329.80

0.0000

3,577.43 0.0000 說明:*、**、*** 分別表示該係數在 10%、5%、1% 的顯著水準下,以雙尾檢定

拒絕虛無假設。

資料來源:本研究整理。

Constant

9.5103***

(0.1563)

10.0020***

(0.4280)

R-squared 0.0153

Adjusted R-squared 0.0136 F-test

P-value

7.75

Constant

9.9535***

R-squared 0.0153

Adjusted R-squared 0.0136 F-test

P-value

76.13

Constant

3.6636***

0.00245***

(0.0049)

R-squared 0.2710

Adjusted R-squared 0.2701 F-test

P-value

388.70 0.0000

4,261.13 0.0000 說明:*、**、*** 分別表示該係數在 10%、5%、1% 的顯著水準下,以雙尾檢定

拒絕虛無假設。

資料來源:本研究整理。