• 沒有找到結果。

第五章 結論與建議

第二節 研究限制與建議

研究限制

本研究針對高鐵使用情形進行探討,欲瞭解對於選擇以高鐵作為旅次主 要運具之可能影響因素為何,然而在資源有限之情況下,未能取得最理想之 旅次行為資料進行分析。本研究主要針對高鐵車站區位可及性及地方運輸系 統兩面向切入,分析對於高鐵作為主要運具之影響情形。若欲瞭解高鐵旅次 之分布情形,最理想的資料為以全臺灣民眾每日每次之旅次進行蒐集,可對 於不同旅次目的、接駁情形、個人偏好、旅次性質等內容加以瞭解在各種情 況下,民眾會選擇之主要運具為何,此種資料蒐集方式能更貼近實際狀況,

所得到之研究結果能更具有價值。然而,此種資料不僅需要大量投入,亦需 考量之變數甚多,屬於現實生活中無法取得之資料庫。故本研究選擇於八個 高鐵車站,針對高鐵旅次以問卷調查方式取得相關資訊,然而,礙於人力及 經費資源有限,因此實際調查時間選擇於暑假期間(104年8月11日至8月16日。

由於暑假期間之旅次分布情形可能與平常之旅次分布情形有所不同,如此可 能導致抽樣結果產生一定程度的誤差。

除了在旅次資料蒐集的部分受到限制,其他運輸工具之使用情形之相關 資料亦有取得困難之情形。若要能以最理想之資料對於運具選擇進行分析,

應取得包含高鐵在內,所有其他交通運輸工具之使用情形,如此可在更接近 現實之情況下,分析高鐵與其他運輸工具相互影響之最理想之料是以行為呈 現(Revealed)的運具選擇資料,而非本研究的敘述性(Stated)運具選擇資 料分析民眾選擇高鐵作為主要運具之情形。然而此種資料需花費極大的人力 與資源取得,因此在資源有限之情況之下,其他運輸工具之使用情形為本研 究之研究限制。

政策建議

本研究針對高鐵區位可及性及地方接駁型運輸系統是否對於高鐵作為旅 次主要運具具有影響進行分析。根據實證分析結果,提出以下建議可做為政 策上之參考:

所在地區之旅次起點(居住地、工作地點及上學地點)較多,可考 慮將高鐵車站區位選擇在人口密度較高之地區,以有效提升高鐵使 用情形。

由於高鐵車站位於可及性較高之地區,可促使高鐵使用情形。經研究

分析結果顯示,旅次起點(居工地)高鐵車站位於市中心,即人口密度較高 之地區,對於選擇高鐵作為主要運具之機率有所影響。因此若將高鐵車站 設置於人口密度較高地區,相較於設置於郊區或低度開發地區,可吸引更 多乘客使用高鐵,例如市中心、其他人口較多地區。由於至高鐵車站之可及 性較高,故乘客選擇使用高鐵作為旅次主要運具之可能性變大,使得高鐵 之使用情形有所提升。

配合地方特性發展地方接駁型運輸系統,更有效地連結高鐵車站,

以提升高鐵使用情形。

除了人口、產業密度較高地區,地方接駁型運輸系統對於高鐵使用情 形亦有影響。根據本研究之實證分析結果推論,可針對不同的地方特性,即 至該地區旅次較多亦或是該地區外出旅次較多為依據,實施相對應之地方 接駁型運輸系統相關政策,可以更有效提升高鐵車站之使用情形。

由於旅次終點(外地)所在環境熟悉程度相較旅次起點(居工地)低,

故選擇之地方接駁性運輸系統可能有所差異。根據實證分析結果,可以分 為以旅次起點(居工地)居多以及旅次終點(外地)居多之地區,提供相關 地方接駁型運輸系統之政策建議:

旅次起點(居工地)之縣市,可增加接駁鐵路車站數量。

旅次起點(居工地)居多之縣市,可選擇增加接駁鐵路車站數量,

以提升乘客選擇高鐵作為旅次主要運具之可能性。由於旅次起點(居工 地)相較旅次終點(外地)之環境熟悉程度高,故較可能選擇以路線較 簡單之接駁鐵路作為接駁運具,故旅次起點(居工地)之接駁鐵路車站 數量越多,乘客搭乘接駁鐵路可能越方便,則選擇高鐵作為主要運具之 可能性越大。

旅次終點(外地)居多之縣市,可選擇增加行經高鐵車站之公車車 站數量與高鐵快捷公車之車站數量。

旅次終點(外地)居多之縣市,可選擇增加行經高鐵車站之公車車 站以及高鐵快捷公車車站數量,以增加乘客以高鐵作為旅次主要運具之 情形。由於乘客可能對於旅次終點(外地)之環境熟悉程度相較旅次起 點(居工地)低,故乘客自高鐵車站至旅次終點(外地)可能會選擇以 至旅次終點(外地)較方便之公車系統作為接駁運具。當該縣市之公車 車站數量越多,會影響乘客自高鐵車站至旅次終點(外地)之方便性,

進而影響乘客選擇以高鐵作為旅次主要運具。

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