一九八０年代大西洋聯盟安全政策之研析

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(2) {[II. .~al@. .t--~ .1lI{e:~.{If-qtttt:: . ~)gI~-<{t€~*{[IIIi~. H=l<. )gI~Ii[~~-R~in[[{[II~i#~ , )gIf::~~tr~~.B ~~lE4:t:l~'~~~~~~Ii[~1+1~~ii;~'l+l~r ~ ~~~~ I .J?~ .. ~:l!{i#~1E-lIl:{-:It![lg~\N ~ *~~I£$~~~~fg~r ~ )gI~~If~~~~.. ~~\\tl· • i~~~~~1t. :!llIm!:$~. "''' '. 0. 1 ~~O.(!t~.!l;i!! ~. ~~~1~~~ 1 ~. ~:fKfi'~ ~~t:R~~:3:l+<)gIm:5iii&9 rK:~~~ ~ !ll~~S::Il!KIi[JII!IH~.:fK!@::!fi*J$ll~fi o€ p .. 1i[~~;fgJ!!!.tr~~*4+l~~:!fi~iW~e~. ~ ~~~$' ~&m( , itI./J!ijJP1f!l:\:ll!!!It@:Jnl(rK:ffli • 1EJ.g:r I .~~~~lIlrmK~Ii[~~ftrljt • • ·:Jnl(tr~~~~S:Ii[S*4+l •• ·1E8_~**~~~~1+1.·M~m)gIf:::!fi.~IE~~r*4+lJE*~~~*~*r-< •• . lE*l~~~rnnrr~~~~ft.~m\~~ • o:q~·R1~~if:ll:t};!.:3:l ~ 1 ~~* . 1 ~*4+l~~~~~~~~iti./J!-:It!i¢S: P~:!fi-:lt!i¢J. ~~~.o~~~Ii[~~~~~~:!fi*~~.~~~.~:!fi~~'~~~~-R~~S:~Ii[S~*~~.~~~~~~~~~;fg~. ~s:~~~~~*~ft~~~-<lIl:{:!fi~;fgit!./J!~~~:l!{~~~-R~~.~~~~~~o@~~~*4+l~~~~~~~S~~~~. -:ltI.~:!fi~$~.o~~~~~~iW.~~~)gI~Ii[.a~~.{[II~*4+l~~~.~~ • ./J!:3:l+<)gIm:5i~rK:.J$l.~ti-1ES::Il!K 0. ... o. ~.~~-:It!l~~•••~$~o • • ~~.~.~·+<~as~~~~~.~~.g.M~~~U~.~~~~·.-M~. iiIit€P Franz H. U. Borkenhagen: -Der europaische PreHer der westlichen Allianz", in Aus Politik und Zeitgeschichte. No. 18/1988. pp.35-45. 1W€l G. Krell: "Die .Entwicklung des Sicherheitsbegiiffs". in Beit~age zur.Kon/Ukt/orschung.< No•. 3/1988. pp. 33-55; O. Walpuski: Verteidigung plus Entspannung gleich Slchetheit. 'Bonn.' ,1980; K. 0; Schwarz: Siche~1teitspolitik-Analyse zltr politischen und militiirischen Sicherheit, Bad -Honner. 1978; Theodore A. Couloumbis/lames H. Wolff: Introduction to International Relations Power and Justice (New Jersey: Prentice-Hall), 1982. p.87. p.279 .. ~~.~~~~.~~~.~~~$.~~. .m. ~+<_~~.m.. 1<_~~.fiiI (ATA: Atlantic Treaty Association). ~+<IIIDJl:~1Il (NAA: North Atlantic Assembly). ~+<IIIDJl:IIl~ (NAC: North Atlantic Council). (NATO). iilit9 ISJIi+<_.fiiI~!!it-~E[I!!Uia.··. ~~-<i#$~:Il!KIi[~.~~.~~~~~~.~~.~*.~~~.~tr.~~~lf::~~$~~~.~~ti~~!@:~~.. IiiB:Vdli -:It! \lffill +< 1~ ~~ ~ -Nrttll!lJ!l M11*. •.

(3) pp.35-45. ". .. - -------- .". .. - ........ _- ... V., .... nr -"..... ....,1I/> .... 6~"""',.."'... Cit. l'U,. 1.°/,1700,. ditl@ G. Krell: "Die )~ntwicklung des Sicherlleitsbegiiffs", in Beit;iige flur .. Konfliktforschung" No.. 3/1988, pp. 33-55; G. Walpuski: Verteidigung plus Ehtspannung gleich Sichetheit, . Bonn,' 1980; K. 0; Schwarz: Siche~hei'tspolitik-Ano;ly$e flur Politischen und militlirischen Sicherheit, Bad Honnef, 1978; Theodore. A. Couloumbis/James H. Wolff: Introduction to International Relations Power and Justice (New Jersey: Prentice-Hall), 1982, p.87, p.279.. r {!JI~j¢~~J (Self-Finlandiza tion) ~{j£ "" ~m1~~gmj-~j:iHII!I~~.iji'~lim\ii' ~llllll:l1\KiDt.+.tfIS*. 0. Wi " .~-M1!!-:I:H 1:gjli~Ut'*'.~~~ ~~li!1~*~.~ ~ +</gI~fi>mliii\tI:tI~~.N~~~,*,MIEI~/gI~mlllI~~~'~ "~IIif!H!~~ ~jI(.i1i~~ l€l ~i3'fl~:!f:1. ~~.~~.*~~~.~$~~~"~+<l€l~~*~tI:tI~~.~~~~~~~~**\ii'~~~~.~"~~.:!f:1~$"~~~. crisis) $~ 1 ~-\lO-llt~ ,,~.Mtlmm~~~lii~fE~~~~. 0. ~. 1~<O-llt~l~M". • • • • :l1\KE~~R~.~.~.{j£o~~+<l€l~.i3'fl~.~.~~l€l~,,~~ • • {j£l€l~ • • ~~K~~:!f:1~.*.~o. ~, <~~~~~~: +<l€l)l;tl:.i3'fl~~\>\E:4!Q~(systemic. "lS~~*mK~~~~tiiIl~, {!JI1:H' ~~~1~' lJE.~lI!~' ~~~'*'~it1.. ~lM".~+<l€l)l;tl:.~~ • • • ~~~~_"~~W~~ • • • • ~.l€l.~~~.~• • ~ • • • • o~~. (American way of life). *~~l€l.~~~J~~~tI:tI~~a~~,,9~~+<l€l)l;tl:.i3'fl~~ • • ~B • • • ~~.o l~KO.~~~~="l€l.~~¢. •••. 1IlI~~ r:l1lK~t{#1)igJ. ~~.*. *§~~~~~~~~~~~1~~~~~~~~~~.~*~~~~~~~~.~~.~~~$~~~~~~"~:l1lK~:!f:1e~~. ~~~~~~~l!iH~~B~~~~nl!l(~~111$l.~i!>(~~~~lI! ,,~~r]!!lr~i'i:~~i!>(~~~~~~~Bm\- ~:l1lK~ 1 {j£(/El9P~:!f:1~:l!!IU!= ~ ~ :j('\;;;;;&:!f:1~&~~ ~ ~~ 1~l€l.~~ '~~~~-M1!!-:I:H~~ " Jjt-:j:~.!SI-llt:!f:1$~~~ ~ l€l.~~~~\IIf:~:j(• • ~~~B~~.~:$!II~li{~m·" ~~mm~~ • ..yll$ll~l~ ~ l€l~aa§~ ~~.:!f:1Bm\-·R~~" $I 1 ~~.i!>(~I<~~.Bm\-f:\~ " ~fE ~ 1 ~< l-llt~.••~~mj:l$':~tf.~·mKDllll~i!£~~~~~ (SDI) "~(/E .~~~~.R~.{j£:!f:1~~ • • "~.l€l~~.*:l1lK§~.~~~~• • ~~~~,*,~~.~·8~~ • • *gBM~~. (warfighting capacity) ~~~.~~,*,~\ii'~:itl il(~~~~~~" $~~,*, j ~m;.~" {[]{tI!I<4~rl;r.i.l<t~-K~~~m)!it-K~~. diti@) . pp. 3-16; John Palmer.. ~al!l.HIJII1I' $l./BII(m&~1JII1I ' -K• • •j;If.41•• ' .Eill€ j ;_. ' ~ rll(iIiP~.J C-double track" decision), .EIIIIIIF'iJ;,i. CSDI) , ' .:?8#l.NW~!!. ' 41111t1D(m&J;!l.#l.N~~ "~~Jm'iiti• •ilU~· .. Christian Hacke,. JmIiitl!ltllilt~J!zltlttuI~m& ' *.~.j;::Il\ill. "Aussenpolitische Grundlinien der Regierung Reagan", inAus Politik und Zeitgeschichte, No. 37-38/1986, "The Alliance in Crisis?", in The Political Quarterly. Vol. 59, No. 3/July·September 1988, pp.3U-320.. J.l::I~. op cit .• p.7; G. Jonathan Greenwald: "Wien-Herausforderungfiir das NATO-BUndnis", in Aussenpolitlk, Vol.38. No. 2/1987, pp.155-169, here p.159.. (:'-1l;I;li§) Christian Hacke:. 1~<O-llt;t':-Kjg[m:~l§1!tja(41l~.-N~~ .

(4) ... m~~$~. .~~. .~~. '~:,=:j!,".. 0. ,"T'::',""'_-. ~. "".' ..... .,.. :ljmm:1!lKlli#jgIiiit-<-:j-ff-:fii:$tl:t:i. ~E~~~~. \!!I.{~~l'-rjgI~-ff--l:::l,rHiI~..@:'*~$\+tl.-Nta!l~o. MlE 1~*"1«. George Shultz) *~~~~~iiit=~~~$Ili'!~~~ r~~~MnJ (limitation of damage) ~o I'. 1~:fii~$\ ". 0. 1(0. 1~<1I1-ll:1-1l~I!!~m ( lElJJ:fii 1~;ft;ii ~ @J1ii'1i~~lE. 1!J!!l~ I ~<-\l-ll:l-~ ~ $\ m~{W r~~-ff-~~~J(INF) ,~~ .. ~~~~~K':~:8i~~ ~ 1ii'1i~~I'-r~l!{+<jgItlJ:~~$I!£1ftt I ~1lI'!(~ " iIiE-tfl~..Lj~:fiiIl~~llII(~ (James A. Baker III.) ffiil$j:~~)gJ~~Il~ ~ ~$~~Il~.~~~:lfl:fKfi ~ a. ~rm;:fii Iiil1£;~~~~m~*~Il~:$IHCI. ~\, ~1f.~<~~~~~~~t~~it. I'. ~~R~jgIiiit:fii~.*~~." •• ~~* •• ~~~*~.~ •• s~-ff-e••~,,8.1~~~.~m~~.E~~~ ,* .. ffiil}(:-ft'fit{~P:'altri/,l " )g[~~Il~t\l<~ ~ •• ..LjIHlli!-J;:=j~1111!l~*~~ .. illllti:::J rm'iIlRt:;.~*~ , 'ifI'<$\Il~t+~~~ ~~:fK~l!:I~. ~~~,,+<jgI~~~~~~~_.t\l<~~.~+<~~~~~~W~:$tl~~~~~~~w.~~~m~~.~~-N~~~m~-N~~ ~~~*<~.8:tUIIJm1-~~~~Jg. " jgI~. r~~~~J. (Ostpolitik) ~~*!RK:1!lK~~~~-ll:I-~~fur~~~~~~\S!\_ ~ \!!I.{~. ~~~o®l~-\lO~~~~~~~~~~jgI~-<~~$~~~I~~.l!:I~~$~.~lE~l~.~~~~~~~~~~~.. :ill ~. (AIDS) ~~o~~$ft;!ll$l~.t~~=;I;!;I" ~~Jil:l$\~Jil:l~~~~ ~ jgI~~~m!il!;,,~.,~tlli:~~,:j~~~o. ~ ffiil~*l'-rjgI. )g[iiit-<~~'ifI'<.,*m~~~~.IJJ+<~~~"~~-<~~~~:fK~~.~~~.~~~~~~~,~~~~'~~~.'~~~ ~*~:!Klllii{tl:l. ~-<a~~•• ~*~a~$.~~.~fur~~~¢."~ •• N~.=jgI~~.~l~~~C.~~~ ••• ~~R~~~~. 4;1.18 International Herald Tribune.. (IHT) February 14. 1989. p. 1. p.5.. iIiI@ Jens D. Biermeier: "Atlantic-Pacific: The New Trend in the USA", in Aussenpolitk, Vol. 38, No. 1/1987.p.68.. (Ed.), Consolidating Peace in Europe-A Dialogue between East and West. (New York: Paragon), 1985, pp.1l-39.. iIiI@> 4lQmMorton A. Kaplan: "Planning for Peace"; Radomir Bogdanov: "Peace in Europe and General Security", in Morton A. Kaplan. .l!!j;{~~~ ~ 1I~~llllf1Il1~Kll** I ~·~Der Spiegel, No. 2/1989. p.18ff; Graham T. Allison Jr.: "Testing Gorbachev", in Foreign Affairs. Vol. 66, No. 2/1987-1988 (winter), p.18; Andrew Kohut: "What American want", in Foreign Policy, No. 70/Spring 1988. p.162.. t -R«llf';lt*,Il!HI~~tIi:!'i*\Ilil~ ~ l€I1iit~ti1lI~M~i\BIt:m~.jIi$ ~ 1t~l!:m.l!!j;{tJgllllf1ll1~ti* ••:mi\BltH$ ~ U~i1i«.' t!!£~, .1l1$1l1!{;.~:mIi!i~ ~~~~~Wl€I~~~m~~~~m~o~l€I~~~~~~~:m~~~~*_:m~*Il1~~ •• '~~~~:m~~~~~_l€I~*i\BItRll1.~o~~+~. J. Lieber/Donald Rothchild (Eds.): Eagle Defiant-United States Foreign Policy in the 1980's, Boston-Toronto" 1983, pp. 273-309.. iIiI@ Miles Kahler: "The United States and Western Europe: The Diplomatic Consequences of Mr. Reagan", in Kenneth A. Oye/Robert ffil;I@ . ~~~. •• ~~g~M~~~~~m~~~~&.~ •• ~~~~~B ••~*~Wm.R~~-~Wne~~~~-J~-. ~~~.~~~~~~R~~~~I!l~~~~~:fii~~~*~.~'iIlR~t\l<~~.~o~~~+<~tlJ:~.~~~~~~~~~.~.

(5) ,,.."'" I TV"'-. ''''-oQ1,1lI=~UI:,1I''<J!li!O.4oII.=JjIl';IiIlllIR ~ 1Sl.li!ii.jj!llIl!i.!ll.ri~HIit:jfl~l\III~l!l!:! ~ 1!lK~!I~\IIiIIIlBi'Wl!imIlJ~~*ilIt~.~* ~ n~~HK**'. _!!If:, .111$l~.~:jfl=,Ig. ~~~~*W~~~~m~§*~~m~o~~.~~~~~~§~~~~~~~*IlJ~~~\IIiIII'~~~~~~~~~~~~.*~IlJ.~o~t+~. \IIiIIIJHi(~ij£(~ ~ .);g~l!imIlJ1ltMH.* I V$·~Der Spiegel, No. 2/1989. p.18ff; Graham T. Allison Jr.: "Testing Gorbachev", in Foreign Affairs. Vol. 66, No. 2/1987-1988 (winter), p.l8; Andrew Kohut: "What American want", in Foreign Policy. No. 70/Spring 1988. p.162.. ~~~_~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~¥~~~~~*~~W~~*~~~~o~~~~~~~~~~~~~$~~~~~. fg[~k¢I~1Wif~\Hk{~tJlntll1~tfi;. (CSCE) :lfiF41:J;iE ~ ~~~~~fg[~~~ ~ *~.~~~~~~.-N~.Jllil!~ <> @fg[~~~Hi.-<IIl:{!lJWl 1~,*,~'*I+~.:lfi~$~~ ~ I$!~$W;IH~I~~~~~~~:lfi " ~-<{nE*~~m1.~tr:lfim*-HU1(J.E-.tR~'*'. .w.2~~li*~~. 1~~~~ ~ ~BmI-.~~~~l$;~~lii'~~~ ~ @H5lA;iW.~l/!lIB~~. ~W~~~~~~~~~~~~q~~~~W~~~~~~o~~WWffi~~~~~:lfi~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~W:lfi~~. ~Bml-1Bllr'~. ~ ~~:R!~~~~~-N;\miI\ti:i~'~~$e::~ffijIlii'W. ~~~fg[~~$~~~~<>~~~:lfi~~~~.~*~~~~~~~W~~~tr~~~~~-N~.~eI$!~ti~~.~~W:lfiBml. <>. ~,J!lK~~fg[~~~ (4<~fg[~) ~~. r:\\\lJBt~:lfi~ffi!J. o. .~. ~ ~$~~tn<~.fiiJtR~~~.~-Nmm( (burden-sharing) ~ ~i:tt1\jl1H~.fiiJ r~~:lfi~~R~~~J (Europeanization of Europe's Defense) ~* <> @,J!lK~~t:~~lfjEiJl!qI~fg[~:lfi~~l$;~~*,,~~~ (Lance) \l!Ill\~*,~e::~~ ~ ~I$!:j(tr:lfi*'ti-N (discriminate deterrence) ~~.~ ~ @ Wl~$~:R!~~~~. 1. ~.~~~I$!~~~~~.~~.,*~~l$;~~.~~~~~.~~~.~~~-N••. . ® ~tIIlll~~W~~~~m1HHii:tt'it~~W:fH-~~:lfi-Kl+Q:. 0. ~i5!§;I$!l/!lIB~BJ\ilK-tK~:E r~~~~~Ill1ll~J. (The. ~~*·fg[~~~~l.~ •• :lfie::.··~~~~~~~~~~lfjE~$.~~a~.~~-N~.~~.~l~I+.~o.$ ~~fg[~.~:lfi~~.'*~~.~~.~~~:lfi~E~·~~W~8~ ••• ~.~~.~ •• ~.:lfi.~o~.~~IIl:{M~ ~~~~-N~.~~. iiIil@. ~. 1Iitl@. iiIil@ 1Iitl@. iiIil~. 1Iitl@. **!lllIl•••. ~(. 1. mx. G. Jonathan Greenwald. op. cit•• p.159. mx~.~3;::lI!I!~ (Die Zeit) ~~~lni."1\iIl-.-l:'<~. (John Galvin) -N\IIt~··Theo Sommer: "Wir haben die erste Runde gewonnen", in Die Zeit, No. 39/1988. p.4f. Keith A. Dunn: "NATO's Enduring Vales", in Foreign Policy. No. 71/Summer 1988. p.170. .tl!l!llll(~~i\ilNi~" :\(#llBi'm~-N 1.w.~··mxIHT, February 14, 1989. p.1, p.5. *1II.~iji'.~ I ~«lt~lJI.Kliiiilla.~iji'~lIIIU«~iI1 (Fred C. Ikll~)~~jliI:ft~IIIlll$li_(Albert Wohlstetter) :ltIii!:#I:\!i: 11$ rii\!l(n:tiiIl¢{~jlj:ii'lJI.K .~J ~ ~~I1~~~~l\afi~.$.,; ~i\il!lllll.~jlj:flt~.iitlll;:~~··~lJI.K!dD(~IUi!dD(~~~~.~~lli!.~Q(~.:l!~:ta~(Williams P •Clark) .. ~ $-K• •S!M.tl!~~~~#lltl~lIlH' (Samuel p.Huntington) ~ ~~\*H:!HtIllilP~~~tI <> 1il.11II~~~.Ill!g;:_~~!'J1Q\lltIl~ti 0 Discriminate Deterrence-Report of the Commission on' Integrated Long-Term Strategy. January 1988; "Der Streit um die NATO-Strategie: Zwischen 'Brandmauer' und dritter Null-Losung-Droht die 'Singularisierung'der Deutschen1", in Bllltter fur deutsche und internationale Politik. No. 3/1988, pp.278-308. ~.a I ~<iS[lt;sr1ll! ~ ¢~.~.~lli!{;:l!!Ali5~... ~tlIfltt~~~D(Ul\ai3l=" $:~tlr<"t.alllllt!Q 0 Robert E. Ford: "The Spain NATO-United States Triangle: Who controUs the Negotiations?", in The Fletcher Forum, Vol. 12, No. 2/1988, pp. 321-339, here p.339.. I ;:Z<Ol!r~+<IfJ.;I;1:!:;;ilIili{i4ll~~-N$~.

(6) a. ~1I1mt$~. :\1!!~~. common european Hause). 0. :\1!!l"o~. S%. "..... 1Il.:{1m~*~~ . ." L ¥. ~'-~-"'~<W~"''''''-'''''-'''''''~ ~. Q. II;;. r~<ljn+t1~J. /'+'. .. '. 'F"'". ·Kl1. 0. (Genscherism). ~.,."_w_._·. @. ~~$')gJrn1~g. .~~ ~ fg]~~1!l;!'!~~~t!l\:\{I>(~~e;;jrr(1MElftIt(mrjgi~~1ID~:lfi*,ll@tr ~ ~~~:lfi~l!mtili.}E-:I!l$#1,~. ~~$!!!Ilt:l:K ~ DB:ilt~J.E:-!!IltJ.E:-~Iri:?~~in2tW~fI;:lfi~M~~ ~ ':le:~~ikNrnJlll!!:l. '* ;(~ iff ~.a-~ \hl" 1\ ~ ~ ~ 4il,. ~;ffiK~~~U;~:§ r 4~1EK:-~J (Cooperation without Integration) ~~ ~ @~~mwW:;l;iflm:~~-N~+Ill1-B1. 'it ,. 4<, ~ *ffi~ 0. .~ ~~!llj!(W 1~< K,(fl-+m:::lllKf~1$.rnl!linjg:1M-~~1lr. ~. 0. $ ~ ~~ NI :lfi#1~mR*~:lnKl!mt -R~ r< =R1~~.!j!!ll:\>l~~tr ~ }E:j(,*,~$$;~;ffiK~ W~:gfg] ~~~i!!. rx 1~14-~~~-R'". 0. jp~fg]~~f:l:.\4Iimr~~ ~ r.lI1~J -'-, ~, , ~:lfi~~~€~rmR~Sr-R ~4[[-R~ffiii~~~ ~ ~$!H\wiM41i<pgi?~!1~111~ ~~:§~~~~\lEn~1 J ~ ~,(fl-*:g~~liilJE.'~ 1I1~~~f!iiH!lFl{!I\:Ill;l!<~..&#1J:~~:lfi~~*~~+<fg];i;!l::gGR 1~ ~ ~~~J:;WH!~tt~g-N-R fg]~~~~~~1$~.;m~:gf:l:.\4Ii~nR,~-N~-< W:;l;i (balance of. ~ +M~~:li!K~:g-K ' .. 0. ~fg!;!S~ ~ ,fg]~il!t~~~iK4[[~ ~ 1l\r>~.;m~@1~:gl~!li~m~:fn&:~ ~ IEt«~Q:lQ:l!ltil%:g~*~-Kfg];i;!l:Ili\Fl\1l:~Qqj-N-tIl(.t!ll. power) ~. 0. @. W:;l;i. ~~~**~~I~«,(fl-~.*m:g~~~DB:~. 0. ~~~~~~~~~:lfi~~~~fg]~~~~~J:~~~~~~}E-~fg]~~~~~~~~~-N~~o~~-R.~-K:gfg]~~~~~ . , 1~~~~:g~~~~~~~~~:g~~~~'~1. WtiIlii:j(W~~~:gH'ii!lllll[!$~BllI ~ ~E~~W~fg]~!l§l!~~tr~~~I1~$tt!l~~~:!fi;!g~~UI~ (German to the front) ~~ll@:g~~~~. 0. ~"Bush:. Zeit ausgestreckter Hand?", in Der Spiegel, No. 4/1989, p.130f; Foreign Report, January 16, 1986,. p.lf:. .8.:ij;JmIl:t'1J¢( (Hans-Dietrich Genscher) i\!:!e:lli~Jgllnn ~ .~JmIl@.j!Bl~.!llli:If~• •:!il~HI~/s(1i ~ 1tt*1I(~8.11l!Wl ~. 1n![~~.4 ~ 111~:g~nn;~Q::(tiItlJ(-DB::!fi~~~f:l:.\~11~~qj ~ ~.~~fg]~~~~~4[[:lfiHlH~. a~::m~I~~~. .ili!@ llsJll r~<$I1tII'U. July 28, 1988 p. If.. iij@ Jmilit.~.g.. ~ ~~~~"te€~~:!ilr&:~ (.fiJml*l~~~IM~) ~ (~\§i4fj]i;H.iIiIiI~~~ ~ I ~\§t:><i4I1~~.:!ilW;f1JlI!W 0 ~Robert E. Ford, op. cit., pp. 321-339; Foreign Report, March 5, 1987. p. If; Godfrey Hodgson: "Britons, Americans and Europeans", in The Politcal. Quarterly, Vol. 59, No.3/July-September 1988, pp. 334-342. t1h:t' ~;\118 I ~/ilI:\lt.-Plil1l1tl:!il:t'~*,. ~ !RUil;j;ils:~:\(~~iiIn.~r<.~Jm1:t:::t1l1f~ ::!l••,~;\I18~II1tt8~• ..L\~I1!!*il5:l!n1:t::: ~ c;'j~:\ltl!{~~liI*l!jl:1rriiliii\!.;Dl 0 ~ Christoph Bertram: "Zwischen Vision und Versuchung", in Die Zeit, No. 48/1988, p.9.. ~?lfi\! • • ~ :\(II(*U~:!il""{II:!e:~~~t1l1f ~. in The Political Quarterly, Vol. 59. No.3/Ju1y September 1988,pp.321-333. here p.329: Franz H. U. Borkenhagen. op. cit., p.36. ;Godfrey Hodgson, op.cit. ili!@ Phil Williams: "West European Security and American Troop Withdrawals",. . . . . . _ .. "M'_"~'". r-r~'/-< r.:m("R"'!Li'J7I'l1..c:r]il;i!~1. (rntn.!:lnHr. tr;;:mD"lel ~4r{®~. _+.!!t* ~ ~~I1J~mJ(-~liUii~Qtr@!~~l(~~ ~ ~W.JgIiiitllJ;~~-tIl(.t!ll ~ -m~:il!t\N~*l$IjR ~ r«.~m;~lfl-NOO~ ~ , ~)lii!t~ii~.:!fi}tgiitffi~llll!i*~~ ~ -24~WnnK~~~fg]~1Im~{!I\:n:r;~filtiP:g rlf!l~;ffiK~~J (more American than the. 1.

(7) it@). "Zwischen Vision und Versuchung", in Die Zeit. No. 48/1988. p.9.. "luanerIY. VOI.59. No.3/July-:September 1988. pp. 334-342. LI1\~.~B 1-IR~~a.pj-!llI1+l:m~~~•• ~.I!l:t!li:~:I(~M;t.f~!'(1II!(Jm.R~M tf1l~N• • ~ :l(ll(~i;l:!fi84.!l~-l€:~ilt$~ ~ t'I.1l1\E:~I!I~II!IHtlQ:Ii• .L\!!l~~i15:Jm.R ... 5Sl!tt~ll(1II!(~lli*!iH\OiiilNII'I;:j! 0 lIli( Christoph Bertram:. Phil Williams: "West European Security and American Troop Withdrawals". in The Political Quarterly. Vol. 59. No.3/July September 1988,pp.321-333. here p.329; Franz H. U. Borkenhagen. op. cit .• p.36. ;Godfrey Hodgson. op.cit .. . • +~*~~~ru~m~~~~~~*~~~.~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~*~~~~~~~~~~OO~ 0. 0. ~t\t-W:lllK~lWi 1. ~ r:x~*I!!ifg[~~~:i£l,~~. Q. ~ijijt~~~~~~ijijtfJ1~~*~~ ~ ~..Lj~-WlllIj(~:jI(~fg[~~~{Il!:fU'>~~~~ rlf!l~:lIIK~~J (more American than the Americans) ~ ~iIII~~~:lIIK~-Wfg[~~~~.~~-N 1 .gIll/E~ rJl%~'h:(~111.tI!I:~~J (romantic triangle) 'Hr~~* 1 ~<-\J~. ~~fg[iit111~~a[:lIIK~~tt:iii!i5~ ~ f«~~.tI!I:~Ii~~~~~. g[m::: '" ~4'<EI].\il1(1K~:a rlt{$t-~1WJ (Double-zero Option) ~ ~ ~;It;1i;t1,~~ '1 '~:mi!~~ ~. $~~lm\L'-.'illSif§m~]£¢~~~ ~... \ll.tI!I:~~-N*. 0 @*~ll.g~ .. g*iK~-tK-<a[~~Wtl (Sir Geoffrey Howe) $~~~r--.~~IIlj?{~~~w ~~~lm~ijijt~~~~:i£l~~~~~.tI~e~~~~~~~~~I~~~tI~~~:i£l~~ .. ®~~~-tK-<~~~~~~~,~. ~~~~rlrt~=~~~~4'<ruiK-tK~~:jI(~:lIIK~a[fg[~~~$~~o@. lm:i£ltt:iijijt.tI!I:~ .. ;ij1~:i£ltl:l\<f~~~'li.p.(AA~fffn@-R:tlU!~~~ ~ ~~~~~~~~ ~ ~{4I~~~.~ fg[lHf!~Bml--RW><~ ~6~~-N~~~:jI(tl:I\~~~-N6~~~~~~~~~a[~*~~~~~o~~~~:jI(~~~..Lj~~~~~~~:i£l~~~-W~fg[. •• -R~~·.-W~~~~:lIIK~:i£ltl:l\~.W~.~~.~*~·~ • • ~:jI(• • ~o. USA. fRGD. UK. Romantic Triangle posi tive ---- negative --'iIIo> direction of asymmetry. Strategy and.. r~~tWI4B:=l1$J 1l-:!fi111!!11t ~ ~.\lIl(n«~~:B!lIf~.... 1l;.IJnlili=l1$.L\••N~*ftmlt •• 1tt~ 1-R~~~~S\t'*l•• .pj:B!lm~ (legitimate autonomous player) ~ 1i[~~~1<:!fi$tlil!" $~:mI(!!IIt.l1$:l)ug*«1l-N l-Rll(LI1\ l-RJnliliN~. 0 w.e, 11~~~1II:!fi111.Jnlili'" ta'5S\I-~lIiim. a~~~~. 6t!~. lItft··. F&. ,(11\. Lowell Dittman "The Strategic Triangle-An Elementary Game-Theoretical Analysis", in Klaus Knorr (Ed.): Power. Security. World Politics. Vol. 33, No. 4/July 1981. pp.37-67; here p.43. 51. Il@ Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung (FAZ). May 15. 1987. ~p. 2.. it® Richard Davy: "So eisern istdie Lady ni~ht", in Die Zeit, ~O.50/l988. p.40. it® Foreign Report. December 17. 1987, p. If. ~<O~~~~~~~~~~~N~~.

(8) ~. - .. -. '-T-·. ... ~~~tt~. ~~-.. ,"""" ---". ~~~. "" . .,.~"' -.~-. ~~lt':-. ll!:{~g;.ijj-,~m::. ---""J;I'II""'". ~l:'-~. ... -~~~~~.OO~.~~. $'~4*_~~~~~~~~~ • •. ... 'l(!51. ~·ill~~~*W • • ~ • • ~.~. ••. ~.~~ •• ~I~~~.~N~•.• ~~.£*~.~$~~.~*~ • • o®g~~=~~.~. ~.~-~~~~~.~.~~~*'~~.~~ .~D@I~«. I '. mU~~tmJl;. ~~iW\*f~J!;E~Il:i(~~tpl§:l'I. ~HliKl;$;j!!m~~~l€l;l;!±~~~lf1E'(jj!..~~·. m:jmJ!<l€l~111iW\1\\lt~).tl1~=$:~+HI'I. 0. ~*U~~.ffl<4t1~$;~lll$!~*Wa*· ~~~..y~f$~*~~:llIK.iif:l€l~~~.~~~ • • • ~~.~~.;lg~*:lit~!l' ~.~ .rW~:llIK!)IIl\-,. 1. <). 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. <m:::~f!!\!!~~. gl~Hie!)lll\-*~~f,:>{£~tm· ;!~h1~~~.~iif:~~~!)IIl\-.~.~~.[!!{~1W\tP~~11~).tl111. •. ~l€l;l;!±~~~~~ffl<4t1~.~·.~~:llIK.ti~~l~-~mJ!<l€lU~.* • • 1 ~.*f~ r~~$.~.J CLoog Term Defense Plan) ~,\;;;;;{W.~~• • ~~~~*\11~Ntm~ - ®~*.~:l(~lllln ~ 1 ~<K.~~· :llIK• • ~~.::;g. ~-:l::H1W\tP~ CGDP) ~K • H:1~. ~M~~l€l~~ • • ~~\11 • ~~~l€l~~.~11 • ~~ - ;Jtltl1:1tllS~ 1 \ii'~lli\Y!i~Il!II(I£<.~~ (1978-1985) ~~,*,~~ • • ~.~~.~*1njg:¥:;:llIK.~ Cij!*~lit!!~.~~=milH~) - :l(~.~~~~~~~ ·liiiHI\H~~..y~tliR ~!liE-Bt*lE1~:llIK1~~~1E~~~~~~· ~~ • • ~~*W~~;lg • .p::::\:§~f,:>{£]ilk{~~~ $\~H:1<lH:~~ 1\!~:t2. :llIK.~W~~~!)IIl\-*~~$~~~D~.~~~~l-Rlll • K~· tIR~-:$l~$~~~11~~).tl1 gr~~!)IIl\-.~~;llR(:!lJ~~o~ ® $\~~iRll!II(I* - ~*~.~~KO~lS~8f.¥:;~~~~~fui!)lll\-~ • ~;j!!m¥:;~~.[!!{~~ft!!l\tP~~111 • ~~ ® M~:llIK~~. o. W+l'I. (. ~·®~1\!~¥:;,*,~,~~:l(.~.N*o. III I. 'I'. f. r!' ". ....... .. II). •!:! ;:. ......... ~ •••. .1. ~. ... _ _ •• _. ... 4. ~. ;1.1 _t..I1 ... i1. 1.. A+-. ~-4l:iii:l:\lll<E4E.!'~.~ • oWi@$IIII• • • C~ Ted Stevens .. Patricia Schroeder .. Robert David:tt). iI® Ibid.. p.40. iI® :K1I-~~¥;\\t!£,~-N"llIHI~~III:!~mlHl!-Rt48 (Zbigniew Brzezinski) , ~1!I\l~~~IlI:{1tltl€41UID1JI(-li{*. (Patricia Schroeder) , ~~~IlI:{1tl.ft. DIJI('Af!;\\t! (Gary Hart) .. 0 ~Keith A. Dunn, op. cit., p.156. IW® Ibid., p. 156. iI@ gr-\J~:ffial~' f-i.11S!~~:ffi\lllliiEl ' grK~:ffi~~tt1j., 11-\J~:ffi~.· QS~grll~:ffijlflK~~·~ibid, P. 2. illS Foreign Report, August 25,1988, P. 2. iI® Ibid.. · r. .:~.

(9) 1962. J«:!l.*1Iii : The. 1963. 1984. 1985. International Institute for Strategic Studies. The Military Balance. 1987-1988. (lISS: London). 1987. p.215f..

(10) 0. ~~~~~. -tl!\.Jtl-ffi;B!W~~l. ~~~. ~~~. ~·9"·. ~~~~~~. 0. K~(. tE-l~~:lllKBm-<JJt{~82~KI!QEf'->~~m~~$ ~ @~IE.!~~ERl€llbt-<JJt{:;lil!l~I<Bm~~.:Ri~~*~~~l\i!{ ~ @l(~:j(~. 1P{1lmll:ttl:il~1\(*:lt! (Dual-capable system) ~ .-rm~~~~1\( ~.:fE1~ERon~~ ~ ~;;w~gr +jm[:fE1;';llffi\- ~ .t.!R.~~I<Bmllffi\-.:Ju19 :lI :j(~~.l$'.ij:j-.\if! ~ H:l tt--k(:Ri llffi\-.iJ% I@l ~ * 1~ ~ l11.ij:j- ~* lEI l ffi\- • .\!:H}hffiil,.~Hl;!:I:K. ~ " ili\ I€l ~-<JJt{ ~~:Ri ~~~~~.:I:K Mfillil (Ramstein) llffi\-~~~;*,nt~~+-<~1J:fE1tE-*.#: ~ ili\liK~-N~.~+< :lllKBm~.@.tl:j:i:Ri!liiI€l~+<~~:.\!f: ( o. 0. g~~~~~*~.I€l~Bm~~.-NtE-IE.!~+<I€l~~*i:tJ.~~~~~on~~~~~~:Ri~*~~~~:lllKBm~:j(~1lmllQ_~~. Richard Burt) i:tJ.:Ri :!lm:~~. 0. ~~llm$~~~ij~. 0. 0. •. ¥i:Ri 1~~:lt!~~<$m (A lpresidential commission) $rrll!ii~~~ ~ :lllKBm~~~:JuI9~.l$'.ij:j-~~.::j:t~~H:l+~:lllKlg-N~·~ ~~:M,1 ~:;li:RinrJ!< ~ ~i:tJ.$~~t!-~I(Tr-rmtl (Divads Air-defence Gun) ~+<l!f1:lllKlg ~ ~1EI~tE-m~~~ ~ ~~1~;jf.c1\il~:t:~1111(1~ :;li~ ~ 3Il@l~~i:tJ.III~1I~~ (Stealth bomber) :Ri$~mK~~ ~ 1iifiJllllt 1 Jm*~l<lg ® l€l~llm~~.lIi!I!£:fE1$J!in~~~~ ~ • RAFALE ~~-N~~ ~ f1JIE.!~IUlll:::lllKl!m$'.:Ri F-16 ij~.~ ~BmmiR~ r:!R.¥i ~~~.to:'~ ~ ~1!QE~;l;i';i. ~.~~~Jffimr~'~~.f'->~.~~.:Ri~.o. (. 0. ~1IlII-5:11. 1 ~<11]). 0. l~~ili\~~I~~O.ij:j-~:fE1~~~~~~~~. ® 1€l~~+<I€l~~~~BK:l:j:itRIUl~4N:Ri~~~1Wrt>~.+< ~ ~ffilI(~$lP(~:fE1tR:i;!;f]m.{~~tt.~. ~~~I€l~llm~-rm~~W*~~~.~~~tE-~-<~~~g:lllKBml~.~~Bm~~~:Ri~~~~~I€l~:Ri:t:~~~~~~1<. Bm*m*:Ri~*. II '. +<1€l~;';~:fE1:i;!;f~~~:lllKBm**to:'~:Ri~llffi\-~.~~.I€l~~Bm~~*~. gr+. l1filRiiRH:l+H:l1filR~mz~~~ ~ @ :lllKBm~~;l;i';i~~llffi\-:RiliK~1iifitE-B1Dl!~. ~.~Irn~!ll{*ltlElIUIrA1J(. 0. Congressional Quarterly Almanac, 1984, PP•. 66·67.. I O<~'l$(lg ~'l$(II~<OJ!!l!.'l$(lg ~ 1lI*~l\l!!illl<~l(lg 0 Keith A. Dunn, op. cit., P. 160.. 0. ;9Jill~~l$.il ~ JJt{~. ~~.om~~~~~~~~~~~~~~l~~~~~~~tE-~~~o.I~<gr.ij:j-~~I<l!m~~~~!Iii~I<llffi\-:Ri~.~r~~. (Nunn-Amendment). ~ I ~4JlIIltm.mll ~<~ltlg~-:!::l .. :lt«"'I5lk4II. oDer Spiegel, No. 2/1989, P. 17. Washington Post, February 19,1987.. ~P-::I~J. ~@. ~.. .~~.~~!t:mtK.~lfii(1~~-<.w:··Henry. tamltk!liltiti!~4lft~Hl'!!i. Kissinger, Lawrence Eagleburger, Jeane Kirkpatrick, George Shultz $'-< 0. lIiIil@. ~1Fl~. 1W® Foreign Report, August 25, 1988, P. 3. 1W<8I Ibid. ilil®. (Sam Nunn Pate) [,tl@. _ ..... ~.~u. l. ....... .. _. .... .u.. _ • ...d.3. '-. -.L'..,..,..W!(...ft..rio1f1....l-1mL.Mm"'T"'TtLI::IttC'-..t:"rlnltt..J>< ..... \ml<~I<llffi\-~~ (bring the boys home) :fE1]i1j~ ~ !i!-Krefti!i~::~~:ammii1lmll:£l~.il€d~~'H::j r~~~.u~~J :£lSI!f;!" rf-.:\lIKlIt.

(11)

(12) ~~. II'='. ~*1 ~P*. 198'1....,20001f.~IillI&ii• • • A1lif#i. ;." ' 120J~-------------------------------------r7=TF~~--------. ~. 100. -sz:P. *1\. tfll+. so. Tim. 60. -k1i. 20. ~;I;. !ill. m. 40. nil m. l. -20o. ~~. 'JJ'iJJ'iJJ'.. " •. j. '). J' ,j ; ,. [/;1. " ;. I. ]. ". ~. llJj(I:. -80. 7. ~~. -100. @:J!. -!20. *!'t mfF !*rs. -140. 1¥3~. -200. ; .id. -180. *1¥3. -220. M~ BIl ~ ~ 80. ,: ng CJ). n. :::t. ~. ~. 1m. 78 4. ~~. .''Ii,. II='. ~. 198'1....,2000~IillI&ii • • •A:t.JJ£:I:$ _________________. ,. ~.O.-_-_. ;I;. 11.. I'. .1. D.!. !. ~ ~. t:. ::;:P* · 8 (\) ' it. ,[ va {f!lIfP. 1. :1\ :. Ii;. .... T (\) II. t. JJ. Source: The International Institute for Strategic Studies. The Military Balance, 1986-1987, (IISS: London), 1986.. 0.2. l~'tA i~. :1F. iID . ~ IiI'iI. -!60. 1&~. I 1""\. ~. -60. ~.. ·. 28. -40. ;fOA eo. e. o. IJ. Ji , J. if f ) A P ) A P ) 1. r. I:A v). 1 I J 71 17 J 1 !£.'. I. P7:1t. .1. r/11 r7;;1. -0.1. : ~ #15 i. m iSc. Jf.f J!. -0.2. ~. ~ ~. Jf. -o.J. , ;fO. ·. ; m.. "* )\. ; ~.. : ~ :a. ~~ ~«U 51 j(I:. : A A ~ 1" ; J ~ •. \A ft. -0.4 P.§~. -o.5~---.--.--r--,--,--,---r--:--,-~--,--.~. Source: International Institute for Strategic Studies, The Military Balance, 1986 1987. (IISS: London), 1986.. J. i.

(13) •. 0. 0. 0. 0. lJ!!!H~:\llK~Bmt-R*.¥t-~-Nig. 0. c;j. ~:j(:\llKIF!~~~!lili~:\llKBml-~~~IiX)gIiii-<l!I:(~fm~~~:lft-t1_~~!$~ ~ II> .~aw~.~~~~!l~j~. ~*'.llm~~~1iX. 1l:-~:it~K+g[jm[~!$~Bmt-< @ ~~t$(~.!!t-tK:)gI~~llftn~~~\§~ 1jm[H:lIt-$I~:it ~ !!l~~ijf;~~~1\!l!1l~.PP~.I!ml--< .~. ER ~:jI!¢lI~tH::::j:l;l:He~Hr-p\~~4ih~iil~~ .~@ ;l)51m~~~I$:¥iR~~ ( conscript recruitment ) ~ilI*~iEKllm~~~~~n:;-<~~r< Bmt~~~.t$()gI~.Im~.OO.~~;l)5o~~·~~)gI.Im.~~~~ilI*~.-~S~~~.~.~~M~**' • • M.~( conscientious) $'!E[11i;\HlE~~~~~Bmt~~~ ~ ::}i~II!~~\l!I!l!::l;l:i~ 1~~O.!!t-~~¥iR~Jm,<~!iRlili :\llKImIDI 1~.\J\1l.!!t-~~1I:(1I~~~~. ~~~*-l"~*~~.'. ~::}i)gI~llm.~:H?it!f~~q • ~~:\llKIm~~$n~~.llm~~\l:j~ DlJl(~it!f~~~ ~ .g4r-IDInJ~iiiij~\§~\l:j\nJl1K~~~~li1 ~~:\llK~~.~.~.~ (CBO) I ~< .\J.!!t-~~$!.~:!i,* • ~{I:!;I. Bmt+lSrK .11> 1~'\:tll§t!)gI~~Bml-':WI:.!!t-tK:i5'~~~~~.~il>::S: I <~~11l0~~W':· ::}i I ~{~~)gI~~~$!**~.!!t-:lft1 J • ~~ • ~~~!tt~~~iiJlS~:ltlIIj~"~~\§~~!lili~:\llKBml- • @)gI. ~Wlfl;~I$:*jn~:S::jI!¢l~. ~~jr?~*~~~iI:H?~ ~ • • • • ~~~it!f-R~.~~:\llK~~.Bml-~.o. III, l!t~lI:/~-R~1I. ..y~lll.\l!I!l!!@!i<.~.t$(··. 1'. :\llK~iW~.. ~.!!t-*)gI~-<¢~~W.l.W~.·iiiijr.g,*.~~)gI~ • • ~.·:\llKIm*~ • • ~.~.~~J ~::}il~.~~ • • ~. ., ~ tl;~ei~~i'it·~ ~ I ~<O.!!t-~+<)gI;l;1:l:~.tfz<4tl~ilI*~ •. International Institute for Strategic Studies, The Military Balance, 1986-1987, (London: IISS, 1986); Susan L. Clark, op. cit., P.523. Christoph Bertram/Theo Sommer:" Wir nehmen Gorbaschow beim Wort: Interview mit dem Bundesverteidigungsminister Rupert Scholz", in Die Zeit, No. 41/1988, PP. 8-11. "Danish Forces Open Doors to Women Recruits", in lane's Defence Weekly/March 12, 1988, P. 424f; Karen DeYoung: "Danish Women Approaching Equality in Armed Forces", in Washington Post. September 21.1987.. Susan L. Clark, op. cil., PP. 525-527.. ~~tt~~· ~t!t*~~* •. ~@. ~@. ~@ ~~. '. i;!;lll> ~":!ln~lt••:!fUli~-RlI/fl ~ ~~~.if:I. ll.~+. 0 Keith A. Dunn, op. cit.. P. 168.. ;l;I;i@ Foreign Report, January 5,1989, P. 2.. i;!;l@ Lawrence Freedman: "Managing Alliances", in Foreign Policy, No. 7l/summer 1988, PP. 65-85, here P. 78.. i(~. i;!;l(/l) Andrew Kohut: "What Americans want", in Foreign Policy, No. 70/spring 1988, PP. 150-165, here P. 162.. l~<O~~~~~~~~~~~N~~.

(14) 11 '. ~~~~~ .~~. i\(~~~~mK$.~':·~. .~~. '~r~". ~~~~~~ . "".. ""'.;...""~""--~"''''.~. ........ 111 '. ~o. !!!(;;{w~~~~~-N[]l~mK-!fb. ~ ~~~**ibi~~~ifH!~1?l:-R~~-N~&·~. t:;:~~. I ~~O.ttt-~. -Nll~.·~.lJl~[]l.rE-~I5I$;~*.:p{~\§~~~~iW~:l!IKBmt.{$I~l€Ilbt~ImIl:K-R$.ggll.W ~ jjg:'Il'~~.**lbt~~1?l:~.5l.~-R. 0. @ ~ 1 ~~ll.ttt-:l!IKIm~J£a:~~iWibi~~¥~$HilK~~~ ~ i!Jl1l~ij;~~gr*-~~~~KcrIl!:t~iiRiII1l-~.. o~lm~g.~~~*~~1?l:~~~~~$~Im~~~~~~~~1?l:-R-N'Il'~~~rE-~~~~~~1?l:~-N~~~$~~.~• •. _.Il!:t~~t\! 1 $n~~.-R. ~~~~5l.-R~rE-.~.o@~.:l!IK~~Bmt-RiiR~~~lm~.~~~~~~~~~*.$~~~~.'Il'~~~~mKKcr~ 1~*. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. ~m«.fL- ~ $li?h~\§~!lm1--N~ ~.ttt-~~ ~ ~~~~~BIII1-~~ftlllI1~~Bmt (General Bernard Rogers) ~1:tl~~~Im~~~il!;( ~~~~liim.~~ ~ <4~~mjf$m~~~~$;~ (emerging technologies) ~~~ .. *~~~~l!!E~1?l:-R~I!~ ~jjg::l!IKIm!Ill!l .t:;:~~~l€Iibilm* ~ ~~.[lI~~f\l\4fl~~~~ 1 jn[i!:$;~~~~~~~*:i'til 1 ~<O.ttt-~I~~mlml~~~fL-~ r~~f\l\4fl~~-,s$JJ (ESECS-Group) ~fl;\j;·§!ut;:!g 1 ~~O.ttt-~~$;~~r<~~Bmt-R ~li?~l;:;l,tI .. ;Bltf.t><~~~iiIIDI1U$1II.<4~~-\P{~ @ W~~~ml~ 1 :j:j(jjg:itlBmtlmlH*• • 4i'~ (Conceptual Military Framework) fL .. :j:j(~+ 1 ~~~~$;~1?l:~*:i'til~~~*$l~*-Ni~~~~~-R~~~~" :JnK*~ r:$:fl1?l:-R'i%fiJ t:;:.CFollow-on Forces Attack) @~m«~~itl li?~W~Im~*~*L~!i!i!4a~~~j£- ~ !1!1.¥l~l~ • • mqfl)I\(~~~ 1J!!Ili1!lt-ll¢(~t:;:.~~~.CLong Term Planning Guidelines) *~-k<~~<fr~ (subconcept) .. ~f!:lll~bl;\1:~~~ijij .. ]IB.{~iiI$l€Iiiitml*HE:*~~i\~~~~~Bmt~ 1 • ,*::tt!J£a:m (flexible response) e. ap.. cit.. P. 287:. :l!IK~*~~~:lll!. ~ ~.I€Iiii.l~Im.*:Hi1$l ~ ~l"-rill1l-:m.I!H~l!t:i'til~~-R~~~:m ~ :JnK!it~~!I;~.Jm.<lDl!B3:~:m+H=I:t!J;!-N~ ( lI1Y·1t-l~ .......... '\ ~ ~~9,\.1!.-ftl~-L1¥-J~.\il;{C.lI\r:>~ ~ ~:m:~~fllIqI~9'llilnE:1!1!Hgrlm~(41llll:lfi~41:(.!$l9'lli~[ii ~ Z§ll!i!!l:i!!!{tiUf;~~~ l1t-grfm~. 'ffiiiIe. ittl@ ~iiIi.ilJlli(ti~ .. I ml~-<.~~W • .pJ~Eil.lii~.il~il._ ~$(!I!HK.Jgl$!1!I 0 "Der Streit um die NATO·, "Discriminate Deterrence", op. cit•• P. 29f. \l!li£-IllI General Rogers, NATO Review. February 1983; *i?<iiFi-lllI Sheena Phillips. op. cit., P. 425.. ilGl Thomas Enders/Peter Siebenmorgen: "tJ'berlegungen zu einem sicherheitspolitischen Gesamtkonzept der Bundesrepublik Deutschland-, in Europo Archiu, Folge 14/1988, pp. 385-392, hero P. 38S. iI@ Theo Sommer/Christoph Bertram, op. cit., P. 4 f. iliI@ Andrew Goldman: "NATO needs a new missile-, in Orb/s, VoL 32, No. 4/1988, PP. 541-550 ; Phil Williams, oP.c/t. !W@ Sheena Phillips: Waffenentwicklung und neue Optionen fur die konventioneUe Verteidigung der NATO·, in Wolfgang Heisenberg/ Dieter S. Lutz (Eds.): Sicherheitspalitik kontrovers·Aul dem Weg in die neunziger Jahre, Bonn. 1987, PP. 423-440, hero P. 424; C. Weinberger: "Taking Advantage of Emerging Technologies to improve Conventional Defense-, in Report 01 the NATO. December 1982.. ~. 1. j.

(15) Rogers, NATO Review, February 1983;. "Discriminate Deterrence''. OPt cit.. P. 29f.. ~-3:Im General. 0. OPt cit., P. 425.. -Der Streit um die NATO",. *-1«;:;m Sheena Phillips.. i!li!~ 1ffiiliii.~IlIj(~~ ~ I mjliit-<t1e:1~t41llm!-.J::i~Ei!l.ililJli£lIm!-~~iill$... ~~«J!Mll*l!I iit;l($). op. cit.,. P.. 287;. ~.~ • • ~ • • ~.m~u.~.*~*~~~.~.e~.$~~~~~~~~ • • • • • • ~m3~~+~.~.(. 1111K~~«) ,,~~;m;9~-Lj~f.l?H*~. ~ ~~~ijfam!qr~.1nl!~g[tm~<4EHH~~'h:\$l.~!1; ~ ~l~1!{.~fh~E~ J It-g[tm~. 0. 0. (comprehensive concept). 0. ••. ••. ~ $lljurJ[i[~~~-jqIllii\~~~!tt;tg. 0. I'. 0. I $~r<~~~.~ ~ 1E:;l:i I ~~iii~~~~.W4r-. 0. m~~moe~~.~~ •••• ~~~~~~.~.~~~~.**~~.o • • ~ • • • ~~ • • • ~.~.~.~._* -Lj~~~~e~~~~ !E1.-<ll!{*~~$~.mn~ r~~8J (fireprove wall) <&:.t\1J ~ .~ • • • iTft~~~~~ 1'il'{f\ll!I-W ~ffiiZ-Lj ~ ~i~*~.$UK~;lW} 1~7l1!Ii~• • ~lii; ~ ):gI.~~~~ ~-R~~~~:~r~~~iP~~ ~ .~~Iilif~~~~~ ~ fEI:;l:i~ ~~iii\~~~4I1l@:.tti r9#d~~~J (Denuclearization) e*~~~~IIi:{ ~itil_~<ta~~l@i\~-ltI-~~1fJ\~:lfi~ • • ~~ ~~~ll!{1lin'J ~.i!f\ll!I~~:;i~~~~ ~ fEI~ltulIKtll1~~:lft$l.~.~~~:!!\!!:\i!l~~~ll Hl111l-ltl- ~ ~~~~;lJ:t~:lfi-\}l(~ !@:il!?~. W.~*.~ • • :.tti~~.~~.~*.~$l • • ~~~~~.* o@ ~• • ~~~.~S.1~«-ltI-.~.3~~• • ~.~ • • ~ • • • l@7l1!Ii~~~~Hl1.~3.g• • ~~.~~.·~ ~1:~.e.~~Hl1~~:.tti~*~.~ ~ *~~.~ 11!\!lj!~~~~~ • • @ f!rUIllI4r--ltI-lll~~Jiii'~~-jql&~li!l1lJtt!~~~.~~~ .~~.~W~~S~~~~~~~ • • ~~~~~l@~~~~~~~-jqi\~~*.~~.I'i\~I'~.-jq'h:\~~~~~m~~ • • •&~ • • ·W~$lil!?~~~~7l1!Ii~~ • • • ··.~~~~~~~.S~1~i!.il!?m*.~~.o~~~W~~~~r~ -jq:t:i~~JJ. ... Q. -ltI-g[~~~~1~g[+~-ltI- • • -Lj~.3~~ol@i\1~«-ltI-~~~~~~~~.~~:!!\!!~~~~~Hl11~~O-ltl-~*~~~~. \ ~~O*~~~~. .~~*.~~~~U~~~.~~~~~~~~.·~~~~l~~~~~~~.~a~.~. ~,. 6/1989,. P~ 1.. ~4r- ( 1~<~) -ltI-l1~~~SRP~~~~-jq~ • • • ~* ~ *.~ImW:.~~4r-W~1\:f(~.-jql@S~'lml1~~~ ~ ~*~~. 11$ Theo Sommer: ·Vorboten des Machtwechsels'l-, in Die Zeit, No. II@. Ibid.. !IiliI$ Christoph Bertram: -Der Chef driickt aufs Tempo-, in Die Zeit,. No. 36/1988, P. 3'. II@. 0. in Blatter filr. *-l1.,"~~.)gI.I!l~~911~~l!lIHtJ. 18 r~*J (Package)..g: .. ~-N_•• I ~<4~tI!lllll"{ 0 ~.~~~~ r~\!lI~I1.s\ J (Mutually Assured Destruction) iliii.-Nllt:!l:l 0 Foreign Report, January 5, 1989, P. 1.. ~I. iit;l$ l!:,ft,., ~, .',)gI, m.{t!:1{:I$~l:m* JF 90 iial~~IU! (European Fighter Aircraft) .. ~f:+llrt·~1iII.~~9.~ deutsche und internationale Politik. No, H/1988, P; 1289ff. l~<O~~~~~~~~~~~N~~.

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(17)