NSC 99
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MY2
99
8
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101
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31
101
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Goldman Sachs Jim O’Neil 2001 1980 Keohane (mutilateralism) 1 John Ruggie 2 1982
1 Robert O. Keohane, “Multilateralism: An Agenda for Research,” International Journal Vol. 45, No. 4,
Multilateralism: Old & New (Autumn, 1990), p. 731.
3 1987 4 5 6 7 1995 8 9 3 ( )( 1986) 39-46 4 1987( 1987) 6-75 6-77 5 ( 2004) 71-72 6 (containment) 1995 7 ( 2004) 77-79 8 http://big5.xinhuanet.com/gate/big5/news.xinhuanet.com/zhengfu/2002-08/06/content_512599.htm 9 2008 8 B 101
10 1990 11 12 …… 13 1990 14 10 1999 9 12 11 1 2006 13 12 2006 187 13 1999 10 8 6 14 2010 10 31
APEC ARF
15
2000
COPDAB Conflict and Peace Data Bank 16
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 15 16 ICPSR <http://www.icpsr.umich.edu/cocoon/ICPSR/STUDY/07767.xml>
14
2011
17
1993 2 IAEA 18 3 22 6 7 IAEA 19 KEDO 20 1994 6 21 18
Samuel S. Kim,” China’s Korea Policy in a Changing Regional and Global Order,” China
Information, Vol. VIII, nos. 1/2, 1993, p. 86. 19 1994 9 44-47 33 7 83 7 4-7 34 1 84 1 11-14 20 1993 12 26 Boutros Ghali 1993 12 26 4 21 1994 6 8 A2
22 2002 10 2003 4 2003 8 2005 brinkmanship 23 facilitator 22 85 8 240-241 23
Zhu Feng, “China’s Policy on the North Korean Nuclear Issue,” China Strategy, No. 3, July 2004,
24 2010 2008 25 24 2010 10 22 25
1. 2012 26 2012 2 2 “6.15” “10.4” 27 2 29 26 2012 1 11 http://tw.news.yahoo.com/%E7%82%BA%E9%9E%8F%E6%94%BF%E6%AC%8A-%E5%8D%97% E9%9F%93-%E5%8C%97%E9%9F%93%E5%8F%AF%E8%83%BD%E5%86%92%E9%80%B2-03 5319965.html 27 2012 2 3 http://tw.news.yahoo.com/%E5%8C%97%E9%9F%93%E7%99%BC%E8%A1%A8%E5%85%AC%E 9%96%8B%E8%B3%AA%E5%95%8F%E6%9B%B8-%E9%9F%93%E5%B0%87%E4%B8%8D%E 5%81%9A%E5%9B%9E%E6%87%89.html
2 23 (Glyn Davies) IAEA 24 28 4 1874 29 2. 1993
28 “North Korea announces nuclear moratorium,” Jane's Intelligence Weekly, vol. 4., no. 10 (Mar 7,
2012)
29 2011 4 26
30
axis of
evil regime change
31 2010 12 32 2011 1 (GSOMIA) 30 2007 178-179 31 196-198 32 2011 10 8-9
33
34
2003 NPT 2006
2009 2010
Dual threats model
35 36 33 2012 5 9 http://news.chinatimes.com/world/110504/112012050900152.html 34 2011 3 55-56
35 Jooyoung Song, “Understanding China’s Response to North Korea’s Provocations,” Asian Survey,
Vol. 51, No. 6, pp. 1154-1155.
37 38 39 40 41 42 43 Keohane 37 http://big5.fmprc.gov.cn/gate/big5/www.fmprc.gov.cn/chn/pds/ziliao/1179/t894520.htm 38 4-5 39 2012 4 29 http://finance.sina.com.cn/roll/20120429/073811955104.shtml 40 ---2012 4 21 4-9 41 : 2008 03 88 42 2012 5 20 43 http://www.yzzk.com/cfm/Content_Archive.cfm?Channel=af&Path=2259926922/36af3.cfm
(mutilateralism) 44 John Ruggie 45 1982 46 1987 47 48 44
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45 (John G. Ruggie) ( ) 10-11 46 ( )( 1986) 39-46 47 1987( 1987) 6-75 6-77 48 ( 2004) 71-72
49 50 1995 51 52 53 1990 54 49 (containment) 1995 50 ( 2004) 77-79 51 http://big5.xinhuanet.com/gate/big5/news.xinhuanet.com/zhengfu/2002-08/06/content_512599.htm 52 2008 8 B 101 53 1999 9 12 54 1 2006 13
55 …… 56 1990 57 1949 1971 1990 2000 58 1976 2 24 (Treaty of Amity and Cooperation in Southeast Asia)
55 2006 187 56 1999 10 8 6 57 2010 10 31 58 vs. vs. vs. ( 2009) 116-117
59
1987 1998
(ASEAN Way)
Amitav Acharya (ASEAN
Way) 60 ASEAN Way 61 1991 1996 3 7 1997 12 2002 11 2010 2003 10
59 (Treaty of Amity and Cooperation in Southeast Asia)
http://www.aseansec.org/1217.htm ( 2010 4 5 )
60Amitav Acharya, “Ideas, Identity, and Institution-Building: from the ASEAN Way to the Asia Pacific
Way?” The Pacific Review, Vol. 10, No.3(1997), pp.319-320.
61
Jurgen Haacke, “The Concept of Flexible Engagement and Practice of Enhanced Interaction:
10+3 62 2007 2009 8 15 2010 63 2010 1 1 19 6 4.5 1. 2002 11 2004 1 2004 1 62 http://news.xinhuanet.com/world/2003-10/09/content_1114267.htm (2010 4 6 ) 63 2009 8 16 http://news.xinhuanet.com/world/2009-08/16/content_11889537.htm (2010 4 10 )
64 2006 8 2. ─ 1991 1996 3 7 1997 12 2002 11 2010 2003 10 10+3 65 64 2010 10 12 http://news.xinhuanet.com/world/2010-10/12/c_12650461.htm 65 http://news.xinhuanet.com/world/2003-10/09/content_1114267.htm (2010 4 6 )
2010 2004 66 67 2005 03 3.
(Greater Mekong Subregion Economic Cooperation Program, GMS) 68 ( 1) 1992 69 66 http://big5.china.com.cn/economic/txt/2009-12/31/content_19161944.htm (2010 4 10 ) 67 http://big5.smc.hunancom.gov.cn/Upload/doc/EditorPic/2008324173239414.doc (2010 4 10 ) 68
69Gan, Christopher, “GMS Economic Integration in the Establishment process of ASEAN China Free
Trade Area” Jugale, V.B. ed., Economic Growth and Foreign Trade Relations Among India, China
2008 3 2008 2012 70 -1500 3000 71 2006 72 1957 1995 73 70 2008 3 31 http://news.xinhuanet.com/newscenter/2008-03/31/content_7893324.htm (2010 4 11 ) 71 2007 3 2 72 4-5 73 http://www.mrcmekong.org/
74 (1) (2) 74 2012 5 13 http://udn.com/NEWS/BREAKINGNEWS/BREAKINGNEWS5/7090180.shtml
2008 3 31 http://news.xinhuanet.com/newscenter/2008-03/31/content_7893324.htm 2009 8 16 http://news.xinhuanet.com/world/2009-08/16/content_11889537.htm http://big5.xinhuanet.com/gate/big5/news.xinhuanet.com/zhengfu/2002-08/06/cont ent_512599.htm http://big5.xinhuanet.com/gate/big5/news.xinhuanet.com/zhengfu/2002-08/06/cont ent_512599.htm http://big5.fmprc.gov.cn/gate/big5/www.fmprc.gov.cn/chn/pds/ziliao/1179/t894520 .htm http://big5.china.com.cn/economic/txt/2009-12/31/content_19161944.htm (2010 4 10 ) http://big5.smc.hunancom.gov.cn/Upload/doc/EditorPic/2008324173239414.doc http://news.xinhuanet.com/world/2003-10/09/content_1114267.htm (2010 4 6 ) 2011 3 55-56 2011 01 5 34 1 84 1 11-14 33 7 83 7 4-7
---2012 4 21 4-9 2011 10 8-9 2007 vs. vs. vs. ( 2009)
(Treaty of Amity and Cooperation in Southeast Asia) http://www.aseansec.org/1217.htm
85 8 240-241 2010 10 22 (John G. Ruggie) ( ) ( )( 1986) 1994 6 8 A2 2007 3 2 2008 8 B 101 ( 2004) http://www.mrcmekong.org/ 1994 9 44-47 1999 9 12 2011 30 175 1987( 1987) 6-75 6-77 2006 187 : 2008 03 88
1 2006 13
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3, July 2004, Center for Strategic and International Studies, <http://www.csis.org/isp/csn/040720.pdf>>
Gan, Christopher, “GMS Economic Integration in the Establishment process of ASEAN China Free Trade Area” Jugale, V.B. ed., Economic Growth and Foreign
Trade Relations Among India, China and ASAEN(New Delhi: Serials Publications,
2009).
Haacke, Jurgen, “The Concept of Flexible Engagement and Practice of Enhanced Interaction: Intramural Challenges to the ASEAN Way,” The Pacific Review, Vol.12, No.4 (1999), pp.581-582.
Keohane, Robert O., “Multilateralism: An Agenda for Research,” International
Journal, Vol. 45, No. 4, Multilateralism: Old & New (Autumn, 1990)
Kim, Samuel S., ” China’s Korea Policy in a Changing Regional and Global Order,”
China Information, Vol. VIII, nos. 1/2, 1993,
Song, Jooyoung, “Understanding China’s Response to North Korea’s Provocations,”
Asian Survey, Vol. 51, No. 6, pp. 1154-1155.
“North Korea announces nuclear moratorium,” Jane's Intelligence Weekly, vol. 4, no. 10 (Mar 7, 2012)
