-
- -
Restaurants & Similar Establishments
Table 1: Restaurants' perceptions of year-on-year changes in receipts for December 2019 and January 2020 %
•
Business Prospects for Next Month
•
www.dsec.gov.mo 2020.03
In January 2020, the proportions of Local Style Cafes, Congee & Noodle Shops (68%) and Japanese & Korean Restaurants (64%) showing a year-on- year decline in receipts surged by 30 percentage points and 20 percentage points respectively from December 2019. Meanwhile, 43% of the Chinese Restaurants recorded a year-on-year growth in receipts, an increase of 22 percentage points from December last year attributable to the Lunar New Year (which fell in February last year) (Table 1).
Restaurants' expectations for receipts for February 2020
The interviewed restaurants & similar establishments and retailers expected a significant slowdown in business in February, with 89% of the interviewed restaurants
& similar establishments and 59% of the retailers anticipating a year-on-year decline of 50% or more in receipts.
BUSINESS CLIMATE SURVEY
RESTAURANTS & SIMILAR ESTABLISHMENTS AND RETAIL TRADE JANUARY 2020
20.8 31.5
21.1
14.0 15.1
68.0 34.8
Dec. Jan.
Stable
54.0 Decrease
< 20% ≧ 20%
Jan. Dec.
20.7 Dec.
33.0
47.4 63.6
In January 2020, the business of restaurants & similar establishments and retailers was adversely affected by the epidemic of novel coronavirus pneumonia. There were 58% of the interviewed restaurants & similar establishments recording a year-on-year decline in receipts in January, an increase of 5 percentage points from December 2019. Meanwhile, 23% of the interviewed establishments reported a year-on-year rise in receipts, representing a 1 percentage point decrease from December last year.
21.1 63.2
42.6 67.9 11.3
10.5 57.9
28.0
65.7
55.9 26.5
26.5 5.7
12.0
40.9 8.7 Subtotal
10.5 15.5 Jan.
Local Style Cafe, Congee &
Noodle Shop
Dec.
53.6 Jan.
58.3 14.8
22.3
8.0 Chinese Restaurant
23.3 24.0
13.6 7.8
18.0
≧ 20%
Restaurants & Similar Establishments
Japanese & Korean Restaurant Western Restaurant
26.0
Jan.
21.7 8.7
18.3
15.8 32.1
Dec. Jan.
Dec.
26.3
Dec.
43.5 22.7 -
35.8
34.8
10.0 14.0 11.1
15.8 16.2
- 42.6
7.8
38.0
26.1 22.7
As regards retail trade, 48% of the interviewed retailers registered a year-on-year sales decrease in January, a growth of 7 percentage points from December 2019.
On the other hand, 35% of the interviewed retailers reported a year-on-year sales increase in January, down by 8 percentage points from December last year.
Jan.
52.6 16.7 38.3
14.7 14.3 -
14.3
6.0 Increase Subtotal < 20%
14.0
21.1
36.0 13.6
26.0 20.0
5.3
Restaurants' perceptions of year-on-year changes in receipts
29.4 40.0
Among the interviewed establishments, 95% of both the Japanese & Korean Restaurants and Chinese Restaurants anticipated a year-on-year decline of 50% or more in receipts in February. The corresponding proportions of Western Restaurants and Local Style Cafes, Congee & Noodle Shops both stood at 84% (Table 2).
25.7 20.0
Alameda Dr. Carlos d' Assumpção, No. 411-417, Dynasty Plaza, 17th floor, Macao Tel: (853) 8399 5311 Fax: (853) 2830 7825 E-mail: info@dsec.gov.mo Official Statistics. Reproduction of these data is allowed provided the source is quoted.
2.9 17.6
Others
48.1%
33.9%
29.7% 27.9% 31.9%
39.0%
33.5% 32.8% 37.6%
32.0% 30.3%
24.0% 23.3%
21.6%
33.3% 36.3% 35.0%
26.9% 26.9%
31.3%
37.8% 35.9%
43.6% 47.2%
53.6%
58.3%
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May Jun. Jul. Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan.
Government of Macao Special Administrative Region Statistics and Census Service
統 計 暨 普 查 局
Increase Decrease
2019 2020
99.4% 100.0% 94.7% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
0.6%
5.3%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Restaurants
& Similar Establishments
Chinese Restaurant
Western Restaurant
Japanese &
Korean Restaurant
Local Style Cafe, Congee & Noodle
Shop
Others
Decrease Stable
Increase
Table 2: Restaurants' expectations for receipts for February 2020 %
Retail Trade
Table 3: Retailers' perceptions of year-on-year changes in sales for December 2019 and January 2020 %
•
Business Prospects for Next Month
•
2 Business Climate Survey on Restaurants & Similar Establishments and Retail Trade January 2020
There were 80% of the interviewed Cosmetics & Sanitary Articles Retailers and46% of the Department Stores showing a year-on-year sales decrease in January 2020, up notably by 40 percentage points and 27 percentage points respectively from December 2019. On the other hand, 56% of the Motor Vehicle Retailers registered a year-on-year sales increase in January, on account of a relatively low base of comparison in the same month last year (Table 3).
Stable
Subtotal < 50% 50% - 79%
Year-on-year Decrease
≧ 80%
50.6 38.3
10.0
88.9 15.6
44.4 20.0
4.5 63.6
Jan.
65.0 Jan.
< 20%
21.5 -
77.8 26.3
- - - 100.0
-
16.0 56.0
- - -
- 55.6
Jan.
Subtotal
55.6
≧ 20%
22.2 Dec.
34.8 20.0 23.0 41.5
0.6 99.4 10.6
- - - 5.3 94.7 10.5
- - - - 100.0 5.6
17.0 Stable Increase
-
45.5 -
- 22.2 11.1 11.1
≧ 20%
Dec.
Subtotal
Dec. Dec. Dec.
18.2 - 18.2
22.2 44.4
- - - 100.0
Decrease 16.7
17.0 Jan.
25.0 48.1
11.1 22.2
22.2 11.1
11.1
20.0 27.3
20.0
20.0 80.0
25.0
20.0 - -
66.7
32.1 56.6
27.8
16.7 11.1
31.8
28.0
Jan.
25.9
100.0 14.3 37.1 48.6
11.1 40.0
- -
40.0
40.0 30.0
- 50.0
60.0
- 35.0 27.3
11.1
10.0 -
Retailers' perceptions of year-on-year changes in sales 47.2
Among the interviewed retailers, 94% of the interviewed Watches, Clocks &
Jewellery Retailers and 73% of the Department Stores expected a year-on- year sales decrease of 50% or more in February. Moreover, the corresponding proportions of Cosmetics & Sanitary Articles Retailers and Leather Goods Retailers both reached 80% (Table 4).
Jan.
11.1 -
5.0
21.5 Dec.
-
18.2 36.4
40.0 55.6
20.0
5.0 20.0
18.2
44.4 44.4
24.5 - 27.3 18.2
30.2
13.2 20.8
33.3 50.0 61.1
- Local Style Cafe, Congee &
Noodle Shop Japanese & Korean Restaurant
Western Restaurant 57.9
20.0
10.0 40.0 Department Store
Motor Vehicle
88.9 11.1
Cosmetics & Sanitary Articles
Supermarket Retail Trade
Others
Retailers' expectations for sales for February 2020
22.6 20.8
27.8
11.3 Watches, Clocks &
Jewellery Leather Goods Adults' Clothing
40.0 20.0
80.0
38.9
39.6 18.9 11.3
11.2 -
60.0 10.0 Jan.
< 20%
Year-on-year Increase Subtotal < 20%
-
≧ 20%
-
25.0 Others
Chinese Restaurant Restaurants & Similar Establishments
80.0
54.5 27.3
66.7 43.0
15.0
Dec.
13.3
30.0
9.1 11.1 -
-
82.2% 77.8%
11.1%
90.9% 90.0%
75.0% 80.0%
100.0%
88.7%
13.3% 22.2%
33.3%
9.1% 10.0%
25.0%
11.3%
4.4%
55.6%
20.0%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Retail Trade
Motor Vehicle
Supermarket Department Store
Cosmetics
& Sanitary Articles
Adults' Clothing
Leather Goods
Watches, Clocks &
Jewellery Others
47.1%
17.6%
34.6%
27.2%
34.6% 37.5% 36.8% 39.7%
43.0%
40.0%
53.3%
43.0%
34.8%
36.8%
69.1%
44.9%
50.0%
42.6% 44.9%
35.3%
40.4% 39.3% 40.0%
31.1%
41.5%
48.1%
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May Jun. Jul. Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan.
Increase Decrease
2019 2020
Decrease Stable
Increase
Table 4: Retailers' expectations for sales for February 2020 %
Symbols & Note
- Absolute value equals zero
Percentages may not add up to 100% due to rounding.
Explanatory notes
Remarks
For addition information:
http://www.dsec.gov.mo/e/icrc.aspx
January 2020 3
The sample of the Business Climate Survey on Restaurants & Similar Establishments and Retail Trade was selected based on the value of receipts of the establishments, comprising 186 restaurants & similar establishments (accounting for 53% of the industry’s receipts) and 136 retailers (accounting for 70% of the industry’s receipts). The Survey results were not extrapolated and only reflect the assessment of the business performance and expectations of the sample restaurants and retailers.
Results presented in this report were not extrapolated and only reflect the business performance and expectations of the sampling units. In order to achieve timeliness of the results, restaurants and retailers may not get hold of the actual sales figures at the time of data collection.
Owing to the above stated limitations, the Survey results only serve as a reference on the business trends of the surveyed industries. Hence, it is recommended to take into account other relevant data when evaluating the overall business performance of these industries.
- - - - 100.0 5.6 27.8 66.7
- - - 11.3 88.7 41.5 18.9 28.3
- - - 25.0 75.0 20.0 30.0 25.0
20.0 20.0 - - 80.0 - 40.0 40.0
18.2 54.5
- - - 10.0 90.0 10.0 30.0 50.0
- 9.1 90.9 18.2
- -
55.6 44.4 11.1 33.3 11.1 11.1
Year-on-year Decrease
50% - 79% ≧ 80%
13.3 82.2 23.7
11.1 Stable
Subtotal < 20% ≧ 20% Subtotal
Business Climate Survey on Restaurants & Similar Establishments and Retail Trade
24.4 34.1
- 22.2 77.8
< 50%
11.1
Others
Watches, Clocks &
Jewellery Leather Goods Adults' Clothing Supermarket
Year-on-year Increase
- - 55.6
Retail Trade 4.4 3.7 0.7
Department Store Cosmetics & Sanitary Articles
Motor Vehicle
- -