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BUSINESS CLIMATE SURVEY RESTAURANTS & SIMILAR ESTABLISHMENTS AND RETAIL TRADE MARCH 2020 Government of Macao Special Administrative RegionStatistics and Census Service

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Restaurants & Similar Establishments

Table 1: Restaurants' perceptions of year-on-year changes in receipts for February and March 2020 %

Business Prospects for Next Month

www.dsec.gov.mo 2020.05

The business of restaurants & similar establishments and retailers remained sluggish in March. There were 97% of the interviewed restaurants & similar establishments recording a year-on-year decline in receipts, representing a slight decrease of 1 percentage point from February. Meanwhile, only 2% of the interviewed establishments showed a year-on-year rise in receipts in March, the same proportion as in February.

Affected by the ongoing epidemic, the interviewed restaurants & similar establishments and retailers generally held a bleak outlook for their business in April, with 56% of the interviewed restaurants & similar establishments and 62% of the retailers expecting a year-on-year decline of 50% or more in receipts.

Among the interviewed establishments, more than 80% of the Western Restaurants and Chinese Restaurants anticipated a year-on-year decline of 50% or more in receipts in April (Table 2).

In March, all of the interviewed Chinese Restaurants and 98% of the Local Style Cafes, Congee & Noodle Shops showed a year-on-year decrease in receipts, the same proportions as in February. The corresponding share of Japanese & Korean Restaurants (94%) fell by 6 percentage points from February (Table 1).

Restaurants' expectations for receipts for April 2020

BUSINESS CLIMATE SURVEY

RESTAURANTS & SIMILAR ESTABLISHMENTS AND RETAIL TRADE MARCH 2020

- -

5.9

- -

98.0 -

Feb. Mar.

Stable

35.3 Decrease

< 50% ≧ 50%

Mar. Feb.

72.8 Feb.

24.9

5.9 94.4 Subtotal

5.9 82.4

100.0 100.0 -

5.9 88.2

56.0

97.1

100.0 23.5

- -

2.0

27.8 78.9

≧ 20%

Restaurants & Similar Establishments

Japanese & Korean Restaurant Western Restaurant

2.0

Mar.

- -

1.2

5.9 1.2 Mar.

Local Style Cafe, Congee &

Noodle Shop

Feb.

97.6 Mar.

97.0 -

0.6

- Chinese Restaurant

1.8 1.8

-

Feb. Mar.

Feb.

11.8

Feb.

100.0 5.6 -

2.0

21.1 1.2

42.0 62.7 -

5.9 0.6

- -

0.6

98.0

- 66.7

76.5 98.0

-

As regards retail trade, there were 87% of the interviewed retailers registering a year-on-year sales decrease in March, a rise of 3 percentage points over the preceding month. On the other hand, the proportion of interviewed retailers reporting a year-on-year sales increase in March dropped by 3 percentage points from February to 10%.

Mar.

70.6 82.6 54.8

- 2.9 -

2.9

2.0 Increase

Subtotal < 20%

2.0

5.9

- -

17.4 42.2

17.6

76.5 52.9

44.1 -

Alameda Dr. Carlos d' Assumpção, No. 411-417, Dynasty Plaza, 17th floor, Macao Tel: (853) 8399 5311 Fax: (853) 2830 7825 E-mail: info@dsec.gov.mo Official Statistics. Reproduction of these data is allowed provided the source is quoted.

-

Restaurants' perceptions of year-on-year changes in receipts -

Others

29.7% 27.9% 31.9%

39.0%

33.5% 32.8% 37.6%

32.0% 30.3%

24.0% 23.3%

1.8% 1.8%

36.3% 35.0%

26.9% 26.9%

31.3%

37.8% 35.9%

43.6% 47.2%

53.6%

58.3%

97.6% 97.0%

100%

80%

60%

40%

20%

0%

20%

40%

60%

Mar. Apr. May Jun. Jul. Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar.

Government of Macao Special Administrative Region Statistics and Census Service

統 計 暨 普 查 局

Increase Decrease

2019 2020

Decrease Stable

Increase 95.2% 97.8%

82.4%

94.4% 96.2% 97.1%

3.0%

2.2%

11.8%

1.9%

1.8% 2.9%

5.9% 5.6%

1.9%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Restaurants

& Similar Establishments

Chinese Restaurant

Western Restaurant

Japanese &

Korean Restaurant

Local Style Cafe, Congee & Noodle

Shop

Others

(2)

Table 2: Restaurants' expectations for receipts for April 2020 %

Retail Trade

Table 3: Retailers' perceptions of year-on-year changes in sales for February and March 2020 %

Business Prospects for Next Month

2 Business Climate Survey on Restaurants & Similar Establishments and Retail Trade March 2020

47.2

Among the interviewed retailers, there were 80% or more of the retailers of Leather Goods, Adults’ Clothing, Watches, Clocks & Jewellery and Cosmetics

& Sanitary Articles predicting that their receipts in April would decrease by 50%

or more year-on-year. Meanwhile, the proportion of interviewed Supermarkets expecting their receipts in April to increase year-on-year or remain steady stood at 89% (Table 4).

In March, all of the interviewed retailers of Leather Goods, Watches, Clocks &

Jewellery, Adults’ Clothing and Cosmetics & Sanitary Articles reported a year- on-year sales decline, the same as in February. The corresponding proportion of Department Stores remained at 91%, while that of Motor Vehicle Retailers dropped by 11 percentage points to 44% (Table 3).

97.8 17.4

Subtotal < 50% 50% - 79%

Year-on-year Decrease

≧ 80%

19.2 37.1

30.4 38.9

95.2

Decrease 50.0

42.0 Mar.

- 87.4

5.6 100.0

100.0 94.5

-

≧ 50%

Feb.

Subtotal

Feb. Feb. Feb.

81.8 81.8 90.9

61.5 11.1 33.3

11.1 22.2

84.8 3.0

-

11.1 11.1

-

44.0 Stable

9.1 -

55.6 2.3

44.4 21.2 Mar.

100.0 Mar.

< 50%

33.3

2.0 3.8 94.3

90.9 11.1 11.1

9.1 9.1

- 11.1

58.8

5.6

13.5

Mar.

25.9

97.1 47.1 32.4 17.6

94.4

61.5 21.2

50.0 38.9

63.7 96.2

82.4 -

94.5 100.0

100.0 100.0

90.0

100.0 80.0

10.0 20.0

100.0

100.0 5.0 100.0

95.0

5.6 -

9.1

- -

- - 20.0

- -

-

Retailers' perceptions of year-on-year changes in sales

86.0 47.2

-

80.0 Local Style Cafe, Congee &

Noodle Shop Japanese & Korean Restaurant

Western Restaurant 23.5

-

- - Department Store

Motor Vehicle

77.8 44.4

Cosmetics & Sanitary Articles

Supermarket Retail Trade

Others

Retailers' expectations for sales for April 2020

1.9 4.0

-

- Watches, Clocks &

Jewellery Leather Goods Adults' Clothing

- -

-

-

12.0 8.0 1.9

- - -

-

- -

- 44.4

-

- -

11.1

-

66.7 11.1

- -

22.2 33.3

4.4 Feb.

22.2 -

5.6 5.6 -

-

- - 2.9

3.8 9.1

Increase

Mar.

< 20%

Mar.

Subtotal

44.4

≧ 20%

Feb.

9.6 1.9

Subtotal < 20%

-

≧ 20%

-

Mar.

Stable 1.8

1.9 - 1.9

3.0

5.9 5.9 - 11.8

- - - 2.2

- Others

Chinese Restaurant Restaurants & Similar Establishments

-

- -

88.9 12.9

-

Feb.

5.2

-

- 44.4 1.8

Year-on-year Increase

34.6%

27.2%

34.6% 37.5% 36.8% 39.7% 43.0% 40.0%

53.3%

43.0%

34.8%

12.9% 9.6%

44.9%

50.0% 42.6% 44.9%

35.3%

40.4% 39.3% 40.0%

31.1%

41.5%

48.1%

84.8% 87.4%

100%

80%

60%

40%

20%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

Mar. Apr. May Jun. Jul. Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar.

Increase Decrease

2019 2020

Decrease Stable

Increase 85.2%

55.6%

11.1%

81.8%

100.0%

95.0% 100.0% 100.0%

90.6%

8.9%

33.3%

22.2%

18.2%

5.0% 7.5%

5.9% 11.1%

66.7%

1.9%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Retail Trade

Motor Vehicle

Supermarket Department Store

Cosmetics

& Sanitary Articles

Adults' Clothing

Leather Goods

Watches, Clocks &

Jewellery Others

(3)

Table 4: Retailers' expectations for sales for April 2020 %

Symbols & Note

- Absolute value equals zero

Percentages may not add up to 100% due to rounding.

Explanatory notes

Remarks

For addition information:

http://www.dsec.gov.mo/e/icrc.aspx

March 2020 3

The sample of the Business Climate Survey on Restaurants & Similar Establishments and Retail Trade was selected based on the value of receipts of the establishments, comprising 186 restaurants & similar establishments (accounting for 53% of the industry’s receipts) and 135 retailers (accounting for 70% of the industry’s receipts). The Survey results were not extrapolated and only reflect the assessment of the business performance and expectations of the sample restaurants and retailers.

Results presented in this report were not extrapolated and only reflect the business performance and expectations of the sampling units. In order to achieve timeliness of the results, restaurants and retailers may not get hold of the actual sales figures at the time of data collection.

Owing to the above stated limitations, the Survey results only serve as a reference on the business trends of the surveyed industries. Hence, it is recommended to take into account other relevant data when evaluating the overall business performance of these industries.

- - - - 100.0 11.1 16.7 72.2

1.9 - 1.9 7.5 90.6 39.6 32.1 18.9

- - - 5.0 95.0 10.0 45.0 40.0

- - - - 100.0 20.0 40.0 40.0

36.4 36.4

- - - - 100.0 10.0 70.0 20.0

- 18.2 81.8 9.1

- -

66.7 66.6 - 22.2 11.1

Subtotal < 20% ≧ 20%

11.1

Year-on-year Decrease

50% - 79% ≧ 80%

8.9 85.2 23.7

- Stable

Subtotal

33.3

Business Climate Survey on Restaurants & Similar Establishments and Retail Trade

32.6 28.9

11.1 33.3 55.6

< 50%

Others

Watches, Clocks &

Jewellery Leather Goods Adults' Clothing Supermarket

Year-on-year Increase

11.1 - 22.2

Retail Trade 5.9 4.5 1.5

Department Store Cosmetics & Sanitary Articles

Motor Vehicle

- -

參考文獻

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