-
-
Restaurants & Similar Establishments
Table 1: Restaurants' perceptions of year-on-year changes in receipts for August and September 2020 %
•
Forecast and Actual Business Performance
•
Table 2: Comparison of forecast and actual business performance for September 2020 %
www.dsec.gov.mo 2020.11
Others 16.7 8.4 16.7 75.0
42.9
51.0
- 90.5
92.3 -
5.3 86.3
5.9 4.8 1.9
100.0
47.4 42.1
68.4
24.0 52.0
Actual Aug.
40.4
Aug. Sept. Aug.
76.3 78.5 7.9
1.9
10.7 42.9
BUSINESS CLIMATE SURVEY
RESTAURANTS & SIMILAR ESTABLISHMENTS AND RETAIL TRADE September 2020
7.8 3.8
-
12.0 5.9
70.0 21.1
Aug. Sept.
Stable
18.0 Decrease
< 50% ≧ 50%
Sept.
15.8
Aug.
33.3 Chinese Restaurant
13.6 13.0
Sept.
47.6 50.0
94.1 92.3
100.0 Difference
(p.p.)
Year-on-year Decrease Forecast
7.9 78.5
Stable
-5.1
Difference (p.p.) 13.0
2.0
9.5 9.5
80.2
8.3 47.2 47.2 27.8
11.1
40.0
-0.1 Increase
Subtotal < 20%
20.0
8.3
Forecast
13.6 6.8
Subtotal
Restaurants' perceptions of year-on-year changes in receipts 4.8
6.8
9.6
Sept. Sept.
52.0
Actual 10.0
18.0 8.3
Local Style Cafe, Congee & Noodle Shop
32.2
Restaurants & Similar Establishments
Japanese & Korean Restaurant
46.3
50.0 35.3
-
Actual
1.9 3.9
Forecast
Western Restaurant
5.8 11.1
10.5 26.3
26.3
64.0 18.0
12.0
6.0 16.7
18.0
Year-on-year Increase Difference
(p.p.)
26.3 21.0
Japanese & Korean Restaurant
- -
1.9
≧ 20%
2.8 2.0
10.5
27.8 5.3 63.2
-4.0
10.0 -4.0
75.0 In September, the proportions of Local Style Cafes, Congee & Noodle
Shops (30%) showing a year-on-year rise in receipts or steady performance went down by 6 percentage points from August, whereas the share of Japanese & Korean Restaurants (53%) increased by 21 percentage points. Meanwhile, all of the interviewed Western Restaurants registered a year-on-year decrease in receipts in September (Table 1).
2.0
75.0 75.0
-1.7 13.9
-1.8
74.0 8.0
Restaurants & Similar Establishments
Western Restaurant
Aug. Sept.
Aug.
8.5
4.8 -
5.8
Local Style Cafe, Congee &
Noodle Shop
4.0 4.5
10.5 -
Others
36.8 20.0
8.3 5.3
Alameda Dr. Carlos d' Assumpção, No. 411-417, Dynasty Plaza, 17th floor, Macao Tel: (853) 8399 5311 Fax: (853) 2830 7825 E-mail: info@dsec.gov.mo Official Statistics. Reproduction of these data is allowed provided the source is quoted.
8.3 -8.4
26.3 57.9 47.4
-9.5 90.5
- 70.0
-
-10.5 -10.5
14.0
There were 21% of the interviewed restaurants & similar establishments recording a year-on-year rise in receipts or steady performance in September, a decrease of 2 percentage points from August. As regards retail trade, 20% of the interviewed retailers registered a year-on-year sales rise or steady performance in September, down by 1 percentage point from the preceding month.
There were 23% of the interviewed restaurants & similar establishments expecting their receipts to increase year-on-year or remain stable in October, an increase of 3 percentage points from September; the corresponding share for retailers grew by 1 percentage point from September to 24%.
Among the interviewed restaurants & similar establishments, 14%
registered a year-on-year rise in receipts in September, higher than expected by 7 percentage points. The corresponding proportion of Japanese & Korean Restaurants (26%) exceeded the forecast by 21 percentage points. On the other hand, 79% of the interviewed establishments recorded a year-on-year decline in receipts, 2 percentage points lower than the forecast (Table 2).
10.6
Chinese Restaurant
37.6%
32.0% 30.3%
24.0% 23.3%
1.8% 1.8% 4.8%
16.8%
12.0% 11.6% 13.0% 13.6%
35.9%
43.6%
47.2%
53.6%
58.3%
97.6% 97.0%
88.0%
72.5%
78.9%
82.7% 76.3% 78.5%
100%
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May Jun. Jul. Aug. Sept.
Government of Macao Special Administrative Region Statistics and Census Service
統 計 暨 普 查 局
Increase Decrease
2019 2020
Business Prospects for Next Month
•
Table 3: Restaurants' expectations for receipts for September and October 2020 %
Retail Trade
Table 4: Retailers' perceptions of year-on-year changes in sales for August and September 2020 %
•
Forecast and Actual Business Performance
•
2 Business Climate Survey on Restaurants & Similar Establishments and Retail Trade September 2020
Among the interviewed establishments, 13% of the Chinese Restaurantsand 28% of the Local Style Cafes, Congee & Noodle Shops expected their receipts to increase year-on-year or remain stable in October, up by 8 percentage points and 2 percentage points respectively from September (Table 3).
Others 32.1
5.6
40.0 40.0
54.7 -
9.6 6.8 Sept.
37.8 -
80.0 20.0
2.8
22.2 11.1
10.4
-
45.5 63.7 81.8
42.2 11.1 - 36.4 18.2 79.3
81.8 22.2
22.2 22.2 22.2 -
Restaurants & Similar Establishments
46.9 14.1
8.5 Subtotal
Oct.
Oct.
< 50%
33.3 5.6
Oct. Sept.
Oct.
33.3 Oct.
13.0
≧ 50%
- 33.3
5.9
57.9
5.3 52.6
- 16.7
≧ 20%
< 20%
-
8.3 10.0
-
2.8
Aug.
Sept.
36.8
22.2 Subtotal
Decrease
22.2
Sept.
24.0
Stable 14.0
5.3
11.1
80.0 25.2 37.8 54.1
22.2 33.3
52.0
Sept.
44.4
Aug.
≧ 50%
52.6
11.1 Aug.
75.0
20.0
Aug.
25.0 57.9
72.0 74.0
28.6 90.0
50.0
Sept.
30.6
< 50%
75.0
65.0 5.3
52.8 90.5
7.5 -
20.0 - -
- -
-
9.4 -
13.2
-
- - -
5.6 -
- 9.4
The proportions of Leather Goods Retailers (20%) and Motor Vehicle Retailers (78%) recording a year-on-year sales rise or steady performance in September surged by 20 percentage points and 11 percentage points respectively from August, whereas the corresponding share of Cosmetics & Sanitary Articles Retailers (10%) fell by 10 percentage points. Meanwhile, all of the interviewed Adults’ Clothing Retailers registered a year-on-year sales decrease in September (Table 4).
Increase
Cosmetics & Sanitary Articles
9.1 33.3
Leather Goods Adults' Clothing
9.1 9.1
- 22.2
20.0
11.1
Watches, Clocks &
Jewellery
9.1
33.3 33.3
11.1 -
3.8 Subtotal
55.6 Sept.
Retail Trade
18.2 9.1
Supermarket 44.4
16.3 12.6
Department Store Motor Vehicle
Aug.
66.7 55.6
-
Retailers' perceptions of year-on-year changes in sales 79.2
5.6 88.9
100.0 94.4
- - - -
1.9 7.5
80.0
80.0 100.0
80.0 85.0 90.0
27.8 15.0
60.0 20.0 100.0
40.0 50.0
- 40.0
100.0
41.5 86.8
61.1 3.8
- 22.2
- -
Sept.
5.2
10.0 -
7.4 Aug.
55.6 22.2
7.4 4.4 Sept.
Aug.
44.1 80.2
Year-on-year Decrease Subtotal
Chinese Restaurant 3.9
Oct.
5.8 Sept.
Stable Sept.
Year-on-year Increase
2.3
≧ 20%
Sept.
2.0 46.2
-
Local Style Cafe, Congee & 10.0 Noodle Shop
5.6 Japanese & Korean 5.3
Restaurant
13.9 2.0
5.3
18.0
Western Restaurant - - -
10.0 2.8 -
12.0
9.5 10.0 61.9
Sept.
Restaurants' expectations for receipts for October 2020
4.5 77.4
Among the interviewed retailers, 13% showed a year-on-year sales rise in September, higher than expected by 4 percentage points. The corresponding proportions of Motor Vehicle Retailers (56%) and Supermarkets (44%) surpassed the forecast by 22 percentage points and 11 percentage points respectively. Meanwhile, 80% of the interviewed retailers reported a year-on-year sales decrease in September, 4 percentage points higher than predicted. The corresponding proportions of Adults' Clothing Retailers (100%) exceeded the forecast by 25 percentage points, while that of Leather Goods Retailers (80%) was lower than the forecast by 20 percentage points (Table 5).
8.3 11.1
Others
5.3 -
40.4
86.5 45.1 49.0
Oct.
36.8 3.8
2.0 2.0 3.8 94.1
< 20%
Sept.
43.0% 40.0%
53.3%
43.0%
34.8%
12.9% 9.6% 9.6% 16.3% 15.6% 11.9% 16.3% 12.6%
39.3% 40.0%
31.1%
41.5%
48.1%
84.8% 87.4% 86.7% 80.0% 80.0% 84.4% 79.3% 80.0%
100%
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May Jun. Jul. Aug. Sept.
Decrease Stable
Increase
Increase Decrease
2019 2020
77.4% 86.5% 90.0%
57.9%
72.0% 75.0%
14.1% 3.8%
10.0%
36.8%
18.0% 13.9%
8.5% 9.6% 5.3% 10.0% 11.1%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Restaurants
& Similar Establishments
Chinese Restaurant
Western Restaurant
Japanese &
Korean Restaurant
Local Style Cafe, Congee & Noodle
Shop
Others
Table 5: Comparison of forecast and actual sales performance for September 2020 %
Business Prospects for Next Month
•
Table 6: Retailers' expectations for sales for September and October 2020 %
Symbols & Note
- Absolute value equals zero % Percentage Percentages may not add up to 100% due to rounding.
Explanatory notes
Remarks
For addition information:
http://www.dsec.gov.mo/e/icrc.aspx
September 2020 3
Results presented in this report were not extrapolated and only reflect the business performance and expectations of the sampling units. In order to achieve timeliness of the results, restaurants and retailers may not get hold of the actual sales figures at the time of data collection.
Owing to the above stated limitations, the Survey results only serve as a reference on the business trends of the surveyed industries. Hence, it is recommended to take into account other relevant data when evaluating the overall business performance of these industries.
Among the interviewed retailers, the proportion of Leather Goods Retailers (40%) forecasting a year-on-year sales increase or stable performance in October expanded by 40 percentage points from September, whereas the corresponding shares of Adults’ Clothing Retailers (35%) and Department Stores (27%) rose by 10 percentage points and 9 percentage points respectively. On the other hand, all of the interviewed Watches, Clocks & Jewellery Retailers anticipated a year-on- year sales decrease in October (Table 6).
Difference (p.p.)
The sample of the Business Climate Survey on Restaurants & Similar Establishments and Retail Trade was selected based on the value of receipts of the establishments, which comprises 188 restaurants & similar establishments and 135 retailers that accounted for 50% and 65% of the respective industry’s receipts in 2018. The Survey results were not extrapolated and only reflect the assessment of the business performance and expectations of the sample restaurants and retailers.
3.7 8.9
Year-on-year Increase Forecast
76.3 12.6
Forecast Retail Trade
Actual
22.2
80.0 33.3
22.2
- -11.1
14.8
33.3
Year-on-year Decrease Actual Difference
(p.p.)
84.9
Year-on-year Decrease Retailers' expectations for sales for October 2020
11.3 86.8
7.4
81.8 9.1
100.0 75.0
80.0 -
81.8
44.4 22.2
100.0 88.9 20.0
5.6
-20.0 80.0
88.9
-11.1
Stable
Difference (p.p.)
-11.1 22.2
10.0 3.7 Forecast
33.3
Actual Stable
Sept.
-7.4
Adults' Clothing
- 33.3
9.1
5.6 -
Retail Trade
Subtotal
Sept. Oct.
-5.6 20.0 -25.0 -
Oct.
Motor Vehicle 33.3
14.8
Watches, Clocks &
Jewellery
24.5 80.0
Department Store 72.7
5.6 27.3
84.9 88.7 37.8
Cosmetics & Sanitary Articles
- 40.0 5.0
- -
1.9
70.0 60.0
44.4 11.3
20.0
9.4
77.8
47.2 64.2
-
10.0 20.0
- 20.0
88.9 100.0 11.1
65.0 30.0
60.0
25.0 75.0
- -
15.0 Supermarket
27.3
- -
- -
15.0 -
Leather Goods
- -
33.3
20.0 5.0 -
40.0 20.0
40.0 60.0
100.0
33.3 22.2
33.3
20.0 Sept.
76.3
-
33.3 11.1
36.4 54.6 36.4
- - Oct.
30.4 11.1
75.6
25.0
Oct.
Sept.
42.2
Business Climate Survey on Restaurants & Similar Establishments and Retail Trade
≧ 20%
Year-on-year Increase
3.8 5.6 - - 20.0 9.1 33.3 33.3 8.9
1.9 1.9
5.6 -
1.9
< 20%
9.1 Sept.
-
Oct.
Oct.
55.6 33.3
3.8
22.3
20.0 33.3
9.4 3.8
- Cosmetics & Sanitary Articles
Supermarket
9.1 10.0
Leather Goods -
Department Store
11.1
9.1 -
Others Motor Vehicle
- -
5.5 Watches, Clocks & Jewellery
Others
- -
- 33.3
-
≧ 50%
< 50%
Subtotal Sept. Oct.
3.0 7.4
81.8
60.0 22.2
50.0 80.0
33.3 22.2
44.4 17.0
- - -
- 25.0
-
-20.0 9.1
45.9 22.2 22.2
33.3 22.2
22.2 33.3
5.9 3.0
44.4 11.1
4.4
- 90.0
- 10.0
-7.5 1.9
Adults' Clothing
-
Sept.
- 11.1
44.4 55.6
5.6
Decrease Stable
Increase
75.6%
33.3%
22.2%
72.7% 80.0%
65.0% 60.0%
100.0%
88.7%
17.0%
33.3%
44.4%
27.3% 20.0%
30.0%
7.4% 9.4%
33.3% 33.3%
5.0%
40.0%
1.9%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Retail Trade
Motor Vehicle
Supermarket Department Store
Cosmetics
& Sanitary Articles
Adults' Clothing
Leather Goods
Watches, Clocks &
Jewellery Others
