• 沒有找到結果。

研究限制與未來研究建議

立 政 治 大 學

N a tio na

l C h engchi U ni ve rs it y

透過分析的結果可以發現,薪資水準較低的勞工較容易發生過度悲觀的情形,

由於許多民眾對政府及雇主退休金不了解,其實臺灣勞保年金提供不錯的所得替 代率,民眾可能會忽略這部分對退休生活的影響,而導致有過度悲觀的現象,政 府機關可以透過宣傳讓民眾更清楚知道這一部分的保障,降低部分民眾過度悲觀 的情形。

而薪資水準較高的勞工,主要是收入會超過勞保的投保薪資上限後,政府及 雇主退休金提供所得替代率會大幅下降的民眾,若想要維持相同所得替代率,需 要準備更多的退休金,避免儲蓄過少金額。本研究認為最後建議即便是高所得的 民眾都也應先以達到 60%所得替代率為目標,在確認可以達到後此次目標後,在 以達到 80%所得替代率為目標,

第三節 研究限制與未來研究建議

由於本研究採用問卷資料建構模型,在研究過程中乃是受到部分限制,方能 得出本研究之估算結果,故將研究限制及未來研究建議說明如下:

一、由於本研究使用問券的資料,進行民眾退休準備估算,部分資料僅提供 範圍,並沒有精確的數字,計算上以中位數進行估算,因此本研究的估算結果可 能受到問券設計的影響,建議未來進行相關研究時可更清楚詢問部分變數。

二、本研究並未考量勞工薪資成長率、離職可能性、民眾資產配置資料、是 否擁有房地產等狀況,做為估算的假設,此外並無法獲得民眾真實薪資與投保薪 資實際資料,僅能與自行假設進行調整,但仍無法確認真實差距,仍造成估算上 的誤差,研究設計與設計上可能不夠全面,仍可改進。

1. Aldrich, Jonathan,Nov. 1982,The Earnings Replacement Rate of Old-Age Benefits in 12 Countries, 1969-80, Social Security Bulletin, 45(11), 3-11.

2. Alicia H. Munnell, Anthony Webb, and Francesca Golub-Sass,2007,Is there really a retirement saving crisis? An NRRI analysis. Trustees of Boston College, Center for Retirement.

3. Bernbeim, B. Douglas , 1992 , Is the Baby Boom Generation Preparing Adequately for Retirement, Technical Report, Princeton, N. J.:Merrill Lynch.

4. Brady, Peter J.,2010,“Measuring Retirement Resource Adequacy,” Journal of Pension Economics and Finance, Vol. 9 (2)

5. Brown, Jeffrey R.,2002,Redistribution and Insurance: Mandatory Annuitization with Mortality Heterogeneity, The Journal of Risk and Insurance.

Risk, Inflation Risk, and Annuity Products, Cambridge, MA: National Bureau of

Economic Research, Working paper #7812.

7. Brown, Jeffrey R., Olivia S. Mitchell, James M. Poterba, and Mark J.

Warshawsky,2001,The Role of Annuity Markets in Financing Retirement, MIT

Press.

8. Doyle, Suzanne, Olivia S. Mitchell and John Piggott,2001,Annuity Values in Defined Contribution Retirement, Cambridge, MA: National Bureau of

Economic Research, Working paper #8091.

9. Friedman, Benjamin and Mark J. Warshawsky,Feb. 1990,The Cost of Annuities:

Implications for Saving Behavior and Bequests, The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 135-54.

10. Grad, Susan,Oct. 1990,Earnings Replacement Rates of New Retired Workers,

Social Security Bulletin, 53(10), 2-19.

11. Gustman, Alan L. and Thomas L. Steinmeier,Jun. 1999,Effects of Pensions on Savings: Analysis with Data from the Health and Retirement Study, Carnegie

Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, 50(99), 271-324.

12. Horlick, Max,Aug. 1988,Earnings Replacement Rate of Old -Age Benefits: An International Comparison: Commentary, Social Security Bulletin, 51(8), 12, 48-49.

13. HSBC’s The Future of Retirement programme Taiwan Report,2011,Why family matters.

14. HSBC’s The Future of Retirement programme Taiwan Report,2009,Why family matters.

15. HSBC’s The Future of Retirement programme Taiwan Report,2008,Why family matters.

16. HSBC’s The Future of Retirement programme Taiwan Report,2007,Why family matters.

17. HSBC’s The Future of Retirement programme Taiwan Report,2005,Why family matters.

18. James, Estelle and Dimitri Vittas,1999,Annuities Markets in Comparative Per-spective: Do Consumers Get Their Money’s Worth?, World Bank.

19. Jee Yoong Folk, Loo See Beh and Diana-Lea Baranovich,2012,Determinant of retirement planning in Malaysia. Journal of Business Management and

Economics Vol. 3(2). pp. 069-078, February, 2012

20. Mitchell, Olivia S., James M. Poterba, Mark J. Warshawsky and Jeffrey R.

Brown,1999,New Evidence on the Money’s Worth of Individual Annuities, The

American Economic Review, 1299-1318.

21. OECD (2011),Gross pension replacement rates, Pensions at a glance 2011:

Retirement-Income Systems in OECD and G20 countries

22. OECD (2011). Gross pension replacement rates: Public and private schemes, Pensions at a glance 2011:Retirement-Income Systems in OECD and G20 countries Papers and Proceedings of the One Hundred Twentieth Annual Meeting of the American Economic Association (May, 2008), pp. 413-417.

23. Olivia S. Mitchell, James F. Moore,1998,Can Americans Afford to Retire? New Evidence on Retirement Saving Adequacy .The Journal of Risk and Insurance, Vol. 65, No. 3 (Sep., 1998), pp. 371-400

24. Olivia S. Mitchell,2006,Financial Literacy and Planning:Implications for Retirement Wellbeing. The American Economic Review, Vol. 98, No. 2,

25. Scheiber, Sylvester J.,2007,Beyond the Golden Age of Retirement, mimeo Ninth Annual Conference of the Retirement Research Consortium

26. Steinberg, Allen, and Lori Lucas,2004, “Shifting Responsibility to Workers: The Future of Retirement Adequacy in the United States,” Benefits Quarterly, Fourth Quarter,

27. Virginia P. Renoand JoniLavery ,2007, “Social Security and Retirement Income Adequacy” (http://www.ncpssm.org/pdf/nasi-report.pdf)

28. Wai Mun Fong,2002,On the Cost of Adverse Selection in Individual Annuity Markets: Evidence from Singapore, The Journal of Risk and Insurance, 69(2), 193-207.

29. Yoonkyung Yuh, Catherine Phillips Montalto, and Sherman Hanna,1998,Are Americans Prepared For Retirement? Financial Counseling and Planning, Volume 9(1), pp1-13.

30. Yoonkyung Yuh, Sherman Hanna, atherine Phillips Montalto,1998,Mean and pessimistic projections of retirement adequacy,Financial Services Review 7, pp175-193.