第五章 結論
第二節 未來研究建議
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言之，媒體環境開放與否，仍跟政府所採行的政策有關。
第二節 未來研究建議
顏色革命與阿拉伯之春發生時，都引起各界廣泛的討論，顏色革命著重在平 和的政權更替以及是否開始踏上民主化道路，阿拉伯之春較為明顯的是著重於社 群媒體與網路對革命的幫助與貢獻，本文則將兩種革命做一個比較，因無論革命 過程平和或暴力，大眾媒介在其中占有一席之地，沒有大眾媒介的宣傳，革命或 許也不會成功。本文的研究重點在於大眾媒介與政權更替的關聯性，但就兩種革 命而言，能夠研究與探討的議題相當多，以下提出幾點研究建議，以供未來研究 者參考。
第一、民主化浪潮的再檢驗。當一個非民主國家走上民主轉型道路時，學界 常樂觀看待其前景，杭廷頓也提出了民主化理論，認為廿世紀共發生三波民主化 浪潮，其中一波便是顏色革命，但在時間檢驗下，發現並未完全達到民主標準，
也未完全發展民主體制，反而走回威權老路，近期也有學者開始將焦點聚集在威 權回潮，因此，阿拉伯之春能否視為第四波民主化浪潮，也須經時間檢驗。
第二、網路政治的前景。網路政治是一個新興議題，若依照網路發達可刺激 民眾積極參與政治並使民主社會更加完善的理論框架，要套用在阿拉伯之春上，
須用另外角度觀之──不去討論是否促進民主社會發展更為完善，而是觀察民眾 是否因積極參與政治，推翻既有政權──意即民眾透過網路散播訊息、動員抗議，
要求政府下台。另外，網路發達的威權國家，如中、俄，如何藉由網路控制達到 政治穩定，值得後續探討。
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參考文獻
壹、中文部分（按姓氏筆畫順序排列）
一、專書
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二、期刊、論文
王正廷，〈喬治亞(2003)、烏克蘭(2004)與吉爾吉斯(2005)政權替換之研究〉，2005，
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江宜樺，〈民主〉，「公民社會基本政治社會觀念研究第二次 workshop」，2002，
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李明哲、唐志宏，〈網路商業化與網路民主：資訊政治經濟學觀點下的討論〉，《資 訊社會研究》，第 3 期，2002，頁 251-268。
林照真，〈因為科技，新聞正處於改變的轉捩點上？〉，《傳播研究與實踐》，第 1 卷第 1 期，2011，頁 26。
林麗雲，〈威權主義國家與電視：台灣與南韓之比較〉，《新聞學研究》，第 85 期，
2005，頁 1-30。
郭秋慶，〈當代歐洲極權主義的理論與實際〉，《中央研究院三民主義研究所專題 選刊》，第 73 期，1987，頁 1-42。
許湘濤、吳彥然，〈競爭性威權體制之初探〉，2009 台灣政治學會年會暨學術研 討會－「動盪年代中的政治學：理論與實踐」，2009。
張卿卿，〈網路的功與過：網路使用與政治參與及社會資產關係的探討〉，《新聞 學研究》，第 86 期，2006，頁 45-90。
張醒宇，〈新媒體在民主轉型中扮演的角色：以馬來西亞為研究現場〉，中華傳播 學會，2012。
蔡秀勤、張佑宗〈阿拉伯之春的啟示與反思〉，《台灣民主季刊》，第 8 卷第 3 期，
2011 年，頁 199-209。
三、網路資料
自由電子報，〈推翻獨裁者 突尼西亞人民起義〉，2011 年 1 月 16 日，
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〈http://www.libertytimes.com.tw/2011/new/jan/16/today-int1.htm〉
陸以正，〈阿拉伯之春禍福難料〉，《國政評論》，2011，
〈http://www.npf.org.tw/post/1/9627〉
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一、專書
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McNair, Brian, An Introduction to Political Communication (New York: Routledge, 2011).
McQail, Denis, Media Performance: Mass Communication and the Public Interest
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Fatima el-lssawi, “Tunisian Media in Transition”, Carnegie Endowment for
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三、機構報告
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Transparency International Georgia, “Television in Georgia – Ownership, Control and Regulation”, 20 November 2009.
四、網路資料
BBC：<http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/>
“Tunisia suicide protester Mohammed Bouazizi dies”, BBC,
<http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-africa-12120228>
CNN：< http://edition.cnn.com/>
“Thousands protest in Egypt”, CNN,
<http://edition.cnn.com/2011/WORLD/meast/01/25/egypt.protests/>
Foreign Policy：< http://foreignpolicy.com/>
“Tunisia and the New Arab Media Space”, Foreign Policy,
<http://www.foreignpolicy.com/posts/2011/01/15/tunisia_and_the_new_arab_med
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ia_space?wp_login_redirect=0>
Freedom House：<http://www.freedomhouse.org/>
Georgian Opinion Research Business International：
<http://www.wingia.com/en/countries/Georgia/>
“Old and New Media”, Georgian Opinion Research Business International
<http://www.gorbi.com/News/tabid/69/EntryId/85/Old-and-New-Media.aspx>
International Research & Exchanges Board：< http://www.irex.org/>
Los Angeles Times：< http://www.latimes.com/>
“Tunisia protesters use Facebook, Twitter and YouTube to help organize and report”, Los Angeles Times,
<http://latimesblogs.latimes.com/technology/2011/01/tunisia-students-using-faceb ook-and-twitter-to-organize.html>
Reporters Without Borders：<http://en.rsf.org/>
Television Industry Committee：<http://tampanel.com.ua/en/rubrics/canals>
Ted Nguyen’s Blog：< http://www.tednguyenusa.com/category/home/ >
“Tunisia’s Twitter Revolution”,
<http://www.tednguyenusa.com/tunisias-twitter-revolution/>
Thestar.com：< http://www.thestar.com/ >
“Suicide protest helped topple Tunisian regime”, thestar.com,
<http://www.thestar.com/news/world/article/922279--suicide-protest-helped-toppl e-tunisian-regime>
World Bank：< http://www.worldbank.org/>
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叁、俄文資料
一、專書
Васильев, Алексей, и Петров, Николай, Рецепты Арабской Весны: Русская
Версия, Москва, алгоритм, 2012.
Почепцов, Георгий, “Гражданское самбо:как противостоять «цветам риволюциям» ”, Москва, издательства «Еврора», 2005.
二、期刊、論文
Гельман, Владимир Я., ”Уроки Украинского”, Полис. Политические
исследования, № 1 (Февраль 2005), с. 36-49.
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附錄
喬治亞玫瑰革命大事記：
日期 相關報導、節目
1996 製作辯論與調查性質節目，包括「60 分鐘」（60 Minutes）、「夜間快 遞」（Night Courier）、每週節目「大幅正義」（A lot of integrity）。
2001/10/23 「夜間快遞」大力抨擊阿布哈茲地區的政治貪腐、走私以及非法活 動等問題。
2001/10/31 謝瓦納澤政府突襲 Rustavi 2，並要求其關台，但在政府官員離開 後，Rustavi 2 一五一十的轉播這場「突擊行動」。
2003/10/22 Rustavi 2 不斷播放「打倒獨裁者」（Bringing down a Dictator）的紀 錄片，內容詳細敘述了 2000 年塞爾維亞人如何「平靜」地推翻當 時的南斯拉夫聯邦總統米洛賽維奇。
2003/11/06 Rustavi 2 大幅報導政府在國會選舉舞弊新聞。
2004/01 Rustavi 2 報導偏向薩卡希維利。
烏克蘭橙色革命大事記：
日期 相關報導、節目
2004/10 「是時候了」公開表態投向尤申科陣營，並開始計畫動員民眾抗議 跟學生罷課。
2004/10/25 -11/02
Channel 5 員工絕食抗議，要求政府不應關閉電視台，以及停止騷擾
Channel 5 員工絕食抗議，要求政府不應關閉電視台，以及停止騷擾