第五章 結論
第二節 未來研究方向
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第二節 未來研究方向
筆者認為，本文可以成為未來下列兩種研究的先行研究，以下分述之：
1. 人民幣國際化的後續研究
筆者認為，本文可以成為後續人民幣國際化研究的先行研究。由於本文當中 並沒有發展出自己的量化綜合模型，以估算人民幣確切的國際化程度以及精確排 列人民幣與世界其他主要貨幣的國際化程度排名，因此，筆者認為，未來之研究 可繼續朝如此方向進行，並檢視人民幣國際化在未來是否如筆者所預測，持續增 加在國際上被使用的比重，最終成為另一種重要的國際貨幣。
2. 東亞體系變遷與區域領導權競爭研究
筆者認為，本文研究中所提出的「隱性霸權」狀態，是否得以在未來繼續維 持，換句話說，也就是東亞體系在未來將會朝向何種形式變遷的問題，是美國的 圍堵政策能夠成功，亦或是中國或是日本其中一國能夠成功地在東亞成為新的領 導者，且人民幣的國際化又將對於東亞國際體系的面貌產生何種影響，此皆是未 來非常值得觀察的現象。最後，中日兩國對於東亞體系的認知是否會有轉變也值 得注意，日本是否會走向正常國家而放棄以往依附美國的對外政策，中國是否會 捨棄其低姿態，而真正作為一個「大國」，都是未來觀察東亞體系變遷的重點。
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